Part II

Advanced Topics

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Problem 171

The joint distribution of (X,Y)(X, Y) is defined by P(X=0,Y=0)=P(X=0,Y=1)=P(X=1,Y=1)=1/3\mathbb {P}\left(X=0, Y=0\right) = \mathbb {P}\left(X=0, Y=1\right) = \mathbb {P}\left(X=1, Y=1\right) = 1/3.

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(a)

Find the marginal distribution functions of XX, YY.

(b)

Examine whether the points P1:(−1/2,0)P_{1}: (-1/2, 0), P2:(0,1)P_{2}: (0, 1) are continuity points of F(x,y)F(x, y).

Problem 172

Show that the function

F(x,y)={0for x+y<1,1for x+y≥1, F(x, y) = \begin{cases} 0 & \text{for } x + y < 1, \\ 1 & \text{for } x + y \geq 1, \end{cases}

is not a joint distribution function.

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Problem 173

We consider a family with two children. Let Xn=1X_{n} = 1 if the nnth child is a boy for n=1,2n = 1, 2 and X3=1X_{3} = 1 if there is only one boy, otherwise Xi=0X_{i} = 0 (i=1,2,3i = 1, 2, 3). Show that the XiX_{i} are pairwise independent but not completely independent.

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Problem 174

XX and YY have the joint density

f(x,y)=cxn1−1(y−x)n2−1e−yfor 0<x<y<∞. f(x, y) = c x^{n_{1}-1} (y-x)^{n_{2}-1} e^{-y} \quad \text{for } 0 < x < y < \infty .

Find

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(a)

the constant cc,

(b)

the marginal distributions of XX and YY.

Problem 175

The kk-dimensional hypergeometric distribution has probability function

P(X1=n1,…,Xk=nk)=(Np1n1)⋯(Npk+1nk+1)/(Nn), \mathbb {P}\left(X_{1}=n_{1}, \ldots , X_{k}=n_{k}\right) = \binom {N p_{1}}{n_{1}} \cdots \binom {N p_{k+1}}{n_{k+1}} \bigg/ \binom {N}{n},

where

nk+1=n−(n1+n2+⋯+nk),pk+1=1−(p1+p2+⋯+pk),ni>0,  pi>0. n_{k+1} = n - (n_{1}+n_{2}+\cdots +n_{k}), \qquad p_{k+1} = 1-(p_{1}+p_{2}+\cdots +p_{k}), \quad n_{i} > 0, \; p_{i} > 0.

Show that the conditional distribution of XkX_{k} given X1,…,Xk−1X_{1}, \ldots , X_{k-1} is hypergeometric.

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Problem 176

If X1,X2,…,XkX_{1}, X_{2}, \ldots , X_{k} are distributed according to the multinomial distribution, the conditional distribution of X1X_{1}, given X2=n2,…,Xk=nkX_{2}=n_{2}, \ldots , X_{k}=n_{k}, is binomial with parameters n−(n2+⋯+nk)n-(n_{2}+\cdots +n_{k}) and p1/(p1+pk+1)p_{1}/(p_{1}+p_{k+1}).

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Problem 177

If X1,X2,…,XkX_{1}, X_{2}, \ldots , X_{k} have a Dirichlet distribution, show that the conditional distribution of Xk/SkX_{k}/S_{k}, for Xi=xiX_{i}=x_{i}, where Sk=1−(X1+⋯+Xk−1)S_{k} = 1-(X_{1}+\cdots +X_{k-1}) is β(nk,nk+1)\beta (n_{k}, n_{k+1}).

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Problem 178

Let X=(X1,X2,X3)X = (X_{1}, X_{2}, X_{3}) be uniformly distributed in the subset of the positive orthant defined by x1≥0x_{1} \geq 0, x2≥0x_{2} \geq 0, x3≥0x_{3} \geq 0, x1+x2+x3≤cx_{1}+x_{2}+x_{3} \leq c. Find,

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(a)

the density of XX,

(b)

the marginal distribution of (X1,X2)(X_{1}, X_{2}).

Problem 179

A bivariate normal distribution has density

f(x,y)=cexp⁡[−x2+xy−y2]. f(x, y) = c \exp \left[-x^{2}+xy-y^{2}\right].

Recall that the nn-dimensional (nonsingular) normal distribution N(μ,Σ)N(\mu , \Sigma ) has density

f(x)=[(2π)p∣Σ∣]−1/2exp⁡[−12(x−μ)′Σ−1(x−μ)], f(x) = \left[(2\pi )^{p} \left|\Sigma \right|\right]^{-1/2} \exp \left[-\tfrac {1}{2}(x-\mu )' \Sigma ^{-1} (x-\mu )\right],

where μ=(μ1,…,μn)′=E[X]\mu = (\mu_{1}, \ldots , \mu_{n})' = \mathbb {E}\left[X\right] denotes the mean vector and Σ\Sigma denotes the (positive definite) covariance matrix of the normal random vector XX.

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(a)

Find the constant cc and the moments of order 2.

(b)

Find the curves of constant density f(x,y)=c∗f(x, y) = c^{*}.

Problem 180

If (X,Y)(X, Y) is uniform in the triangle x≥0x \geq 0, y≥0y \geq 0, x+y≤2x+y \leq 2, find,

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(a)

the density of (X,Y)(X, Y),

(b)

the density of XX,

(c)

the conditional density of YY for X=xX = x,

(d)

E[Y∣X=x]\mathbb {E}\left[ Y \mid X=x \right].

Problem 181

A die is thrown 12 times.

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(a)

Find the probability that every face appears twice.

(b)

Let XX be the number of appearances of 6 and YY the number of appearances of 1. Find the joint distribution of XX, YY.

(c)

Find Cov⁡[X,Y]\operatorname {Cov}\left[ X, Y \right].

Problem 182

Show that the most probable value (n10,n20,…,nk+10)(n_{1}^{0}, n_{2}^{0}, \ldots , n_{k+1}^{0}) of the multinomial distribution satisfies the relations

npi−1<ni0≤(n+k)pi,i=1,2,…,k+1. n p_{i} - 1 < n_{i}^{0} \leq (n+k) p_{i}, \qquad i = 1, 2, \ldots , k+1.
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Remark.
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Show that

pinj0≤pj(ni0+1)for i≠j,  i,j=1,2,…,k+1. p_{i} n_{j}^{0} \leq p_{j}(n_{i}^{0}+1) \quad \text{for } i \neq j, \; i, j = 1, 2, \ldots , k+1.
Problem 183

If the number of trials nn is large and the pip_{i} small so that the npi=λinp_{i} = \lambda_{i} are moderate, show that the multinomial distribution can be approximated by the so-called multiple Poisson distribution

e−(λ1+λ2+⋯+λk)λ1n1λ2n2⋯λknkn1! n2!⋯nk!. e^{-(\lambda _{1}+\lambda _{2}+\cdots +\lambda _{k})} \frac{\lambda _{1}^{n_{1}} \lambda _{2}^{n_{2}} \cdots \lambda _{k}^{n_{k}}}{n_{1}! \, n_{2}! \cdots n_{k}!}.
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Problem 184

Given that the density of XX and YY is

f(x,y)=2(1+x+y)3,x>0,  y>0, f(x, y) = \frac{2}{(1+x+y)^{3}}, \qquad x > 0, \; y > 0,

find,

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(a)

F(x,y)F(x, y),

(b)

fX(x)f_{X}(x),

(c)

fY(y∣X=x)f_{Y}(y \mid X=x).

Problem 185

Find the density function f(x,y)f(x, y) of the uniform distribution in the circle x2+y2≤1x^{2}+y^{2} \leq 1. Find the marginal distributions of XX and YY. Are the variables XX and YY independent?

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Problem 186

The joint density of the variables X,Y,ZX, Y, Z is

f(x,y,z)=8xyz,0<x,y,z<1. f(x, y, z) = 8xyz, \qquad 0 < x, y, z < 1.

Find P(X<Y<Z)\mathbb {P}\left(X < Y < Z\right).

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Problem 187

For each of the following densities f(x,y)f(x, y), find F(x,y)F(x, y), FX(x)F_{X}(x), FY(y)F_{Y}(y), fX(x)f_{X}(x), fY(y)f_{Y}(y), fX(x∣Y=y)f_{X}(x \mid Y=y), fY(y∣X=x)f_{Y}(y \mid X=x).

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(a)

f(x,y)=4xy,0<x,  y<1f(x, y) = 4xy, \quad 0 < x, \; y < 1,

(b)

f(x,y)=18(x2−y2)e−x,0<x<∞,  ∣y∣<xf(x, y) = \tfrac {1}{8}(x^{2}-y^{2}) e^{-x}, \quad 0 < x < \infty , \; \left|y\right| < x.

Problem 188

The joint probability function p(xi,yj)p(x_{i}, y_{j}) of X,YX, Y is given in the following table:

y=−1012p(xj)x=−10.10.1500.10.3500.1500.10.20.4510.050.0500.10.20q(yj)0.30.20.10.41.00 \begin{array}{c|cccc|c}& y = -1 & 0 & 1 & 2 & p(x_{j}) \\ \hline x = -1 & 0.1 & 0.15 & 0 & 0.1 & 0.35 \\ 0 & 0.15 & 0 & 0.1 & 0.2 & 0.45 \\ 1 & 0.05 & 0.05 & 0 & 0.1 & 0.20 \\ \hline q(y_{j}) & 0.3 & 0.2 & 0.1 & 0.4 & 1.00 \end{array}
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(a)

Calculate the regression lines of XX on YY and of YY on XX.

(b)

If it is possible to observe only XX, what is the best estimate of YY in terms of XX in the sense of the mean square error?

