Section 3c

3.3 Unbiased Estimation of sigma^2

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Problem 3c.1

Suppose that Y∼Nn(Xβ,σ2In)\mathbf{Y} \sim N_{n}\left(\mathbf{X} \mathbf{\beta }, \sigma^{2} \mathbf{I}_{n}\right), where X\mathbf{X} is n×pn \times p of rank⁡p\operatorname {rank} p.

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(a)

Find Var⁡[S2]\operatorname {Var}\left[S^{2}\right].

(b)

Evaluate E[(YTA1Y−σ2)2]\mathbb {E}\left[\left(Y^{T} \mathbf{A}_{1} \mathbf{Y}-\sigma^{2}\right)^{2}\right] for

A1=1n−p+2[In−X(XTX)−1XT] \mathbf{A}_{1} = \frac{1}{n-p+2}\left[\mathbf{I}_{n}-\mathbf{X}\left(\mathbf{X}^{T} \mathbf{X}\right)^{-1} \mathbf{X}^{T}\right]
(c)

Prove that YTA1Y\mathbf{Y}^{T} \mathbf{A}_{1} \mathbf{Y} is an estimate of σ2\sigma^{2} with a smaller meansquared error than S2S^{2}.

Problem 3c.2

Let Y1,Y2,…,YnY_{1}, Y_{2}, \ldots , Y_{n} be independently and identically distributed with mean θ\theta and variance σ2\sigma^{2}. Find the nonnegative quadratic unbiased estimate of σ2\sigma^{2} with the minimum variance.

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