Section 8.4

Stochastic Matrices and Markov Chains

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Problem 8.4.1

Find the stationary distribution for

P=(1/4003/43/81/43/801/31/61/61/3001/21/2). P = \begin{pmatrix} 1/4 & 0 & 0 & 3/4 \\ 3/8 & 1/4 & 3/8 & 0 \\ 1/3 & 1/6 & 1/6 & 1/3 \\ 0 & 0 & 1/2 & 1/2 \end{pmatrix}.

Does this stationary distribution represent a limiting distribution in the regular sense or only in the Cesaro sense?

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Problem 8.4.2

A doubly-stochastic matrix is a nonnegative matrix Pn×nP_{n\times n} having all row sums as well as all column sums equal to 11. For an irreducible nn-state Markov chain whose transition matrix is doubly stochastic, what is the long-run proportion of time spent in each state? What form do lim⁡k→∞(I+P+⋯+Pk−1)/k\lim_{k\to \infty } (I + P + \cdots + P^{k-1})/k and lim⁡k→∞Pk\lim_{k\to \infty } P^k (if it exists) have?

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Remark.
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The purpose of this exercise is to show that doubly-stochastic matrices are not very interesting from a Markov-chain point of view. However, there is an interesting theoretical result (due to G. Birkhoff in 1946) that says the set of n×nn \times n doubly-stochastic matrices forms a convex polyhedron in Rn×n\mathbb {R}^{n \times n} with the permutation matrices as the vertices.

Problem 8.4.3

Explain why rk⁡(I−P)=n−1\operatorname {rk}\left(I-P\right) = n-1 for every irreducible stochastic matrix Pn×nP_{n\times n}. Give an example to show that this need not be the case for reducible stochastic matrices.

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Problem 8.4.4

Prove that the left-hand Perron vector for an irreducible stochastic matrix Pn×nP_{n\times n} (n>1n > 1) is given by

πT=1∑i=1nPi(P1,P2,…,Pn), \pi ^T = \frac{1}{\sum _{i=1}^{n} P_i}\left(P_1, P_2, \ldots , P_n\right),

where PiP_i is the iith principal minor determinant of order n−1n-1 in I−PI-P.

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Remark.
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What is [adj⁡(A)]A[\operatorname {adj}(A)]A if AA is singular?

Problem 8.4.5

Let Pn×nP_{n\times n} be an irreducible stochastic matrix, and let Qk×kQ_{k\times k} be a principal submatrix of I−PI - P, where 1≤k<n1 \leq k < n. Prove that ρ(Q)<1\rho (Q) < 1.

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Problem 8.4.6

Let Pn×nP_{n\times n} be an irreducible stochastic matrix, and let Qk×kQ_{k\times k} be a principal submatrix of I−PI - P, where 1≤k<n1 \leq k < n. Explain why QQ is an M-matrix.

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Remark.
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An M-matrix is a real nonsingular matrix Qk×kQ_{k\times k} such that [Q]ij≤0[Q]_{ij} \leq 0 for all i≠ji \neq j and Q−1≥0Q^{-1} \geq 0; equivalently, QQ is an M-matrix if and only if there exists a matrix B≥0B \geq 0 and a real number s>ρ(B)s > \rho (B) such that Q=sI−BQ = sI - B.

Problem 8.4.7

Let Pn×nP_{n\times n} (n>1n > 1) be an irreducible stochastic matrix. Explain why all principal minors of order 1≤k<n1 \leq k < n in I−PI - P are positive.

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Problem 8.4.8

Use the same assumptions that are used for the fail-safe system described in the worked example on two independent controls (Example 8.4.5), but use three controls, AA, BB, and CC, instead of two. Determine the mean time to failure starting with three proven controls, two proven but one untested control, and three untested controls.

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Remark.
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The referenced example: a system has two independent controls that can prevent it from being destroyed, activated at discrete time points; the system is "under control" if at least one control holds, and destroyed if all controls fail simultaneously. A control that holds at one activation is 90%90\% reliable at the next; a control that fails and is replaced is only 60%60\% reliable at the next activation.

Problem 8.4.9

A mouse is placed in one chamber of the box shown in the figure below, and a cat is placed in another chamber. Each minute the doors to the chambers are opened just long enough to allow movement from one chamber to an adjacent chamber. Half of the time when the doors are opened, the cat doesn't leave the chamber it occupies. The same is true for the mouse. When either the cat or mouse moves, a door is chosen at random to pass through.

Figure 8.4.1: the mouse-in-a-box floor plan (chamber # 1 is connected to both # 2 and # 3, and # 2 is connected to # 3).Figure 8.4.1: the mouse-in-a-box floor plan (chamber # 1 is connected to both # 2 and # 3, and # 2 is connected to # 3).

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(a)

Explain why the cat and mouse must eventually end up in the same chamber, and determine the expected number of steps for this to occur.

(b)

Determine the probability that the cat will catch the mouse in chamber jj for each j=1,2,3j = 1, 2, 3.