Problem 189

Show that the discrete variables XX and YY with joint probability function pij=P(X=xi,Y=yj)p_{ij} = \mathbb {P}\left(X=x_{i}, Y=y_{j}\right) are independent if and only if the matrix of probabilities P=(pij)P = (p_{ij}) has rank 1.

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Problem 190

Show that two orthogonal (uncorrelated) variables each taking two values are independent.

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Problem 191

Find the probability generating function and hence the mean and variance of the following distributions: (a) binomial, (b) Poisson, (c) geometric, (d) Pascal. Moreover, deduce the corresponding moment generating functions and characteristic functions.

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(a)
(b)
(c)
(d)
Problem 192

Let X1=X2=XX_{1} = X_{2} = X when XX has the Cauchy density

f(x)=1π⋅11+x2,−∞<x<∞. f(x) = \frac{1}{\pi } \cdot \frac{1}{1+x^{2}}, \qquad -\infty < x < \infty .

Prove that

φX1+X2(t)=φX1(t)φX2(t), \varphi _{X_{1}+X_{2}}(t) = \varphi _{X_{1}}(t)\varphi _{X_{2}}(t),

while X1X_{1}, X2X_{2} are not independent.

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Problem 193

From the probability generating function PX(t)P_{X}(t) of X=0,1,2,…X = 0, 1, 2, \ldots, find the probability generating function of Y=3X+2Y = 3X+2.

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Problem 194

Using the probability generating function prove that the random variable SNS_{N} of formula (6.3) --- SN=X1+X2+⋯+XNS_{N} = X_{1}+X_{2}+\cdots +X_{N}, where the random variable N=0,1,…N = 0, 1, \ldots and the XiX_{i} are completely independent and identically distributed --- has variance given by Var⁡[SN]=E[N]Var⁡[X]+Var⁡[N]E[X]2\operatorname {Var}\left[S_{N}\right] = \mathbb {E}\left[N\right]\operatorname {Var}\left[X\right] + \operatorname {Var}\left[N\right]\mathbb {E}\left[X\right]^{2}.

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Problem 195

A woman continues to have children until she has a boy! Suppose that the probability of having a blond child is pp; find the probability that the woman will have kk blond children. (Assume that the color is independent of sex.)

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Problem 196

The number NN of visitors to a shop has the Poisson distribution. On average, 150 women visit the shop every day. Of these, 100p1%100p_{1}\% buy mini, 100p2%100p_{2}\% buy midi, 100p3%100p_{3}\% buy maxi, and the remaining buy nothing. (No woman buys more than one dress!!) Let X1,X2,X3X_{1}, X_{2}, X_{3} be the corresponding numbers of mini, midi, and maxi that are bought in a day. Find the joint probability function of X1,X2,X3X_{1}, X_{2}, X_{3}. Are they independent?

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Problem 197

Let XX, YY be independent with densities

fX(u)=a+b−acos⁡(u/a)−bcos⁡(u/b)2πu2,−∞<u<+∞, f_{X}(u) = \frac{a+b-a\cos (u/a)-b\cos (u/b)}{2\pi u^{2}}, \qquad -\infty < u < +\infty , fY(u)=c−ccos⁡(u/c)πu2, f_{Y}(u) = \frac{c-c\cos (u/c)}{\pi u^{2}},

Prove that φX(t)=φY(t)\varphi_{X}(t) = \varphi_{Y}(t) for ∣t∣≤min⁡{1/a,1/b,1/c}|t| \leq \min \left\{ 1/a, 1/b, 1/c\right\}, 2c=a+b2c = a+b.

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Problem 198

Let X1,X2,…,XnX_{1}, X_{2}, \ldots , X_{n} be independent random variables having the same normal distribution with mean μ\mu and variance 11. We set

Sn=∑k=1nXk2. S_{n} = \sum _{k=1}^{n} X_{k}^{2}.

Moreover, let the random variable T=aYvT = aY_{v} where a,va, v are suitable constants, and YvY_{v} follows the χ2\chi^{2} distribution with vv degrees of freedom. Using characteristic functions, find the constants aa and vv so that the random variables SnS_{n} and TT have the same means and the same variances.

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Problem 199

Prove that SNS_{N} of formula (6.3) --- SN=X1+X2+⋯+XNS_{N} = X_{1}+X_{2}+\cdots +X_{N}, where the random variable N=0,1,…N = 0, 1, \ldots and the XiX_{i} are completely independent and identically distributed --- has the characteristic function

φSN(t)=PN(φXi(t)). \varphi _{S_{N}}(t) = P_{N}(\varphi _{X_{i}}(t)).
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Problem 200

Prove that φ(t)=exp⁡[λ(e−∣t∣−1)]\varphi (t) = \exp [\lambda (e^{-|t|}-1)] is the characteristic function of a Poisson distribution compounded with (generalized by) a Cauchy distribution. Then, using the inversion formula, find its density.

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Problem 201

Let ZnZ_{n} be a random variable following the binomial distribution with parameters nn and p=λ/np = \lambda /n (λ>0)(\lambda > 0). Moreover, let the random variable ZZ have a Poisson distribution with parameter λ\lambda. Prove that lim⁡n→∞φZn(t)=φZ(t)\lim_{n\to \infty } \varphi_{Z_{n}}(t) = \varphi_{Z}(t) (t∈R)(t \in R), where φZn(t)\varphi_{Z_{n}}(t) and φZ(t)\varphi_{Z}(t) are the characteristic functions of ZnZ_{n} and ZZ, respectively. Then deduce the approximation of the binomial by the Poisson.

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Problem 202

Calculate the characteristic function of a Gamma distribution with density

f(x)=λsΓ(s)e−λxxs−1,x>0(s>0). f(x) = \frac{\lambda ^{s}}{\Gamma (s)}e^{-\lambda x}x^{s-1}, \qquad x > 0 \quad (s > 0).

Then deduce the characteristic function of χn2\chi_{n}^{2}.

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Problem 203

At the nnth toss of a coin a player receives or pays 2−n2^{-n} of a drachma depending on whether heads or tails appears. Let YnY_{n} be the gain of the player after nn tosses. Show that the distribution of YnY_{n} as n→∞n\to \infty tends to the uniform distribution in the interval (−1,1)(-1,1). First find the characteristic function of YnY_{n}.

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Problem 204

XX has distribution function F(x)F(x) which is a mixture of two distribution functions F1,F2F_{1}, F_{2} as follows:

F(x)=λF1(x)+(1−λ)F2(x),λ>0. F(x) = \lambda F_{1}(x) + (1-\lambda )F_{2}(x), \qquad \lambda > 0.

If F1F_{1} is N(μ1,σ12)N(\mu_{1}, \sigma_{1}^{2}) and F2F_{2} is N(μ2,σ22)N(\mu_{2}, \sigma_{2}^{2}) find the characteristic function of FF and then the E[X]\mathbb {E}\left[X\right] and Var⁡[X]\operatorname {Var}\left[X\right].

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Problem 205

Find the second characteristic function (cumulant generating function) ψ(t)\psi (t) of the exponential with density

f(x)=θe−θx,x>0, f(x) = \theta e^{-\theta x}, \qquad x > 0,

and prove that the cumulant of order rr, κr\kappa_{r}, is given by

κr=(r−1)!θr,r=1,2,…. \kappa _{r} = \frac{(r-1)!}{\theta ^{r}}, \qquad r = 1, 2, \ldots .
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Problem 206

(Continuation of Problem 205.) Let YY be a discrete random variable defined as follows. For h>0h > 0 and k=0,1,2,…k = 0, 1, 2, \ldots,

P(Y=(2k+1)h/2)=P(kh≤X≤(k+1)h). \mathbb {P}\left(Y=(2k+1)h/2\right) = \mathbb {P}\left(kh \leq X \leq (k+1)h\right).

Find the probability generating function of YY and then show that E[X]>E[Y]\mathbb {E}\left[X\right] > \mathbb {E}\left[Y\right], Var⁡[X]<Var⁡[Y]\operatorname {Var}\left[X\right] < \operatorname {Var}\left[Y\right].

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Problem 207

Suppose that the density f(x,y)=g(x2+y2)f(x,y) = g(x^{2}+y^{2}), i.e., it has circular symmetry about the origin. Show that the characteristic function of ff, φ(t,u)\varphi (t,u), is a function of t2+u2t^{2}+u^{2} (only). Hence show that the only distribution of independent random variables with the above property is the normal. (Consider an orthogonal transformation of t,ut, u.)

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Problem 208

Consider two independent random samples X1,X2,…,XnX_{1}, X_{2}, \ldots , X_{n} and Y1,Y2,…,YnY_{1}, Y_{2}, \ldots , Y_{n} from the Laplace distribution

f(x)=12e−∣x∣,−∞<x<∞. f(x) = \tfrac {1}{2}e^{-|x|}, \qquad -\infty < x < \infty .

Show that the means of the differences Xi−YiX_{i}-Y_{i} and Xi+YiX_{i}+Y_{i} have the same distribution but are not independent. Are they orthogonal?

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Problem 209

If φ(t)\varphi (t) is a characteristic function show that, (a) ∣φ(t)∣2|\varphi (t)|^{2}, (b) eλ(φ(t)−1)e^{\lambda (\varphi (t)-1)} are also characteristic functions.

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(a)
(b)
Problem 210

Calculate the probability generating function of the multinomial distribution and then show that

E[Xj]=npj,Var⁡[Xj]=npj(1−pj),Cov⁡[Xj,Xk]=−npjpk. \mathbb {E}\left[X_{j}\right] = np_{j}, \qquad \operatorname {Var}\left[X_{j}\right] = np_{j}(1-p_{j}), \qquad \operatorname {Cov}\left[ X_{j}, X_{k} \right] = -np_{j}p_{k}.
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Problem 211

(Continuation of Problem 210.) If, as n→∞n\to \infty, npj→λjnp_{j}\to \lambda_{j} (j=1,2,…,k+1)(j=1,2,\ldots ,k+1), then the multinomial distribution tends to the kk-dimensional Poisson Y=(Y1,Y2,…,Yk)Y=(Y_{1},Y_{2},\ldots ,Y_{k}) where the YiY_{i} are independent Poisson, YjY_{j} with parameter λj\lambda_{j} (cf. Exercise 183).

