Martingales from harmonic and excessive functions of Markov processes

[7/29%]
Show
LaTeX

Let {Xn}n≥0\left\{ X_{n}\right\}_{n \geq 0} be a Markov chain with state space S={1,2,3,…}\mathbb {S} = \left\{ 1,2,3, \ldots \right\}, and transition probability matrix P=((pij))P = \left(\left(p_{i j}\right)\right). That is, for each n≥1n \geq 1,

P(X0=i0,X1=i,…,Xn=in)=P(X0=i0)pi0i1…pin−1in \begin{aligned} & \mathbb {P}\left(X_{0} = i_{0}, X_{1} = i, \ldots , X_{n} = i_{n}\right) \\ & = \mathbb {P}\left(X_{0} = i_{0}\right) p_{i_{0} i_{1}} \ldots p_{i_{n-1} i_{n}} \end{aligned}

for all i0,i1,i2,…,in∈Si_{0}, i_{1}, i_{2}, \ldots , i_{n} \in \mathbb {S}. Let h:S→Rh: \mathbb {S} \rightarrow \mathbb {R} and ρ∈R\rho \in \mathbb {R} be such that

∑j=1∞∣h(j)∣pij<∞ for all i \sum _{j = 1}^{\infty }\left|h(j)\right| p_{i j} < \infty \quad \text{ for all } \quad i

and

∑j=1∞h(j)pij=ρh(i) for all i \sum _{j = 1}^{\infty } h(j) p_{i j} = \rho h(i) \quad \text{ for all } \quad i
?
(a)

Verify that {Xn}n≥1\left\{ X_{n}\right\}_{n \geq 1} has the Markov property, namely, for all n≥0n \geq 0,

P(Xn+1=in+1∣Xn=in,Xn−1=in−1,X0=i0)=P(Xn+1=in+1∣Xn=in)=pinin+1. \begin{aligned} & \mathbb {P}\left( X_{n+1} = i_{n+1} \mid X_{n} = i_{n}, X_{n-1} = i_{n-1}, X_{0} = i_{0} \right) \\ & = \mathbb {P}\left( X_{n+1} = i_{n+1} \mid X_{n} = i_{n} \right) = p_{i_{n} i_{n+1}}. \end{aligned}
(b)

Verify that {Yn≡h(Xn)ρ−n}n≥0\left\{ Y_{n} \equiv h\left(X_{n}\right) \rho^{-n}\right\}_{n \geq 0} is a martingale w.r.t. the filtration Fn≡σ⟨X0,X1,…,Xn⟩\mathcal{F}_{n} \equiv \sigma \left\langle X_{0}, X_{1}, \ldots , X_{n}\right\rangle.

(c)

Suppose ρ=1\rho = 1 and hh is bounded below and attains its lower bound. Suppose also that {Xn}n≥0\left\{ X_{n}\right\}_{n \geq 0} is irreducible and recurrent. That is, P(Xn=j for some n≥1∣X0=i)=1\mathbb {P}\left( X_{n} = j \text{ for some } n \geq 1 \mid X_{0} = i \right) = 1 for all i,ji, j. Show that hh is a constant function. (Hint: Use the optional stopping theorem II.)

Suppose (Xt,P[x])\left(X_{t}, \mathbb {P}[x]\right) is a Markov process with transition probabilities Pt,fP_{t}, f is a bounded Borel measurable function, t0>0t_{0}>0, and we define Mt=Pt0−tf(Xt)M_{t}=P_{t_{0}-t} f\left(X_{t}\right) for t≤t0t \leq t_{0}. Show that (Mt,t≤t0)\left(M_{t}, t \leq t_{0}\right) is a P[x]\mathbb {P}[x]-martingale for each xx.

?

Let ff be an excessive function for a strong Markov process (Xt,P[x])\left(X_{t}, \mathbb {P}[x]\right). Let ε>0\varepsilon >0 and S1=inf⁡{t:∣f(Xt)−f(X0)∣≥ε}S_{1}=\inf \left\{ t : \left|f\left(X_{t}\right)-f\left(X_{0}\right)\right| \geq \varepsilon \right\}. Let Si+1=Si+S1∘θSiS_{i+1}=S_{i}+S_{1} \circ \theta_{S_{i}}. Prove that f(XSi)f\left(X_{S_{i}}\right) is a supermartingale with respect to the σ\sigma-fields FSi\mathcal{F}_{S_{i}} and with respect to P[x]\mathbb {P}[x] for each xx.

?

Suppose that (Yn)\left(Y_{n}\right) is a finite-state Markov chain with transition matrix [pij]\left[p_{i j}\right]. Suppose that ∑jpijx(j)=λx(i)\sum_{j} p_{i j} x(j)=\lambda x(i) for all ii (the x(i)x(i) are the components of a right eigenvector of the transition matrix). Put Xn=λ−nx(Yn)X_{n}=\lambda^{-n} x\left(Y_{n}\right) and show that {Xn}\left\{ X_{n}\right\} is a martingale.

?

(see [12; p. 166]). Let W={Wt,t⩾0}W = \left\{ W_{t}, t \geqslant 0\right\} be an mm-dimensional Brownian motion and f(x)f(x) a continuous superharmonic function in Rm\mathbb {R}^{m}, i.e., f(x)f(x), for any x∈Rmx \in \mathbb {R}^{m}, is not less than the integral of this function over any sphere centered at xx. Prove that the process X={Xt=f(Wt),t⩾0}X = \left\{ X_{t} = f\left(W_{t}\right), t \geqslant 0\right\} is a supermartingale with respect to the natural filtration of the Brownian motion if E[∣Xt∣]<∞\mathbb {E}\left[\left|X_{t}\right|\right] < \infty for all t⩾0t \geqslant 0.

?

Let XX be a discrete-time Markov chain with countable state space SS and transition matrix P\mathbf{P}. Suppose that ψ:S→R\psi : S \rightarrow \mathbb {R} is bounded and satisfies ∑j∈Spijψ(j)≤λψ(i)\sum_{j \in S} p_{i j} \psi (j) \leq \lambda \psi (i) for some λ>0\lambda > 0 and all i∈Si \in S. Show that λ−nψ(Xn)\lambda^{-n} \psi \left(X_{n}\right) constitutes a supermartingale.

?

Let XX be a continuous-time Markov chain with finite state space SS and generator G\mathbf{G}. Let η={η(i):i∈S}\mathbf{\eta } = \left\{ \eta (i): i \in S\right\} be a root of the equation Gη′=0\mathbf{G} \mathbf{\eta }^{\prime } = \mathbf{0}. Show that η(X(t))\eta (X(t)) constitutes a martingale with respect to Ft=σ({X(u):u≤t})\mathcal{F}_{t} = \sigma (\left\{ X(u): u \leq t\right\} ).

?

References

[AtLa06] Athreya K.B., Lahiri S.N. Measure Theory and Probability Theory. Springer, 2006.
[Bas11] Bass R.F. Stochastic Processes. Cambridge University Press, 2011.
[Bil95] Billingsley P. Probability and Measure. 3rd ed., Wiley-Interscience, 1995.
[БуШи05] Булинский А.В., Ширяев А.Н. Теория случайных процессов. ФИЗМАТЛИТ, 2005.
[GrSt20] Grimmett G.R., Stirzaker D.R. Probability and Random Processes. 4th ed., Oxford University Press, 2020.