Chapter 10

Independence

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Problem 10.1

If the events A1,…,AnA_{1}, \ldots , A_{n} are independent, then so are the events A1′,…,An′A_{1}^{\prime }, \ldots , A_{n}^{\prime } where Ai′A_{i}^{\prime } is either AiA_{i} or Aic,i=1,…,nA_{i}^{c}, i = 1, \ldots , n.

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Problem 10.2

Consider the measurable space (Ω,A)(\Omega , \mathcal{A}), let Fi,i=1,2\mathcal{F}_{i}, i = 1,2, be fields with Fi⊆A,i=1,2\mathcal{F}_{i} \subseteq \mathcal{A}, i = 1,2, and define F\mathcal{F} by

F={ all finite unions of A s with A∈A;A=A1∪A2 or A=A1∩A2,Ai∈Fi,i=1,2}. \begin{aligned} \mathcal{F} = \left\{ \text{ all finite unions of } A \mathrm{~ s} \text{ with } A \in \mathcal{A} ; A = A_{1} \cup A_{2} \text{ or } A = A_{1} \cap A_{2}, A_{i} \in \mathcal{F}_{i}, i = 1,2\right\} . \end{aligned}

Then show that F\mathcal{F} is a field.

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Problem 10.3

For any real numbers p1,…,pnp_{1}, \ldots , p_{n} such that 0≤pi≤1,i=1,…,n0 \leq p_{i} \leq 1, i = 1, \ldots , n, show that

1−exp⁡(−∑i=mnpi)≤1−∏i=mn(1−pi)≤∑i=mnpi,m=1,…,n. 1-\exp \left(-\sum _{i = m}^{n} p_{i}\right) \leq 1-\prod _{i = m}^{n}\left(1-p_{i}\right) \leq \sum _{i = m}^{n} p_{i}, \quad m = 1, \ldots , n .
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Problem 10.4

Let An,n=1,2,…A_{n}, n = 1,2, \ldots, be independent events in the probability space (Ω,A,P)(\Omega , \mathcal{A}, P). Then show that

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(i)

∑n=1∞P(An)=∞\sum_{n = 1}^{\infty } \mathbb {P}\left(A_{n}\right) = \infty if and only if P(lim sup⁡n→∞An)=1\mathbb {P}\left(\limsup_{n \rightarrow \infty } A_{n}\right) = 1.

(ii)

∑n=1∞P(An)<∞\sum_{n = 1}^{\infty } \mathbb {P}\left(A_{n}\right) < \infty if and only if P(lim⁡sup⁡n→∞An)=0\mathbb {P}\left(\lim \sup_{n \rightarrow \infty } A_{n}\right) = 0.

Remark.
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This result is referred to as the Borel Zero-One Criterion.

Problem 10.5

Let An,n=1,2,…A_{n}, n = 1,2, \ldots, be independent events in the probability space (Ω,A,P)(\Omega , \mathcal{A}, P), and suppose that lim⁡n→∞An\lim_{n \rightarrow \infty } A_{n} exists, call it AA. Then show that P(A)=0\mathbb {P}\left(A\right) = 0 or P(A)=1\mathbb {P}\left(A\right) = 1.

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Problem 10.6

Let Xn,n≥1X_{n}, n \geq 1, be independent r.v.s distributed as B(1,p)B(1, p), and set Xˉn=n−1∑i=1nXi\bar{X}_{n} = n^{-1} \sum_{i = 1}^{n} X_{i}. Then show that Xˉn→n→∞Pp\bar{X}_{n} \xrightarrow [n \rightarrow \infty ]{P} p and Xˉk2 a.s. k→∞p\bar{X}_{k^{2}} \underset {k \rightarrow \infty }{\text{ a.s. }} p.

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Problem 10.7
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(i)

If Xn,n=1,2,…X_{n}, n = 1,2, \ldots, are independent r.v.s defined on the probability space (Ω,A,P)(\Omega , \mathcal{A}, P), show that Xn→n→∞ a.s. 0X_{n} \xrightarrow [n \rightarrow \infty ]{\text{ a.s. }} 0 if and only if ∑n=1∞P(∣Xn∣≥ε)<∞\sum_{n = 1}^{\infty } \mathbb {P}\left(\left|X_{n}\right| \geq \varepsilon \right) < \infty for every ε>0\varepsilon > 0.

(ii)

Reconcile this result with the result in Exercise 4 in Chapter 3.

Problem 10.8

Refer to Exercise 11 in Chapter 9 and construct a concrete example, by means of independent r.v.s (e.g., Binomially distributed r.v.s), to demonstrate the correctness of the assertion made there.

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Problem 10.9

The r.v.s X1,…,XkX_{1}, \ldots , X_{k} are independent if and only if in relation (10.4) all Bj sB_{j} \mathrm{~ s} are replaced by intervals (aj,bj]\left(a_{j}, b_{j}\right] with aj,bja_{j}, b_{j} in R\mathbb {R} and aj<bj,j=1,…,ka_{j} < b_{j}, j = 1, \ldots , k.

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Problem 10.10

Let XX and YY be independent r.v.s and suppose that E[X]\mathbb {E}\left[X\right] exists. For every B∈BB \in \mathcal{B}, let A=Y−1(B)A = Y^{-1}(B) and show that ∫AXdP=(E[X])P(A)\int_{A} X d P = (\mathbb {E}\left[X\right]) \mathbb {P}\left(A\right).