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Problem 212

Calculate the characteristic function of the negative multinomial distribution

P(X1=n1,…,Xk=nk)=(1+∑j=1k+1θj)−s−vΓ(s+v)Γ(s)∏j=1k+1θjnjnj!, \mathbb {P}\left(X_{1}=n_{1},\ldots ,X_{k}=n_{k}\right) = \left(1+\sum _{j=1}^{k+1}\theta _{j}\right)^{-s-v}\frac{\Gamma (s+v)}{\Gamma (s)}\prod _{j=1}^{k+1}\frac{\theta _{j}^{n_{j}}}{n_{j}!},

where s>0s>0, θj>0\theta_{j}>0 (nj=0,1,2,…)(n_{j}=0,1,2,\ldots ), and nk+1=n−(n1+⋯+nk)n_{k+1}=n-(n_{1}+\cdots +n_{k}), and hence

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(a)

Verify that E[Xj]=sθj\mathbb {E}\left[X_{j}\right] = s\theta_{j}, Var⁡[Xj]=sθj(1+θj)\operatorname {Var}\left[X_{j}\right] = s\theta_{j}(1+\theta_{j}), Cov⁡[Xj,Xk]=sθjθk\operatorname {Cov}\left[ X_{j}, X_{k} \right] = s\theta_{j}\theta_{k}.

(b)

Show that if the conditional distributions of the XjX_{j} given V=vV=v are independent Poisson with parameters vλjv\lambda_{j}, respectively (j=1,2,…,r)(j=1,2,\ldots ,r) and VV has the Gamma distribution with density

f(v)=λsΓ(s)e−λvvs−1,s>0, f(v) = \frac{\lambda ^{s}}{\Gamma (s)}e^{-\lambda v}v^{s-1}, \qquad s > 0,

then X=(X1,X2,…,Xk)X=(X_{1},X_{2},\ldots ,X_{k}) has the above negative multinomial distribution with parameters θj=λj/λ\theta_{j}=\lambda_{j}/\lambda.

Problem 213

X,YX, Y have a distribution of the continuous type with characteristic function φ(t1,t2)\varphi (t_{1},t_{2}). Show that the conditional characteristic function of XX given Y=yY=y is

φX(t1∣Y=y)=∫−∞∞e−it2yφ(t1,t2) dt2∫−∞∞e−it2yφ(0,t2) dt2. \varphi _{X}(t_{1} \mid Y=y) = \frac{\displaystyle \int _{-\infty }^{\infty } e^{-it_{2}y}\varphi (t_{1},t_{2}) \, dt_{2}}{\displaystyle \int _{-\infty }^{\infty } e^{-it_{2}y}\varphi (0,t_{2}) \, dt_{2}}.
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Problem 214

A random sample X1,X2,…,Xn1+n2−nX_{1}, X_{2}, \ldots , X_{n_{1}+n_{2}-n} on a continuous random variable XX with −∞<X<∞-\infty < X < \infty, is divided at random into three subsets of (n1−n)(n_{1}-n), (n2−n)(n_{2}-n), and nn observations (n1>n,n2>n)(n_{1}>n, n_{2}>n). Let S1,S2S_{1}, S_{2}, and S3S_{3} denote the corresponding sums. Find the characteristic function of

Y=S1+S3,Z=S2+S3andE[Y∣Z=z]. Y = S_{1}+S_{3}, \qquad Z = S_{2}+S_{3} \qquad \text{and} \qquad \mathbb {E}\left[Y \mid Z=z\right].
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Problem 215

Show that the following distributions are infinitely divisible: (a) Pascal, (b) Cauchy, (c) Laplace, (d) Gamma.

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Problem 216

The radius of a circle is approximately measured so that it has the uniform distribution in the interval (a,b)(a, b). Find the distribution:

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(a)

of the length of the circumference of the circle;

(b)

of the area of the circle.

Problem 217

Suppose that XX and YY are independent random variables with the same exponential density

f(x)=θe−θx,x>0. f(x) = \theta e^{-\theta x}, \qquad x > 0.

Show that the sum X+YX + Y and the ratio X/YX/Y are independent.

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Problem 218

Suppose that XX and YY are independent uniform variables in (0,1)(0, 1). Find the probability that the roots of λ2+2Xλ+Y=0\lambda^{2} + 2X\lambda + Y = 0 are real.

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Problem 219

The angle φ\varphi at which a projectile is fired with initial velocity vv follows the uniform distribution in the interval (0,π/2)(0, \pi /2). Find the distribution of the horizontal distance dd between the firing point and the point at which the projectile falls.

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Problem 220

Suppose that XX and YY are normal variables with mean 00, variance σ2\sigma^{2}, and correlation coefficient ρ\rho.

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(a)

Find the distribution of X/YX/Y.

(b)

Using the above result prove that

P(X<0,Y>0)=12P(XY<0)=14−arcsin⁡ρ2π. \mathbb {P}\left(X < 0, Y > 0\right) = \frac{1}{2} \mathbb {P}\left(XY < 0\right) = \frac{1}{4} - \frac{\arcsin \rho }{2\pi }.

Verify this by integrating the density of (X,Y)(X, Y).

Problem 221

Let A=(X,Y)A = (X, Y) be the point of impact of a shot on a vertical target with center at origin OO and suppose the distribution of AA is that of Exercise 220 with ρ=0\rho = 0 (called circular normal). Show that the distance R=(OA)R = (OA) between the point of impact and the centre of the target and the angle of OAOA with the horizontal axis (i.e., the polar coordinates of AA) are independent variables. Find the distribution of R2R^{2}.

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Problem 222

If XX has the uniform distribution on the interval (0,1)(0, 1), then:

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(a)

Prove that Y=aX+bY = aX + b is also uniformly distributed (aa and bb constants).

(b)

Find the distribution of Y=AX2+BX+CY = AX^{2} + BX + C (A,B,CA, B, C constants).

Problem 223

If X1,X2X_{1}, X_{2} are independent and uniform on the interval (0,1)(0, 1), find the densities of:

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(a)

X1+X2X_{1} + X_{2};

(b)

X1−X2X_{1} - X_{2};

(c)

∣X1−X2∣\left|X_{1} - X_{2}\right|;

(d)

X1/X2X_{1}/X_{2}.

Problem 224

Two friends AA and BB agree to meet between 12 (noon) and 1 p.m. at a restaurant. Supposing that they arrive at random between 12 and 1 p.m. independently of each other and the lunch lasts 30 minutes, what is the probability that they meet in the restaurant? Let TT be the instant of their meeting. What is the conditional distribution of TT,

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(a)

given that they meet;

(b)

given that they meet and AA arrives first?

Problem 225

Let XX and YY be independent with densities

fX(x)=1π11−x2,∣x∣<1,fY(y)=yσ2e−y/2σ2. f_{X}(x) = \frac{1}{\pi } \frac{1}{\sqrt{1 - x^{2}}}, \qquad \left|x\right| < 1, \qquad f_{Y}(y) = \frac{y}{\sigma ^{2}} e^{-y/2\sigma ^{2}}.

Show that XYXY is N(0,σ2)\mathscr {N}\left(0, \sigma^{2}\right).

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Problem 226

Given nn independent random numbers X1,X2,…,XnX_{1}, X_{2}, \ldots , X_{n} from (0,1)(0, 1), called pseudorandom numbers, show that:

?
(a)

Y=−∑i=1n2log⁡X1Y = -\sum_{i=1}^{n} 2 \log X_{1} has the χ2\chi^{2} distribution with 2n2n degrees of freedom;

(b)

the variables

ξ=−−2log⁡X1cos⁡(2πX2),η=−2log⁡X1sin⁡(2πX2), \xi = -\sqrt{-2 \log X_{1}} \cos (2\pi X_{2}), \qquad \eta = \sqrt{-2 \log X_{1}} \sin (2\pi X_{2}),

are independent N(0,1)\mathscr {N}\left(0, 1\right).

Thus (a) generates samples of χ2\chi^{2} distributions with an even number of degrees of freedom, while (b) generates a pair of independent normal variables.

Problem 227

Let XX be a continuous random variable XX with distribution function F(⋅)F(\cdot ); consider the random variable

Y=F(X)=∫−∞Xf(u) du. Y = F(X) = \int _{-\infty }^{X} f(u) \, du.

This transformation is called the probability integral transformation.

Show that the distribution of YY is uniform in the interval (0,1)(0, 1), that is,

FY(y)=y,0<y<1. F_{Y}(y) = y, \qquad 0 < y < 1.

Given a random sample X1,X2,…,XnX_{1}, X_{2}, \ldots , X_{n} from the uniform distribution, show that the solutions y1,y2,…,yny_{1}, y_{2}, \ldots , y_{n} of y1=F−1(x1),y2=F−1(x2),…,yn=F−1(xn)y_{1} = F^{-1}(x_{1}), y_{2} = F^{-1}(x_{2}), \ldots , y_{n} = F^{-1}(x_{n}) form a random sample from the FF distribution.

