Section 3m

3.12 Bayesian Estimation

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Problem 3m.1

Derive equations (3.60) and (3.61).

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Problem 3m.2

Using the noninformative prior for θ\theta, show that the conditional posterior density f(β∣y,σ)f(\beta \mid \mathbf{y}, \sigma ) is multivariate normal. Hence deduce that the posterior mean of β\mathbf{\beta } is β^\widehat{\mathbf{\beta }}.

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Problem 3m.3

Suppose that we use the noninformative prior for θ\mathbf{\theta }.

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(a)

If v=σ2v = \sigma^{2}, show that f(v)∝1/vf(v) \propto 1 / v.

(b)

Obtain an expression proportional to f(β,v∣y)f(\mathbf{\beta }, v \mid \mathbf{y}).

(c)

Using (3.62), integrate out β\beta to obtain

f(v∣y)∝v−(ν/2+1)exp⁡(−av) f(v \mid \mathbf{y}) \propto v^{-(\nu / 2+1)} \exp \left(-\frac{a}{v}\right)

where ν=n−p\nu = n-p and a=∥y−Xβ^∥2/2a = \left\| \mathbf{y}-\mathbf{X} \widehat{\mathbf{\beta }}\right\|^{2} / 2.

(d)

Find the posterior mean of vv.