Section 6.2

Classification of states

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Problem 6.2.1

Let lij(n)=P(Xn=j,Xk≠i for 1≤k<n∣X0=i)l_{i j}(n) = \mathbb {P}\left(X_{n} = j, X_{k} \neq i \text{ for } 1 \leq k < n \mid X_{0} = i\right), the probability that the chain passes from ii to jj in nn steps without revisiting ii. Writing

Lij(s)=∑n=1∞snlij(n) L_{i j}(s) = \sum _{n = 1}^{\infty } s^{n} l_{i j}(n)

show that Pij(s)=Pii(s)Lij(s)P_{i j}(s) = P_{i i}(s) L_{i j}(s) if i≠ji \neq j. Deduce that the first passage times and last exit times have the same distribution for any Markov chain for which Pii(s)=Pjj(s)P_{i i}(s) = P_{j j}(s) for all ii and jj. Give an example of such a chain.

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Problem 6.2.2

Let XX be a Markov chain containing an absorbing state ss with which all other states ii communicate, in the sense that pis(n)>0p_{i s}(n) > 0 for some n=n(i)n = n(i). Show that all states other than ss are transient.

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Problem 6.2.3

Show that a state ii is recurrent if and only if the mean number of visits of the chain to ii, having started at ii, is infinite. That is to say, ii is recurrent if and only if ∑npii(n)=∞\sum_{n} p_{i i}(n) = \infty.

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Problem 6.2.4

Let Vj=∣{n≥1:Xn=j}∣V_{j} = \left|\left\{ n \geq 1: X_{n} = j\right\} \right| be the number of visits of the Markov chain XX to jj, and define ηij=Pi(Vj=∞)\eta_{i j} = \mathbb {P}_{i}\left(V_{j} = \infty \right). Show that:

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(a)

ηii={1 if i is recurrent, 0 if i is transient, \eta_{i i} = \begin{cases} 1 & \text{ if } i \text{ is recurrent, } \\ 0 & \text{ if } i \text{ is transient, }\end{cases}

(b)

ηij={Pi(Tj<∞) if j is recurrent, 0 if j is transient, \eta_{i j} = \begin{cases} \mathbb {P}_{i}\left(T_{j} < \infty \right) & \text{ if } j \text{ is recurrent, } \\ 0 & \text{ if } j \text{ is transient, }\end{cases} where Tj=min⁡{n≥1:Xn=j}T_{j} = \min \left\{ n \geq 1: X_{n} = j\right\}.

Problem 6.2.5

The distinct pair i,ji, j of states of a Markov chain is called symmetric if

Pi(Tj<Ti)=Pj(Ti<Tj) \mathbb {P}_{i}\left(T_{j} < T_{i}\right) = \mathbb {P}_{j}\left(T_{i} < T_{j}\right)

where Ti=min⁡{n≥1:Xn=i}T_{i} = \min \left\{ n \geq 1: X_{n} = i\right\}. Show that, if X0=iX_{0} = i and i,ji, j is symmetric, the expected number of visits to jj before the chain revisits ii is 1. [Cf. the quotation following Theorem (3.10.18).]

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Problem 6.2.6

Let XX be a Markov chain, and let TT be a geometric random variable with P(T>n)=sn\mathbb {P}\left(T > n\right) = s^{n} for n≥0n \geq 0, which is independent of XX. By considering the expected number of visits by XX to a given state before time TT, prove Theorem (6.2.3).

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Problem 6.2.7

Let XX be an ergodic Markov chain started from aa, and assume XX is irreducible (in that, for states i,ji, j, there exists m≥0m \geq 0 such that pij(m)>0p_{i j}(m) > 0). Let a,b,ca, b, c be distinct states, and let T(a,b,¬c)T(a, b, \neg c) be the time until XX first visits bb, with no intermediate visit to cc. That is, if XX visits bb before cc, then T(a,b,¬c)T(a, b, \neg c) is that time, and if XX visits cc before bb we set T(a,b,¬c)=∞T(a, b, \neg c) = \infty. Let

G(a,b,¬c;s)=∑n=1∞snPa(T(a,b,¬c)=n) G(a, b, \neg c ; s) = \sum _{n = 1}^{\infty } s^{n} \mathbb {P}_{a}\left(T(a, b, \neg c) = n\right)

Show that

G(a,b,¬c;s)=Fab−FacFcb1−FbcFcb G(a, b, \neg c ; s) = \frac{F_{a b}-F_{a c} F_{c b}}{1-F_{b c} F_{c b}}

where, for example, Fab(s)F_{a b}(s) is the probability generating function of the first passage time TabT_{a b} from aa to bb irrespective of intermediate visits to cc. Show further that

Pa(T(a,b,¬c)<∞)=μac+μcb−μabμbc+μcb \mathbb {P}_{a}\left(T(a, b, \neg c) < \infty \right) = \frac{\mu _{a c}+\mu _{c b}-\mu _{a b}}{\mu _{b c}+\mu _{c b}}

where, for example, μab=Ea[Tab]\mu_{a b} = \mathbb {E}_{a}\left[T_{a b}\right].

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