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Problem 228

(Continuation of Problem 227.) Suppose the height XX of men has the normal distribution N(167 cm,9 cm2)\mathscr {N}\left(167 \text{ cm}, 9 \text{ cm}^{2}\right) and a random sample of 10 men is taken with heights X1,X2,…,X10X_{1}, X_{2}, \ldots , X_{10}. What is probability that the (random) interval δ=[min⁡(X1,…,X10),max⁡(X1,…,X10)]\delta = [\min (X_{1}, \ldots , X_{10}), \max (X_{1}, \ldots , X_{10})] covers at least 95 of the population of heights? That is, the P(P(X∈δ)≥0.95)\mathbb {P}\left(\mathbb {P}\left(X \in \delta \right) \geq 0.95\right) is to be calculated; note that the P(X∈δ)\mathbb {P}\left(X \in \delta \right), depending on the random interval δ\delta, is a random variable.

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Problem 229

XX is called a lognormal variable, if the log⁡X=Y\log X = Y has a normal distribution N(μ,σ2)\mathscr {N}\left(\mu , \sigma^{2}\right).

?
(a)

Find the density of XX.

(b)

Find E(X)E(X) and Var⁡[X]\operatorname {Var}\left[X\right].

(c)

If the XiX_{i} are independent lognormal random variables, their product X1X2…XnX_{1} X_{2} \ldots X_{n} is also lognormal.

Problem 230

Show that if F(x,y)F(x, y) is the distribution function of XX and YY and

Z=max⁡(X,Y),W=min⁡(X,Y), Z = \max (X, Y), \qquad W = \min (X, Y),

then

FZ(z)=F(z,z),FW(w)=FX(w)+FY(w)−F(w,w). F_{Z}(z) = F(z, z), \qquad F_{W}(w) = F_{X}(w) + F_{Y}(w) - F(w, w).

If F(x,y)F(x, y) is continuous find the densities of ZZ and WW.

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Problem 231

(Continuation of Problem 230.) If XX and YY are independent N(0,1)\mathscr {N}\left(0, 1\right), show that

E{max⁡(X,Y)}=1π. E\{ \max (X, Y)\} = \frac{1}{\sqrt{\pi }}.
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Problem 232

Let X=(X1,X2,…,Xk)X = (X_{1}, X_{2}, \ldots , X_{k}) have the Dirichlet distribution. Find the distribution,

?
(a)

of Yk=X1+X2+⋯+XkY_{k} = X_{1} + X_{2} + \cdots + X_{k}, and

(b)

of Yi=X1+X2+⋯+XiY_{i} = X_{1} + X_{2} + \cdots + X_{i} (i=1,2,…,k)(i = 1, 2, \ldots , k).

Problem 233

(Continuation of Problem 232.) If XiX_{i} (i=1,2,…,k+1)(i = 1, 2, \ldots , k+1) are independent Gamma variables with parameters n1,…,nk+1n_{1}, \ldots , n_{k+1} and λ\lambda, respectively, show that the

Yi=XiX1+⋯+Xk+1,i=1,2,…,k, Y_{i} = \frac{X_{i}}{X_{1} + \cdots + X_{k+1}}, \qquad i = 1, 2, \ldots , k,

have the kk-dimensional Dirichlet distribution (5.11).

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Problem 234

Let XX and YY be independent Poisson variables with parameters λ\lambda and μ\mu. Show that:

?
(a)

the sum X+YX + Y is also Poisson (use the convolution formula, cf. (7.3));

(b)

the conditional distribution of XX given that X+YX + Y is binomial.

Problem 235

Let XX and YY be independent binomial with parameters N,pN, p and M,pM, p, respectively. Show that:

?
(a)

the sum of X+YX + Y is binomial (use the convolution formula);

(b)

the conditional distribution of XX given X+YX + Y is hypergeometric, independent of pp.

Problem 236

Show that the mean

X‾=1n∑i=1nXi \overline{X} = \frac{1}{n} \sum _{i=1}^{n} X_{i}

and the variance

s2=1n−1∑i=1n(Xi−X‾)2 s^{2} = \frac{1}{n-1} \sum _{i=1}^{n} (X_{i} - \overline{X})^{2}

of the random sample X1,X2,…,XnX_{1}, X_{2}, \ldots , X_{n} from N(μ,σ2)\mathscr {N}\left(\mu , \sigma^{2}\right) are independent. Hence deduce the distribution of (n−1)s2(n-1)s^{2}.

Hint:

?
(a)

Use any orthogonal transformation Y→=HX→\overrightarrow {Y} = H\overrightarrow {X} such that

Yn=nX‾,Y→=(Y1,…,Yn)′,X→=(X1,…,Xn)′. Y_{n} = \sqrt{n}\overline{X}, \qquad \overrightarrow {Y} = (Y_{1}, \ldots , Y_{n})', \qquad \overrightarrow {X} = (X_{1}, \ldots , X_{n})'.
(b)

Cov⁡[X‾,Xi−X‾]=0\operatorname {Cov}\left[ \overline{X}, X_{i} - \overline{X} \right] = 0.

Show that Cov⁡[X‾,s2]=μ3/n\operatorname {Cov}\left[ \overline{X}, s^{2} \right] = \mu_{3}/n for samples from nonnormal populations, where μ3\mu_{3} is the population central moment of order 3.

Problem 237

Test for the Behrens–Fisher problem. To test whether two heteroscedastic normal populations have the same means one uses the statistic

t=[m(m−1)]1/2(x‾−y‾)/[∑j=1m(uj−u‾)2]1/2, t = [m(m-1)]^{1/2} (\overline{x} - \overline{y}) \Big/ \left[\sum _{j=1}^{m} (u_{j} - \overline{u})^{2}\right]^{1/2},

where x‾,y‾\overline{x}, \overline{y} are the sample means of the independent samples from N(μ1,σ12)\mathscr {N}\left(\mu_{1}, \sigma_{1}^{2}\right) and from N(μ2,σ22)\mathscr {N}\left(\mu_{2}, \sigma_{2}^{2}\right), respectively, m≤nm \leq n and uj=xj−(m/n)yju_{j} = x_{j} - (\sqrt{m/n}) y_{j} (j=1,2,…,m)(j = 1, 2, \ldots , m). Show that tt has Student's distribution with m−1m-1 degrees of freedom when μ1=μ2=μ\mu_{1} = \mu_{2} = \mu.

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Problem 238

Find the joint density of the ordered statistics X(1)<X(2)<⋯<X(n)X_{(1)} < X_{(2)} < \cdots < X_{(n)} from a distribution of the continuous type.

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Problem 239

If X1,X2,…,XnX_{1}, X_{2}, \ldots , X_{n} is a random sample from the continuous distribution FF. Find:

?
(a)

the joint density function of the random variables

Y=F(min⁡1≤i≤nXi),Z=F(max⁡1≤i≤nXi); Y = F\left(\min _{1 \leq i \leq n} X_{i}\right), \qquad Z = F\left(\max _{1 \leq i \leq n} X_{i}\right);
(b)

E(R)=E(Z−Y)E(R) = E(Z - Y) where RR is the range of the sample.

Problem 240

Let X(1)<X(2)<⋯<X(n)X_{(1)} < X_{(2)} < \cdots < X_{(n)} be the ordered sample from a continuous distribution F(x)F(x). Show that

E[X(k+1)−X(k)]=(nk)∫−∞+∞Fn−k(x)[1−F(x)]k dx. E[X_{(k+1)} - X_{(k)}] = \binom {n}{k} \int _{-\infty }^{+\infty } F^{n-k}(x) [1 - F(x)]^{k} \, dx.

Hint: Use the joint density of X(k),X(k+1)X_{(k)}, X_{(k+1)}.

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Problem 241

A random sample of size nn is taken from a uniform distribution in the interval (0,1)(0, 1). Find,

?
(a)

the mean E[X(k)]E[X_{(k)}],

(b)

the distribution of R=X(n)−X(1)R = X_{(n)} - X_{(1)}.

Problem 242

If y1<y2<y3y_{1} < y_{2} < y_{3} are the ordered observations of a random sample of size 3 from a distribution with density

f(x)={1,θ−12<x<θ+12,0,elsewhere. f(x) = \begin{cases} 1, & \theta - \frac{1}{2} < x < \theta + \frac{1}{2}, \\ 0, & \text{elsewhere.} \end{cases}

For α=β=0.4\alpha = \beta = 0.4 show that P(θ−α<y2<θ+β)=0.944\mathbb {P}\left(\theta - \alpha < y_{2} < \theta + \beta \right) = 0.944.

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Problem 243

Let Y1<Y2<Y3Y_{1} < Y_{2} < Y_{3} be ordered observations of a random sample of size 3 from a distribution with density

f(x)={2x;0<x<1,0,elsewhere. f(x) = \begin{cases} 2x; & 0 < x < 1, \\ 0, & \text{elsewhere.} \end{cases}

Show that Z1=Y1/Y2,Z2=Y2/Y3Z_{1} = Y_{1}/Y_{2}, Z_{2} = Y_{2}/Y_{3}, and Z3=Y3Z_{3} = Y_{3} are completely independent.

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Problem 244

If X1,X2X_{1}, X_{2} are independent β\beta variables with densities β(n1,n2)\beta (n_{1}, n_{2}) and β(n1+1/2,n2)\beta (n_{1}+1/2, n_{2}), respectively, where for n1>0,n2>0n_{1} > 0, n_{2} > 0,

β(m,n)=1B(m,n)xm−1(1−x)n−1,0<x<1. \beta (m, n) = \frac{1}{B(m,n)} x^{m-1} (1-x)^{n-1}, \qquad 0 < x < 1.

Show that Y=X1X2Y = \sqrt{X_{1} X_{2}} has also the β\beta distribution β(2n1,2n2)\beta (2n_{1}, 2n_{2}).

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Problem 245

The random pair (X,Y)(X, Y) has density

f(x,y)=1Γ(m)Γ(n)xm−1(y−x)n−1e−y,0<x<y<∞. f(x,y) = \frac{1}{\Gamma (m)\Gamma (n)} x^{m-1} (y-x)^{n-1} e^{-y}, \qquad 0 < x < y < \infty .

