Chapter 9

Special Topics: Inequalities, Geometrical Probabilities, Difference Equations

[31/100%]
Show
LaTeX
Problem 270

If g(x)≥0g(x) \geq 0 for every xx and g(x)≥cg(x) \geq c for x∈(α,β)x \in (\alpha , \beta ), then

P(X∈(α,β))≤c−1E[g(x)]. \mathbb {P}\left(X \in (\alpha , \beta )\right) \leq c^{-1}\mathbb {E}\left[g(x)\right].
?
Problem 271

(Continuation of Problem 270.) Show that for every constant t>0t > 0

P(X>t)≤1(t+c)2E[(X+c)2]. \mathbb {P}\left(X > t\right) \leq \frac{1}{(t+c)^{2}} \mathbb {E}\left[(X+c)^{2}\right].
?
Problem 272

If X1X_{1} and X2X_{2} are independent and identically distributed random variables then for every t>0t > 0

P(∣X1−X2∣>t)≤2P(∣X1∣>12t). \mathbb {P}\left(\left|X_{1} - X_{2}\right| > t\right) \leq 2\mathbb {P}\left(\left|X_{1}\right| > \tfrac {1}{2}t\right).
?
Problem 273

Cantelli's inequality. One tail Chebyshev's inequality. If E[X]=μ\mathbb {E}\left[X\right] = \mu, Var⁡[X]=σ2\operatorname {Var}\left[X\right] = \sigma^{2}, then

P(X−μ≤c)≤σ2σ2+c2,c<0, \mathbb {P}\left(X - \mu \leq c\right) \leq \frac{\sigma ^{2}}{\sigma ^{2}+c^{2}}, \quad c < 0, ≥c2σ2+c2,c≥0, \geq \frac{c^{2}}{\sigma ^{2}+c^{2}}, \quad c \geq 0,

(see Exercise 271).

?
Problem 274

Gauss inequality. If x0x_{0} is the mode of a continuous unimodal distribution and τ2=E[(X−x0)2]\tau^{2} = \mathbb {E}\left[(X-x_{0})^{2}\right] then

P(∣X−x0∣≥λτ)≤49λ2. \mathbb {P}\left(\left|X - x_{0}\right| \geq \lambda \tau \right) \leq \frac{4}{9\lambda ^{2}}.
?
Problem 275

If g(x)≥0g(x) \geq 0 and even, i.e., g(x)=g(−x)g(x) = g(-x) and in addition g(x)g(x) is nondecreasing for x>0x > 0, show that for every c>0c > 0

P(∣X∣≥c)≤E[g(x)]g(c). \mathbb {P}\left(\left|X\right| \geq c\right) \leq \frac{\mathbb {E}\left[g(x)\right]}{g(c)}.
?
Problem 276

(Continuation of Problem 275.) If g(x)g(x) of Exercise 275 satisfies ∣g(x)∣≤M<∞\left|g(x)\right| \leq M < \infty, then

P(∣X∣≥c)≥E[g(X)]−g(c)M. \mathbb {P}\left(\left|X\right| \geq c\right) \geq \frac{\mathbb {E}\left[g(X)\right] - g(c)}{M}.
?
Problem 277

(Continuation of Problem 275.) Let gg be as in Exercise 275 and P(∣X∣≤M)=1\mathbb {P}\left(\left|X\right| \leq M\right) = 1 then

P(∣X∣≥c)≥E[g(X)]−g(c)g(M). \mathbb {P}\left(\left|X\right| \geq c\right) \geq \frac{\mathbb {E}\left[g(X)\right] - g(c)}{g(M)}.
?
Problem 278

Berge's inequality. Let E[Xi]=μi\mathbb {E}\left[X_{i}\right] = \mu_{i}, Var⁡[Xi]=σi2\operatorname {Var}\left[X_{i}\right] = \sigma_{i}^{2} (i=1,2)(i = 1, 2) and ρ(x1,x2)=ρ\rho (x_{1}, x_{2}) = \rho, then