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Problem 10.11

Show that a r.v. XX is independent of itself if and only if P(X=c)=1\mathbb {P}\left(X = c\right) = 1 for some (finite) constant cc.

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Problem 10.12
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(i)

For two r.v.s with finite second moments, it follows that, if XX and YY are independent, then they are uncorrelated (i.e., ρ(X,Y)=0\rho (X, Y) = 0, or equivalently, Cov⁡[X,Y]=0)\operatorname {Cov}\left[ X, Y \right] = 0). Justify this statement.

(ii)

For the case that the r.v.s XX and YY have the Bivariate Normal distribution, use Exercise 14(iii) in Chapter 9 in order to show that, if XX and YY are uncorrelated, then they are independent.

Problem 10.13

If the r.v.s X1X_{1} and X2X_{2} are independent, then show that

E[eit(X1+X2)]=E[eitX1]×E[eitX2],t∈R, \mathbb {E}\left[e^{i t\left(X_{1}+X_{2}\right)}\right] = \mathbb {E}\left[e^{i t X_{1}}\right] \times \mathbb {E}\left[e^{i t X_{2}}\right], \quad t \in \mathbb {R},

and by induction,

E[eit(X1+⋯+Xk)]=E[eitX1]×⋯×E[eitXk],t∈R, \mathbb {E}\left[e^{i t\left(X_{1}+\cdots +X_{k}\right)}\right] = \mathbb {E}\left[e^{i t X_{1}}\right] \times \cdots \times \mathbb {E}\left[e^{i t X_{k}}\right], \quad t \in \mathbb {R},

for the independent r.v.s X1,…,XkX_{1}, \ldots , X_{k}.

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Problem 10.14
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(i)

If the r.v.s XX and YY are independent, distributed as N(0,σ2)N\left(0, \sigma^{2}\right), and U=X+Y,V=X−YU = X+Y, V = X-Y, then show that UU and VV are independent, distributed as N(0,2σ2)N\left(0,2 \sigma^{2}\right), by transforming the joint p.d.f. of XX and YY into the joint p.d.f. of UU and VV.

(ii)

If the r.v.s XX and YY are independent, distributed as N(μ1,σ2)N\left(\mu_{1}, \sigma^{2}\right) and N(μ2,σ2)N\left(\mu_{2}, \sigma^{2}\right), respectively, use part (i) in order to show that UU and VV are independent, distributed as N(μ1+μ2,2σ2)N\left(\mu_{1}+\mu_{2}, 2 \sigma^{2}\right) and N(μ1−μ2,2σ2)N\left(\mu_{1}-\mu_{2}, 2 \sigma^{2}\right), respectively.

Problem 10.15

Consider the probability space (Ω,A,P)(\Omega , \mathcal{A}, P), and let A1,…,AnA_{1}, \ldots , A_{n} be independent events with P(Ak)=p,k=1,…,n\mathbb {P}\left(A_{k}\right) = p, k = 1, \ldots , n. Next, define the function X:Ω→RX: \Omega \rightarrow \mathbb {R} as follows:

X(ω)= the number of A1,…,An containing ω. X(\omega ) = \text{ the number of } A_{1}, \ldots , A_{n} \text{ containing } \omega .

Then show that

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(i)

XX is a r.v.

(ii)

The distribution of XX is B(n,p)B(n, p) (i.e., Binomial with parameters nn and pp).

Problem 10.16

Consider the probability space (Ω,A,P)(\Omega , \mathcal{A}, P), let {An},n≥1\left\{ A_{n}\right\} , n \geq 1, be a sequence of events, and set Xn=IAnX_{n} = I_{A_{n}}. Then show that the events {A1,A2,…}\left\{ A_{1}, A_{2}, \ldots \right\} are independent if and only if the r.v.s X1,X2,…X_{1}, X_{2}, \ldots are independent.

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Problem 10.17

If X∼B(n,p)X \sim B(n, p), compute the probability that PP (number of Hs=H s = number of Ts+r),r=0,1,…,nT s+ r), r = 0,1, \ldots , n.

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Problem 10.18

Let X1,…,XnX_{1}, \ldots , X_{n} be independent identically distributed (i.i.d.) r.v.s defined on the probability space (Ω,A,P)(\Omega , \mathcal{A}, P) and having d.f. FF. Let FnF_{n} be the empirical d.f. defined in terms of the Xi sX_{i} \mathrm{~ s}; i.e.,

Fn(x,ω)=1n[ number of X1(ω),…,Xn(ω)≤x] F_{n}(x, \omega ) = \frac{1}{n}\left[\text{ number of } X_{1}(\omega ), \ldots , X_{n}(\omega ) \leq x\right]

Then show that sup⁡{∣Fn(x,⋅)−F(x)∣;x∈R}= def Dn(⋅)\sup \left\{ \left|F_{n}(x, \cdot )-F(x)\right| ; x \in \mathbb {R}\right\} \stackrel{\text{ def }}{ = } D_{n}(\cdot ) is a r.v. That is, although Dn(⋅)D_{n}(\cdot ) is arrived at through noncountable operations, it is still a r.v.

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Problem 10.19

(Glivenko-Cantelli). Refer to Exercise 18 and show that

sup⁡{∣Fn(x,ω)−F(x)∣;x∈R} a.s. n→∞0. \sup \left\{ \left|F_{n}(x, \omega )-F(x)\right| ; x \in \mathbb {R}\right\} \underset {n \rightarrow \infty }{\text{ a.s. }} 0.
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