Find the distribution of Z=Y−XZ = Y - X. Are ZZ and XX independent? (cf. Exercise 174).

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Problem 246

Show that Z=2XYZ = 2\sqrt{XY}, where XX and YY are two independent Γ\Gamma variables with parameters (λ1,n)(\lambda_{1}, n) and (λ2,n+1/2)(\lambda_{2}, n+1/2), respectively, has the Γ\Gamma distribution with parameters (λ,2n)(\lambda , 2n) where λ=λ1λ2\lambda = \sqrt{\lambda_{1}\lambda_{2}}.

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Problem 247

For the pair (X,Y)(X, Y) of Exercise 245 show that W=X/YW = X/Y has the density β(m,n)\beta (m, n) of Exercise 244.

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Problem 248

If XX and YY are independent N(0,σ2)\mathscr {N}\left(0, \sigma^{2}\right), show that

Z=XYX2+Y2,W=X2−Y2X2+Y2, Z = \frac{XY}{\sqrt{X^{2}+Y^{2}}}, \qquad W = \frac{X^{2}-Y^{2}}{\sqrt{X^{2}+Y^{2}}},

are also independent normal.

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Problem 249

Let XX have an nn-variate normal distribution N(μ,Σ)\mathscr {N}\left(\mu , \Sigma \right). Find the density of Y=AXY = AX where AA is a nonsingular matrix.

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Problem 250

The points of impact of two players A1,A2A_{1}, A_{2} on a vertical target follow the circular normal distribution with mean the center of the target and variances σ12\sigma_{1}^{2} and σ22\sigma_{2}^{2}, respectively. Find the probability that the impact point of A1A_{1} is closer to the center than that of A2A_{2}.

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Problem 251

If the independent random variables X1,…,Xn,…X_{1}, \ldots , X_{n}, \ldots satisfy the condition

Var⁡[Xi]≤c<∞,i=1,2,…, \operatorname {Var}\left[X_{i}\right] \leq c < \infty , \qquad i = 1, 2, \ldots ,

then the SLLN holds.

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Problem 252

In a sequence of random variables X1,…,Xn,…X_{1}, \ldots , X_{n}, \ldots suppose that XkX_{k} depends only on Xk−1,Xk+1X_{k-1}, X_{k+1}, but that it is independent of all the other random variables (k=2,3,…k = 2, 3, \ldots). Show that if Var⁡[Xi]≤N<∞\operatorname {Var}\left[X_{i}\right] \leq N < \infty (i=1,2,…i = 1, 2, \ldots), then the WLLN holds.

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Problem 253

If for every nn, Var⁡[Xi]≤c<∞\operatorname {Var}\left[X_{i}\right] \leq c < \infty and Cov⁡[Xi,Xj]<0\operatorname {Cov}\left[ X_{i}, X_{j} \right] < 0 (i,j=1,2,…,ni, j = 1, 2, \ldots , n), then the WLLN holds.

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Problem 254

Let {Xn}\left\{ X_{n}\right\} be a sequence of random variables so that Var⁡[Xi]≤c<∞\operatorname {Var}\left[X_{i}\right] \leq c < \infty (i=1,2,…i = 1, 2, \ldots) and Cov⁡[Xi,Xj]→0\operatorname {Cov}\left[ X_{i}, X_{j} \right] \to 0 when ∣i−j∣→∞\left|i - j\right| \to \infty then the WLLN holds (Theorem of Bernstein).

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Problem 255

If Xn→LXX_{n} \xrightarrow {L} X, Yn→PcY_{n} \xrightarrow {P} c, then

?
(a)

Xn+Yn→LX+cX_{n} + Y_{n} \xrightarrow {L} X + c;

(b)

XnYn→LcXX_{n} Y_{n} \xrightarrow {L} cX;

(c)

Xn/Yn→LX/cX_{n} / Y_{n} \xrightarrow {L} X / c.

Problem 256

Let ξn=(X1n,X2n,…,Xkn)′\xi_{n} = (X_{1n}, X_{2n}, \ldots , X_{kn})' (n=1,2,…n = 1, 2, \ldots) be a sequence of random vectors and ξ=(X1,X2,…,Xk)′\xi = (X_{1}, X_{2}, \ldots , X_{k})' a random vector with distribution function F(x1,…,xk)F(x_{1}, \ldots , x_{k}). If

∑i=1kciXin→L∑i=1kciXi \sum _{i=1}^{k} c_{i} X_{in} \xrightarrow {L} \sum _{i=1}^{k} c_{i} X_{i}

for all constants c1,…,ckc_{1}, \ldots , c_{k}, then the joint distribution function FξnF_{\xi_{n}} of X1n,…,XknX_{1n}, \ldots , X_{kn} has a limit and

Fξn(x1,…,xk)→F(x1,…,xk). F_{\xi _{n}}(x_{1}, \ldots , x_{k}) \to F(x_{1}, \ldots , x_{k}).
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Problem 257

Let {Xn}\left\{ X_{n}\right\} be a sequence of independent random variables uniformly bounded, that is, there is a constant MM such that P(Xk≤M)=1\mathbb {P}\left(X_{k} \leq M\right) = 1 for all k=1,2,…k = 1, 2, \ldots, and suppose that Var⁡[Xk]≠0\operatorname {Var}\left[X_{k}\right] \neq 0 for every kk. If sn2→∞s_{n}^{2} \to \infty, then the CLT holds (cf. (8.13)).

Formula (8.13), Lyapunov's CLT: let X1,…,Xn,…X_{1}, \ldots , X_{n}, \ldots be a sequence of independent random variables with E[Xi]=μi\mathbb {E}\left[X_{i}\right] = \mu_{i}, Var⁡[Xi]=σi2\operatorname {Var}\left[X_{i}\right] = \sigma_{i}^{2}, βi=E[∣Xi−μi∣3]\beta_{i} = \mathbb {E}\left[\left|X_{i} - \mu_{i}\right|^{3}\right], and set sn=(∑i=1nσi2)1/2s_{n} = \left(\sum_{i=1}^{n} \sigma_{i}^{2}\right)^{1/2}, Bn=(∑i=1nβi)1/3B_{n} = \left(\sum_{i=1}^{n} \beta_{i}\right)^{1/3}; if Bn/sn→0B_{n}/s_{n} \to 0 as n→∞n \to \infty, then

Sn∗=∑i=1n(Xi−μi)sn→n→∞LN(0,1). S_{n}^{*} = \frac{\sum _{i=1}^{n} (X_{i} - \mu _{i})}{s_{n}} \xrightarrow [n \to \infty ]{L} N(0, 1).
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Problem 258

Show that

lim⁡n→∞e−n∑k=0nnkk!=12. \lim _{n \to \infty } e^{-n} \sum _{k=0}^{n} \frac{n^{k}}{k!} = \frac{1}{2}.
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Problem 259

If XX and YY are independent Poisson variables with parameters λ1\lambda_{1} and λ2\lambda_{2}, respectively, show that

X−Y−(λ1−λ2)(X+Y)1/2→λ1→∞λ2→∞LN(0,1). \frac{X - Y - (\lambda _{1} - \lambda _{2})}{(X+Y)^{1/2}} \xrightarrow [\substack {\lambda _{1} \to \infty \\ \lambda _{2} \to \infty }]{L} N(0, 1).
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Problem 260

Show that for the sequences {Xn}\left\{ X_{n}\right\} of independent random variables with

?
(a)

P(Xn=±1)=1−2−n2,P(Xn=±2n)=12n+1,n=1,2,…,\displaystyle \mathbb {P}\left(X_{n} = \pm 1\right) = \frac{1 - 2^{-n}}{2}, \qquad \mathbb {P}\left(X_{n} = \pm 2^{n}\right) = \frac{1}{2^{n+1}}, \qquad n = 1, 2, \ldots ,

(b)

P(Xn=±nλ)=1/2\mathbb {P}\left(X_{n} = \pm n^{\lambda }\right) = 1/2,

the CLT holds.

Problem 261

Compare the results given by Chebyshev's inequality and the CLT for the probabilities

P(−k<Sn∗≤k)fork=1,2,3. \mathbb {P}\left(-k < S_{n}^{*} \leq k\right) \qquad \text{for} \qquad k = 1, 2, 3.
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Problem 262

A variable XX has the Pareto distribution with density

f(x)=24x−4,x≥2. f(x) = 24 x^{-4}, \qquad x \geq 2.

Give the graph of the function g(δ)=P(∣X−μ∣>δ)g(\delta ) = \mathbb {P}\left(\left|X - \mu \right| > \delta \right) where μ=E[X]\mu = \mathbb {E}\left[X\right], and compare this with the upper bound given by Chebyshev's inequality.

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Problem 263

Given that Var⁡[X]=9\operatorname {Var}\left[X\right] = 9, find the number nn of observations (the sample size) required in order that with probability less than 5%5\% the mean of the sample differs from the unknown mean μ\mu of XX more,

?
(a)

than 5%5\% of the standard deviation of XX,

(b)

than 5%5\% of μ\mu given that μ>5\mu > 5.

Compare the answers obtained by using Chebyshev's inequality and the CLT.

Problem 264

In a poll designed to estimate the percentage pp of men who support a certain bill, how many men should be questioned in order that, with probability at least 95%95\%, the percentage of the sample differs from pp less,

  1. than 1%1\%,

  2. than 5%5\%, given that,

  3. p<30%p < 30\%, and

  4. pp is completely unknown.

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Problem 265

Each of the 300 workers of a factory takes his lunch in one of three competing restaurants. How many seats should each restaurant have so that, on average, at most one in 20 customers will remain unseated?