P(max⁡(∣X1−μ1∣σ1,∣X2−μ2∣σ2)>c)≤1+1−ρ2c2. \mathbb {P}\left(\max \left(\frac{\left|X_{1}-\mu _{1}\right|}{\sigma _{1}}, \frac{\left|X_{2}-\mu _{2}\right|}{\sigma _{2}}\right) > c\right) \leq \frac{1+\sqrt{1-\rho ^{2}}}{c^{2}}.
?
Problem 279

Jensen's inequality for symmetric matrix functions (Cacoullos and Olkin, Biometrika, 1965). The symmetric matrix function G(X)G(X) of the matrix XX of order m×nm \times n is called convex if, for every pair X1,X2X_{1}, X_{2} of m×nm \times n matrices and 0≤λ≤10 \leq \lambda \leq 1, by analogy to

λg(x1)+(1−λ)g(x2)≥g(λx1+(1−λ)x2) \lambda g(x_{1}) + (1-\lambda )g(x_{2}) \geq g(\lambda x_{1} + (1-\lambda )x_{2})

(the defining inequality of an ordinary convex function gg on an interval (α,β)(\alpha , \beta )), it satisfies

G(λX1+(1−λ)X2)≤λG(X1)+(1−λ)G(X2), G(\lambda X_{1} + (1-\lambda )X_{2}) \leq \lambda G(X_{1}) + (1-\lambda )G(X_{2}),

where for symmetric matrices X,YX, Y we write X≥YX \geq Y if X−YX - Y is a nonnegative definite matrix. Let XX be a random matrix, i.e., a matrix whose elements are random variables and GG a convex matrix function. Then G(E[X])≤E[G(X)]G(\mathbb {E}\left[X\right]) \leq \mathbb {E}\left[G(X)\right].

?
Problem 280

For a positive random matrix show that

E[X−1]≥(E[X])−1. \mathbb {E}\left[X^{-1}\right] \geq (\mathbb {E}\left[X\right])^{-1}.
?
Problem 281

Show that if E[Y]<∞\mathbb {E}\left[Y\right] < \infty and Y>0Y > 0 then

E[log⁡(Y)]≤log⁡E[Y]. \mathbb {E}\left[\log (Y)\right] \leq \log \mathbb {E}\left[Y\right].
?
Problem 282

For independent and identically distributed random variables X1,X2,…,XnX_{1}, X_{2}, \ldots , X_{n} with P(Xi>0)=1\mathbb {P}\left(X_{i} > 0\right) = 1 and Var⁡[log⁡Xi]=σ2\operatorname {Var}\left[\log X_{i}\right] = \sigma^{2} show that for every ε>0\varepsilon > 0

P(en[E[log⁡Yi]−ε]<X1X2…Xn<en[E[log⁡Yi]+ε])≥1−σ2nε2. \mathbb {P}\left(e^{n[\mathbb {E}\left[\log Y_{i}\right] - \varepsilon ]} < X_{1} X_{2} \ldots X_{n} < e^{n[\mathbb {E}\left[\log Y_{i}\right] + \varepsilon ]}\right) \geq 1 - \frac{\sigma ^{2}}{n\varepsilon ^{2}}.

Hence deduce

P(X1X2…Xn<(E[Yi])nenε)≥1−σ2nε2. \mathbb {P}\left(X_{1} X_{2} \ldots X_{n} < (\mathbb {E}\left[Y_{i}\right])^{n} e^{n\varepsilon }\right) \geq 1 - \frac{\sigma ^{2}}{n\varepsilon ^{2}}.
?
Problem 283

A point is chosen at random on each of two consecutive sides of a rectangle. What is the probability that the area of the triangle bounded by the two sides of the rectangle and the line segment connecting the two points is less than 3/83/8 of the area of the rectangle?

?
Problem 284

Two points are selected at random on segment ABAB which is thus divided into three parts. What is the probability that the three line segments can form a triangle?

?
Problem 285

What is the probability that three points selected at random on the circumference of a circle lie on a semicircle?