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Problem 266

The round-off error to the second decimal place has the uniform distribution on the interval (−0.05,0.05)(-0.05, 0.05). What is the probability that the absolute error in the sum of 1,000 numbers is less than 2?

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Problem 267

The daily income of a card player has uniform distribution in the interval (−40,50)(-40, 50).

?
(a)

What is the probability that he wins more than 500 drachmas in 60 days?

(b)

What amount cc (gain or loss) is such that at most once in 10 times on average the player will have income less than cc during 60 days?

Problem 268

In the game of roulette the probability of winning is 18/3718/37. Suppose that in each game a player earns 1 drachma or loses 1 drachma. How many games must be played daily in a casino in order that the casino earns, with probability 1/21/2, at least 1,000 drachmas daily? Then find the percentage of days on which the casino has a loss.

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Problem 269

Show that the Γ\Gamma distribution of Exercise 202 tends to the normal distribution as s→∞s \to \infty.

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Problem 270

If g(x)≥0g(x) \geq 0 for every xx and g(x)≥cg(x) \geq c for x∈(α,β)x \in (\alpha , \beta ), then

P(X∈(α,β))≤c−1E[g(x)]. \mathbb {P}\left(X \in (\alpha , \beta )\right) \leq c^{-1}\mathbb {E}\left[g(x)\right].
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Problem 271

(Continuation of Problem 270.) Show that for every constant t>0t > 0

P(X>t)≤1(t+c)2E[(X+c)2]. \mathbb {P}\left(X > t\right) \leq \frac{1}{(t+c)^{2}} \mathbb {E}\left[(X+c)^{2}\right].
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Problem 272

If X1X_{1} and X2X_{2} are independent and identically distributed random variables then for every t>0t > 0

P(∣X1−X2∣>t)≤2P(∣X1∣>12t). \mathbb {P}\left(\left|X_{1} - X_{2}\right| > t\right) \leq 2\mathbb {P}\left(\left|X_{1}\right| > \tfrac {1}{2}t\right).
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Problem 273

Cantelli's inequality. One tail Chebyshev's inequality. If E[X]=μ\mathbb {E}\left[X\right] = \mu, Var⁡[X]=σ2\operatorname {Var}\left[X\right] = \sigma^{2}, then

P(X−μ≤c)≤σ2σ2+c2,c<0, \mathbb {P}\left(X - \mu \leq c\right) \leq \frac{\sigma ^{2}}{\sigma ^{2}+c^{2}}, \quad c < 0, ≥c2σ2+c2,c≥0, \geq \frac{c^{2}}{\sigma ^{2}+c^{2}}, \quad c \geq 0,

(see Exercise 271).

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Problem 274

Gauss inequality. If x0x_{0} is the mode of a continuous unimodal distribution and τ2=E[(X−x0)2]\tau^{2} = \mathbb {E}\left[(X-x_{0})^{2}\right] then

P(∣X−x0∣≥λτ)≤49λ2. \mathbb {P}\left(\left|X - x_{0}\right| \geq \lambda \tau \right) \leq \frac{4}{9\lambda ^{2}}.
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Problem 275

If g(x)≥0g(x) \geq 0 and even, i.e., g(x)=g(−x)g(x) = g(-x) and in addition g(x)g(x) is nondecreasing for x>0x > 0, show that for every c>0c > 0

P(∣X∣≥c)≤E[g(x)]g(c). \mathbb {P}\left(\left|X\right| \geq c\right) \leq \frac{\mathbb {E}\left[g(x)\right]}{g(c)}.
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Problem 276

(Continuation of Problem 275.) If g(x)g(x) of Exercise 275 satisfies ∣g(x)∣≤M<∞\left|g(x)\right| \leq M < \infty, then

P(∣X∣≥c)≥E[g(X)]−g(c)M. \mathbb {P}\left(\left|X\right| \geq c\right) \geq \frac{\mathbb {E}\left[g(X)\right] - g(c)}{M}.
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Problem 277

(Continuation of Problem 275.) Let gg be as in Exercise 275 and P(∣X∣≤M)=1\mathbb {P}\left(\left|X\right| \leq M\right) = 1 then

P(∣X∣≥c)≥E[g(X)]−g(c)g(M). \mathbb {P}\left(\left|X\right| \geq c\right) \geq \frac{\mathbb {E}\left[g(X)\right] - g(c)}{g(M)}.
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Problem 278

Berge's inequality. Let E[Xi]=μi\mathbb {E}\left[X_{i}\right] = \mu_{i}, Var⁡[Xi]=σi2\operatorname {Var}\left[X_{i}\right] = \sigma_{i}^{2} (i=1,2)(i = 1, 2) and ρ(x1,x2)=ρ\rho (x_{1}, x_{2}) = \rho, then

P(max⁡(∣X1−μ1∣σ1,∣X2−μ2∣σ2)>c)≤1+1−ρ2c2. \mathbb {P}\left(\max \left(\frac{\left|X_{1}-\mu _{1}\right|}{\sigma _{1}}, \frac{\left|X_{2}-\mu _{2}\right|}{\sigma _{2}}\right) > c\right) \leq \frac{1+\sqrt{1-\rho ^{2}}}{c^{2}}.
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Problem 279

Jensen's inequality for symmetric matrix functions (Cacoullos and Olkin, Biometrika, 1965). The symmetric matrix function G(X)G(X) of the matrix XX of order m×nm \times n is called convex if, for every pair X1,X2X_{1}, X_{2} of m×nm \times n matrices and 0≤λ≤10 \leq \lambda \leq 1, by analogy to

λg(x1)+(1−λ)g(x2)≥g(λx1+(1−λ)x2) \lambda g(x_{1}) + (1-\lambda )g(x_{2}) \geq g(\lambda x_{1} + (1-\lambda )x_{2})

(the defining inequality of an ordinary convex function gg on an interval (α,β)(\alpha , \beta )), it satisfies

G(λX1+(1−λ)X2)≤λG(X1)+(1−λ)G(X2), G(\lambda X_{1} + (1-\lambda )X_{2}) \leq \lambda G(X_{1}) + (1-\lambda )G(X_{2}),

where for symmetric matrices X,YX, Y we write X≥YX \geq Y if X−YX - Y is a nonnegative definite matrix. Let XX be a random matrix, i.e., a matrix whose elements are random variables and GG a convex matrix function. Then G(E[X])≤E[G(X)]G(\mathbb {E}\left[X\right]) \leq \mathbb {E}\left[G(X)\right].

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Problem 280

For a positive random matrix show that

E[X−1]≥(E[X])−1. \mathbb {E}\left[X^{-1}\right] \geq (\mathbb {E}\left[X\right])^{-1}.
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Problem 281

Show that if E[Y]<∞\mathbb {E}\left[Y\right] < \infty and Y>0Y > 0 then

E[log⁡(Y)]≤log⁡E[Y]. \mathbb {E}\left[\log (Y)\right] \leq \log \mathbb {E}\left[Y\right].
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Problem 282

For independent and identically distributed random variables X1,X2,…,XnX_{1}, X_{2}, \ldots , X_{n} with P(Xi>0)=1\mathbb {P}\left(X_{i} > 0\right) = 1 and Var⁡[log⁡Xi]=σ2\operatorname {Var}\left[\log X_{i}\right] = \sigma^{2} show that for every ε>0\varepsilon > 0

P(en[E[log⁡Yi]−ε]<X1X2…Xn<en[E[log⁡Yi]+ε])≥1−σ2nε2. \mathbb {P}\left(e^{n[\mathbb {E}\left[\log Y_{i}\right] - \varepsilon ]} < X_{1} X_{2} \ldots X_{n} < e^{n[\mathbb {E}\left[\log Y_{i}\right] + \varepsilon ]}\right) \geq 1 - \frac{\sigma ^{2}}{n\varepsilon ^{2}}.

Hence deduce

P(X1X2…Xn<(E[Yi])nenε)≥1−σ2nε2. \mathbb {P}\left(X_{1} X_{2} \ldots X_{n} < (\mathbb {E}\left[Y_{i}\right])^{n} e^{n\varepsilon }\right) \geq 1 - \frac{\sigma ^{2}}{n\varepsilon ^{2}}.
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Problem 283

A point is chosen at random on each of two consecutive sides of a rectangle. What is the probability that the area of the triangle bounded by the two sides of the rectangle and the line segment connecting the two points is less than 3/83/8 of the area of the rectangle?

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Problem 284

Two points are selected at random on segment ABAB which is thus divided into three parts. What is the probability that the three line segments can form a triangle?

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Problem 285

What is the probability that three points selected at random on the circumference of a circle lie on a semicircle?

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Problem 286

A line segment of length 11 is divided into five parts by four points selected at random on it. What is the probability that each part is less than 1/21/2?

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Problem 287

A line segment ABAB is divided by a point CC into two parts AC=aAC = a and CB=bCB = b. Two points XX and YY are taken on ACAC and CBCB, respectively. What is the probability that AX,XY,BYAX, XY, BY can form a triangle?

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Problem 288

Buffon's needle problem. A smooth table is given with equidistant parallel lines at distance 2a2a. A needle of length 2μ2\mu (μ<a)(\mu < a) is dropped onto the table. What is the probability that the needle crosses a line?

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Problem 289

A closed convex curve with diameter less than 2a2a is dropped onto the table of Exercise 288. Find the probability that a line is crossed by the curve.

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Problem 290

AA has aa 10-drachma coins and BB has bb 5-drachma coins. Each of them takes a coin out of his pocket and gives it to the other. This is repeated nn times. What is the probability that AA gives a 10-drachma coin to BB on the nnth exchange?

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Problem 291

AA tosses a die until an ace or a six appears twice.

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(a)

What is the probability that the game terminates with the appearance of an ace after no more than nn tosses?

(b)

What is the probability that the game ends with the appearance of an ace?

Problem 292

A professor has three lecture rooms AA, BB, and CC available each year for teaching a course. Since he wishes to use a different classroom every year, at the end of the year he chooses one of the other two rooms for the next academic year as follows. The first year he teaches in AA and selects between BB and CC by tossing a coin. If heads appears he chooses BB, otherwise he selects CC. At the end of each year he makes his selection in the same way. Find the probability pnp_{n} that he teaches in AA during the nnth year. Similarly for BB and CC.

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Problem 293

Find the probability pnp_{n} that in a sequence of nn Bernoulli trials, with probability of success (S)(S) pp the pattern SFSF does not appear at all (F≡F \equiv failure).

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(a)
(b)
Problem 294

Let yky_{k} be the expected number of occupied cells when placing (at random) kk balls into nn cells. Find yky_{k}:

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(a)

by using difference equations;

(b)

by referring to the expected value of a binomial.

Problem 295

A pair of dice is thrown nn times; at each throw we observe whether a double six appears or not. Show that the probability pnp_{n} of an even number of double six's satisfies the difference equation

pn−1718pn−1=136. p_{n} - \frac{17}{18}p_{n-1} = \frac{1}{36}.

Hence find pnp_{n}.

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Problem 296

Each of nn urns contains ww white balls and bb black balls. One ball is transferred from the first urn to the second urn, then another ball from the second urn is transferred to the third one, and so on. Finally, we draw a ball from the nnth urn. What is the probability that it will be white?

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Problem 297

AA and BB play the following game. AA throws a coin I with probability of heads pp until he gets tails; then BB begins throwing another coin II with probability of heads p′p' until he gets tails. Then AA begins again and so on. Given that AA begins the game, what is the probability of heads at the nnth throw?

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Problem 298

AA throws two dice and he gets rr points if rr aces appear (r=0,1,2)(r = 0, 1, 2); the game stops when no ace appears for the first time. Find the probability pnp_{n} that he has nn points at stopping. If the game continues indefinitely, what is the probability that AA has nn points at some point of the game?

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Problem 299

A box contains aa good lamps and bb bad lamps. At each draw of a lamp, if it is good it is kept in the box, otherwise it is replaced by a good one (from another box). What is the expected number of good lamps in the box after nn trials? Hence calculate the probability of selecting a good lamp at the nnth trial.

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Problem 300

Let pkp_{k} denote the probability that no cell takes more than two balls when placing kk balls in nn cells at random. Find,

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(a)

pkp_{k}

(b)

lim⁡k→∞pk\lim_{k \to \infty } p_{k} and n=constantn = \text{constant},

(c)

lim⁡pk\lim p_{k} for k=constantk = \text{constant} and n→∞n \to \infty.

Problem 301

Using the Cauchy--Schwarz inequality show that

g(t)=log⁡E[∣X∣t] g(t) = \log \mathbb {E}\left[\left|X\right|^{t}\right]

is a convex function. Then show that [E[∣X∣t]]1/t[\mathbb {E}\left[\left|X\right|^{t}\right]]^{1/t} is an increasing function of tt.

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Problem 302

Every real characteristic function φ0(t)\varphi_{0}(t) satisfies the inequality

1−φ0(2t)≤4(1−φ0(t)). 1 - \varphi _{0}(2t) \leq 4(1 - \varphi _{0}(t)).
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Problem 303

Every real characteristic function φ0(t)\varphi_{0}(t) satisfies

1+φ0(2t)≥2{φ0(t)}2. 1 + \varphi _{0}(2t) \geq 2\left\{ \varphi _{0}(t)\right\} ^{2}.
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Problem 304

If X1,X2,X3,X4X_{1}, X_{2}, X_{3}, X_{4} are jointly normal with Cov⁡[Xi,Xj]=E[XiXj]=σij\operatorname {Cov}\left[ X_{i}, X_{j} \right] = \mathbb {E}\left[X_{i} X_{j}\right] = \sigma_{ij}, show by the use of moment generating functions, that

E[X1X2X3X4]=σ12σ34+σ14σ23+σ13σ24. \mathbb {E}\left[X_{1} X_{2} X_{3} X_{4}\right] = \sigma _{12}\sigma _{34} + \sigma _{14}\sigma _{23} + \sigma _{13}\sigma _{24}.
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Problem 305

Let X1,X2,…,XnX_{1}, X_{2}, \ldots , X_{n} be a random sample from the uniform distribution in (0,1)(0, 1) and let Yn=nmin⁡(X1,X2,…,Xn)Y_{n} = n \min (X_{1}, X_{2}, \ldots , X_{n}). Using characteristic functions, show that the asymptotic distribution (n→∞n \to \infty) of YnY_{n} is the exponential e−ye^{-y}, y>0y > 0.

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Problem 306

Let (X1,Y1),…,(Xn,Yn)(X_{1}, Y_{1}), \ldots , (X_{n}, Y_{n}) be a random sample from the bivariate normal with means 0, variances 1, and correlation ρ\rho. Let the random variable

Zj={1if (Xj−X‾)(Yj−Y‾)>0,0if (Xj−X‾)(Yj−Y‾)<0. Z_{j} = \begin{cases} 1 & \text{if } (X_{j} - \overline{X})(Y_{j} - \overline{Y}) > 0, \\ 0 & \text{if } (X_{j} - \overline{X})(Y_{j} - \overline{Y}) < 0. \end{cases}

Find E[Z‾]\mathbb {E}\left[\overline{Z}\right].

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Problem 307

nn tickets are numbered 1 through nn. Of these, rr tickets drawn at random are the lucky ones. A lucky ticket receives an amount equal to the number it bears. What is the expected amount given on every draw? What is the variance of this amount?

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Problem 308

In the generalized binomial with P(Xi=1)=pi\mathbb {P}\left(X_{i} = 1\right) = p_{i} (i=1,2,…,ni = 1, 2, \ldots , n), show that as n→∞n \to \infty the distribution of the number of successes X=∑i=1nXiX = \sum_{i=1}^{n} X_{i} tends to the Poisson with parameter λ\lambda where λ=lim⁡n→∞∑i=1npi\lambda = \lim_{n \to \infty } \sum_{i=1}^{n} p_{i} assuming max⁡iλi→0\max_{i} \lambda_{i} \to 0.

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Problem 309

Let XX be the number of failures preceding the nnth success in a sequence of independent Bernoulli trials with probability of success pp. Show that if as n→∞n \to \infty, q=1−p→0q = 1-p \to 0, so that nq→λnq \to \lambda, then

P(X=k)→e−λλkk!. \mathbb {P}\left(X = k\right) \to e^{-\lambda }\frac{\lambda ^{k}}{k!}.
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Problem 310

If the continuous random variable XX is such that for some integer k>0k > 0, kXkX has the Gamma distribution and the conditional distribution of YY given XX is Poisson, then YY has a negative binomial distribution.

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Problem 311

Let X1,X2,…,XnX_{1}, X_{2}, \ldots , X_{n} be a random sample from the Laplace distribution

f(x)=12σe−(∣x−μ∣)/σ,−∞<x<∞. f(x) = \frac{1}{2\sigma } e^{-(\left|x-\mu \right|)/\sigma }, \qquad -\infty < x < \infty .

By using characteristic functions show that the random variable

Y=1n∑j=1n∣Xj−μ∣ Y = \frac{1}{n} \sum _{j=1}^{n} \left|X_{j} - \mu \right|

is distributed as (σ/2n)χ2n2(\sigma /2n)\chi^{2}_{2n}. Hence deduce that E[Y]=σ\mathbb {E}\left[Y\right] = \sigma.

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Problem 312

Let X1,X2,…,XnX_{1}, X_{2}, \ldots , X_{n} be a random sample from a distribution with E[Xi]=0\mathbb {E}\left[X_{i}\right] = 0 and Var⁡[Xi]=1\operatorname {Var}\left[X_{i}\right] = 1. Show that

Yn=nSn∑i=1nXi2→n→∞N(0,1), Y_{n} = \frac{\sqrt{n} S_{n}}{\sum _{i=1}^{n} X_{i}^{2}} \xrightarrow {n \to \infty } N(0, 1), Zn=Sn∑i=1nXi2→n→∞N(0,1), Z_{n} = \frac{S_{n}}{\sqrt{\sum _{i=1}^{n} X_{i}^{2}}} \xrightarrow {n \to \infty } N(0, 1),

where Sn=X1+X2+⋯+XnS_{n} = X_{1} + X_{2} + \cdots + X_{n}.

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Problem 313

Let X(1),…,X(n)X_{(1)}, \ldots , X_{(n)} be the ordered sample from a uniform distribution in (0,1)(0, 1) and Yr=X(1)+X(2)+⋯+X(r)Y_{r} = X_{(1)} + X_{(2)} + \cdots + X_{(r)}. Show that the conditional distribution of W=Yr/Y(r+1)W = Y_{r}/Y_{(r+1)} is the distribution of the sum of rr observations of a random sample from the same uniform distribution.

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Problem 314

NN points X1,X2,…,XnX_{1}, X_{2}, \ldots , X_{n} are selected at random in (0,1)(0, 1). Show that the distribution of the sum Sn=X1+X2+⋯+XnS_{n} = X_{1} + X_{2} + \cdots + X_{n} has density

fn(x)=1(n−1)!{xn−1−(n1)(x−1)n−1+⋯ } f_{n}(x) = \frac{1}{(n-1)!}\left\{ x^{n-1} - \binom {n}{1}(x-1)^{n-1} + \cdots \right\} =n(n−1)!{(n−x)n−1n−(n−11)(n−1−x)n−1n−1+⋯ }, = \frac{n}{(n-1)!}\left\{ \frac{(n-x)^{n-1}}{n} - \binom {n-1}{1}\frac{(n-1-x)^{n-1}}{n-1} + \cdots \right\} ,

where the sum extends as long as x−1,x−2,…x-1, x-2, \ldots and (n−1−x),(n−2−x),…(n-1-x), (n-2-x), \ldots are positive.