?
Problem 286

A line segment of length 11 is divided into five parts by four points selected at random on it. What is the probability that each part is less than 1/21/2?

?
Problem 287

A line segment ABAB is divided by a point CC into two parts AC=aAC = a and CB=bCB = b. Two points XX and YY are taken on ACAC and CBCB, respectively. What is the probability that AX,XY,BYAX, XY, BY can form a triangle?

?
Problem 288

Buffon's needle problem. A smooth table is given with equidistant parallel lines at distance 2a2a. A needle of length 2μ2\mu (μ<a)(\mu < a) is dropped onto the table. What is the probability that the needle crosses a line?

?
Problem 289

A closed convex curve with diameter less than 2a2a is dropped onto the table of Exercise 288. Find the probability that a line is crossed by the curve.

?
Problem 290

AA has aa 10-drachma coins and BB has bb 5-drachma coins. Each of them takes a coin out of his pocket and gives it to the other. This is repeated nn times. What is the probability that AA gives a 10-drachma coin to BB on the nnth exchange?

?
Problem 291

AA tosses a die until an ace or a six appears twice.

?
(a)

What is the probability that the game terminates with the appearance of an ace after no more than nn tosses?

(b)

What is the probability that the game ends with the appearance of an ace?

Problem 292

A professor has three lecture rooms AA, BB, and CC available each year for teaching a course. Since he wishes to use a different classroom every year, at the end of the year he chooses one of the other two rooms for the next academic year as follows. The first year he teaches in AA and selects between BB and CC by tossing a coin. If heads appears he chooses BB, otherwise he selects CC. At the end of each year he makes his selection in the same way. Find the probability pnp_{n} that he teaches in AA during the nnth year. Similarly for BB and CC.

?
Problem 293

Find the probability pnp_{n} that in a sequence of nn Bernoulli trials, with probability of success (S)(S) pp the pattern SFSF does not appear at all (F≡F \equiv failure).

?
(a)
(b)
Problem 294

Let yky_{k} be the expected number of occupied cells when placing (at random) kk balls into nn cells. Find yky_{k}:

?
(a)

by using difference equations;

(b)

by referring to the expected value of a binomial.

Problem 295

A pair of dice is thrown nn times; at each throw we observe whether a double six appears or not. Show that the probability pnp_{n} of an even number of double six's satisfies the difference equation

pn−1718pn−1=136. p_{n} - \frac{17}{18}p_{n-1} = \frac{1}{36}.

Hence find pnp_{n}.

?
Problem 296

Each of nn urns contains ww white balls and bb black balls. One ball is transferred from the first urn to the second urn, then another ball from the second urn is transferred to the third one, and so on. Finally, we draw a ball from the nnth urn. What is the probability that it will be white?

?
Problem 297

AA and BB play the following game. AA throws a coin I with probability of heads pp until he gets tails; then BB begins throwing another coin II with probability of heads p′p' until he gets tails. Then AA begins again and so on. Given that AA begins the game, what is the probability of heads at the nnth throw?

?
Problem 298

AA throws two dice and he gets rr points if rr aces appear (r=0,1,2)(r = 0, 1, 2); the game stops when no ace appears for the first time. Find the probability pnp_{n} that he has nn points at stopping. If the game continues indefinitely, what is the probability that AA has nn points at some point of the game?

?
Problem 299

A box contains aa good lamps and bb bad lamps. At each draw of a lamp, if it is good it is kept in the box, otherwise it is replaced by a good one (from another box). What is the expected number of good lamps in the box after nn trials? Hence calculate the probability of selecting a good lamp at the nnth trial.

?
Problem 300

Let pkp_{k} denote the probability that no cell takes more than two balls when placing kk balls in nn cells at random. Find,

?
(a)

pkp_{k}

(b)

lim⁡k→∞pk\lim_{k \to \infty } p_{k} and n=constantn = \text{constant},

(c)

lim⁡pk\lim p_{k} for k=constantk = \text{constant} and n→∞n \to \infty.