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Problem 315

Let X1,X2,…,XnX_{1}, X_{2}, \ldots , X_{n} be independent discrete variables with the same uniform distribution on the set of integers 0,1,…,m−10, 1, \ldots , m-1, i.e.,

P(X1=j)=1mforj=0,…,m−1. \mathbb {P}\left(X_{1} = j\right) = \frac{1}{m} \qquad \text{for} \quad j = 0, \ldots , m-1.

Find the probability generating function of the sum Sn=X1+⋯+XnS_{n} = X_{1} + \cdots + X_{n} and hence the probability function of SnS_{n}.

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Problem 316

(Continuation of Problem 315.) A die is thrown three times. What is the probability that the sum of the outcomes is 10?

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Problem 317

A chain smoker has m+1m+1 match boxes; each time he lights a cigarette he chooses one of the boxes at random. Suppose that (to begin with) every box contains NN matches. Let X1,X2,…,XmX_{1}, X_{2}, \ldots , X_{m} be the numbers of matches left in the remaining mm boxes, when:

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(a)

a box is found empty for the first time;

(b)

any box is emptied first.

Remark.
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The case m=1m=1 is known as the Banach match box problem (Feller, ibid, p. 157).

Problem 318

(Continuation of Problem 317.) Suppose that box CkC_{k} (k=1,…,mk = 1, \ldots , m) is chosen with probability pkp_{k}. What is the probability that CkC_{k} empties first?

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Problem 319

Show that X1,X2,X3X_{1}, X_{2}, X_{3} with a joint discrete distribution are independent if and only if

P(X3=x3∣X2=x2,X1=x1)=P(X3=x3) \mathbb {P}\left( X_{3} = x_{3} \mid X_{2} = x_{2}, X_{1} = x_{1} \right) = \mathbb {P}\left(X_{3} = x_{3}\right)

for all (x1,x2)(x_{1}, x_{2}) with P(X1=x1,X2=x2)>0\mathbb {P}\left(X_{1} = x_{1}, X_{2} = x_{2}\right) > 0 and

P(X2=x2∣X1=x1)=P(X2=x2)for all x1 with P(X1=x1)>0. \mathbb {P}\left( X_{2} = x_{2} \mid X_{1} = x_{1} \right) = \mathbb {P}\left(X_{2} = x_{2}\right) \qquad \text{for all } x_{1} \text{ with } \mathbb {P}\left(X_{1} = x_{1}\right) > 0.
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Problem 320

Let X1,X2,…,XnX_{1}, X_{2}, \ldots , X_{n} be independent and identically distributed positive random variables with E[Xi]=μ\mathbb {E}\left[X_{i}\right] = \mu, E[Xi−1]=r\mathbb {E}\left[X_{i}^{-1}\right] = r. Let Sn=X1+X2+⋯+XnS_{n} = X_{1} + X_{2} + \cdots + X_{n}. Show that E[Sn−1]\mathbb {E}\left[S_{n}^{-1}\right] exists and

E[XiSn]=1n,i=1,…,n. \mathbb {E}\left[\frac{X_{i}}{S_{n}}\right] = \frac{1}{n}, \qquad i = 1, \ldots , n.
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Problem 321

(Continuation of Problem 320.) Show that

E[SmSn]=mnfor m≤n,E[SmSn]=1+(m−n)μE[Sn−1]for m>n. \mathbb {E}\left[\frac{S_{m}}{S_{n}}\right] = \frac{m}{n} \quad \text{for } m \leq n, \qquad \mathbb {E}\left[\frac{S_{m}}{S_{n}}\right] = 1 + (m-n)\mu \mathbb {E}\left[S_{n}^{-1}\right] \quad \text{for } m > n.
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Problem 322

A caterpillar is moving on the edges of a tetrahedron ABCDABCD on whose top there is glue. In a unit of time the caterpillar goes from any vertex (except DD) to any other vertex with the same probability 1/31/3. Suppose that the caterpillar at time t=0t = 0 is on the vertex AA. What is the probability that

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(a)

the caterpillar finally gets stuck;

(b)

the caterpillar finally gets stuck coming from vertex BB?

Problem 323

A flea moves at random on a plane with leaps of constant length aa and in a random direction at each step. If it starts from the origin, let (Xn,Yn)(X_{n}, Y_{n}) be the position of the flea after nn jumps. Where

Xn=∑i=1nacos⁡θi,Yn=∑i=1nasin⁡θi. X_{n} = \sum _{i=1}^{n} a \cos \theta _{i}, \qquad Y_{n} = \sum _{i=1}^{n} a \sin \theta _{i}.

The angles θi\theta_{i} are independently uniform in (0,2π)(0, 2\pi ).

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(a)

Find,

  1. E[Xn],E[Yn],Var⁡[Xn],Var⁡[Yn]\mathbb {E}\left[X_{n}\right], \mathbb {E}\left[Y_{n}\right], \operatorname {Var}\left[X_{n}\right], \operatorname {Var}\left[Y_{n}\right],

  2. E[Rn2]\mathbb {E}\left[R_{n}^{2}\right] where Rn2=Xn2+Yn2R_{n}^{2} = X_{n}^{2} + Y_{n}^{2}.

(b)

Show that the Xn,YnX_{n}, Y_{n} are uncorrelated but not independent.

(c)

Find the distribution of (Xn,Yn)(X_{n}, Y_{n}) for large nn (n→∞n \to \infty) and the density of RnR_{n}. What is the expected distance of the flea from the origin for large nn?

Problem 324

Let the random variables X1,…,XnX_{1}, \ldots , X_{n} have the joint density

f(x1,…,xn)=1(2π)n/2exp⁡(−12∑i=1nxi2)[1+∏i=1n(xiexp⁡(−12xi2))]. f(x_{1}, \ldots , x_{n}) = \frac{1}{(2\pi )^{n/2}} \exp \left(-\frac{1}{2}\sum _{i=1}^{n} x_{i}^{2}\right) \left[1 + \prod _{i=1}^{n}(x_{i}\exp (-\tfrac {1}{2}x_{i}^{2}))\right].

Show that any n−1n-1 of the X1,…,XnX_{1}, \ldots , X_{n} are independent normal with mean 0 and variance 1. Are the X1,…,XnX_{1}, \ldots , X_{n} jointly normal?

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Problem 325

In Exercise 288 suppose the plane is divided into squares by equidistant lines parallel to the axes. Let 2a2a be the side of each square and 2μ2\mu the length of the needle. Find the average number of lines crossed by the needle,

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(a)

μ>α\mu > \alpha,

(b)

when μ\mu is arbitrary.

Problem 326

Let X,YX, Y be independent χ2\chi^{2} variables each with nn degrees of freedom. Show that

Z=n2X−YXY Z = \frac{\sqrt{n}}{2} \frac{X-Y}{\sqrt{XY}}

has the Student distribution with nn degrees of freedom. Hence deduce that:

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(a)
tn=n2(Fn,n−1Fn,n), t_{n} = \frac{\sqrt{n}}{2}\left(\sqrt{F_{n,n}} - \frac{1}{\sqrt{F_{n,n}}}\right),

where Fm,nF_{m,n} denotes an FF variable with mm and nn degrees of freedom.

(b)

If tn(a)t_{n}(a) and Fn,n(a)F_{n,n}(a) are the upper percentile points of tnt_{n} and Fn,nF_{n,n}, respectively, express one in terms of the other.

Problem 327

If for a given value λ\lambda of Λ\Lambda the random variable X(Λ)X(\Lambda ) is Poisson with parameter λ\lambda and Λ\Lambda is a random variable with a gamma density

Γ(λ)=aρΓ(ρ)λρ−1e−aλ, \Gamma (\lambda ) = \frac{a^{\rho }}{\Gamma (\rho )} \lambda ^{\rho -1}e^{-a\lambda },

show that X(Λ)X(\Lambda ) has the negative binomial distribution

pk=P(X(Λ)=k)=(−ρk)(−p)kqρ,k=0,1,…, p_{k} = \mathbb {P}\left(X(\Lambda ) = k\right) = \binom {-\rho }{k}(-p)^{k}q^{\rho }, \qquad k = 0, 1, \ldots ,

where p=(1+a)−1p = (1+a)^{-1}, q=a(a+1)−1q = a(a+1)^{-1}.

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Problem 328

Show that for any two random variable(s) XX and YY with Var⁡[X]<∞\operatorname {Var}\left[X\right] < \infty,

Var⁡[X]=E[Var⁡[X∣Y]]+Var⁡[E[X∣Y]]. \operatorname {Var}\left[X\right] = \mathbb {E}\left[\operatorname {Var}\left[ X \mid Y \right]\right] + \operatorname {Var}\left[\mathbb {E}\left[ X \mid Y \right]\right].
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Problem 329

Using the distribution of X(t)X_{(t)} where X(1),…,X(n)X_{(1)}, \ldots , X_{(n)} is the ordered sample from the uniform in (0,1)(0, 1), show the following relation between the incomplete BB function Ix(n1,n2)I_{x}(n_{1}, n_{2}) and the binomial distribution function:

∑k=rn(nk)pkqn−k=Ip(r,n−r+1) \sum _{k=r}^{n} \binom {n}{k} p^{k}q^{n-k} = I_{p}(r, n-r+1) =1B(r,n−r+1)∫0pxr−1(1−x)n−r dx. = \frac{1}{B(r, n-r+1)} \int _{0}^{p} x^{r-1}(1-x)^{n-r} \, dx.
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