Chapter 10

Representations and couplings

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Problem 10.1

Suppose FF and FnF_{n}, for n∈Nn \in \mathbb {N} are distribution functions on the real line for which Fn(x)→F(x)F_{n}(x) \rightarrow F(x) for each xx in a dense subset DD of the real line. Show that the corresponding quantile functions QnQ_{n} converge pointwise to QQ at all except (at worst) a countable subset of points in (0,1).

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Problem 10.2

Let PP and QQ be two probability measures defined on the same sigma-field A\mathcal{A} of a set XX. The total variation distance v=v(P,Q)v = v(P, Q) is defined as sup⁡A∈A∣PA−QA∣\sup_{A \in \mathcal{A}}\left|P A-Q A\right|.

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(i)

Suppose XX are YY are random elements of XX, defined on the same probability space (Ω,F,P)(\Omega , \mathcal{F}, \mathbb {P}), with distributions PP and QQ. Show that P∗{X≠Y}≥v(P,Q)\mathbb {P}^{*}\left\{ X \neq Y\right\} \geq v(P, Q). Hint: Choose a measurable set D⊇{X≠Y}D \supseteq \left\{ X \neq Y\right\} with P(D)=P∗{X≠Y}\mathbb {P}\left(D\right) = \mathbb {P}^{*}\left\{ X \neq Y\right\}. Note that P(X∈A)−P(Y∈A)=P(X∈A)∩D−P(Y∈A)∩D\mathbb {P}\left(X \in A\right)-\mathbb {P}\left(Y \in A\right) = \mathbb {P}\left(X \in A\right) \cap D-\mathbb {P}\left(Y \in A\right) \cap D.

(ii)

Suppose the diagonal Δ:={(x,y)∈X×X:x=y}\Delta : = \left\{ (x, y) \in \mathcal{X} \times \mathcal{X}: x = y\right\} is product measurable. Recall from Section 3.3 that v=1−(P∧Q)(X)=(P−Q)+(X)=(Q−P)+(X)v = 1-(P \wedge Q)(X) = (P-Q)^{+}(X) = (Q-P)^{+}(X). Define a probability measure P=1v(P−Q)+⊗(Q−P)++λ\mathbb {P} = \frac{1}{v}(P-Q)^{+} \otimes (Q-P)^{+}+\lambda, where λ\lambda is the image of P∧QP \wedge Q under the map x↦(x,x)x \mapsto (x, x). Let XX and YY be the coordinate maps. Show that XX has distribution PP and YY has distribution QQ, and P(X≠Y)=v\mathbb {P}\left(X \neq Y\right) = v.

Problem 10.3

Show that the Prohorov distance is a metric.

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Problem 10.4

Let PP be a Borel probability measure concentrated on the closure of a countable subset S={xi:i∈N}S = \left\{ x_{i}: i \in \mathbb {N}\right\} of a metric space XX. For fixed ϵ>0\epsilon > 0, follow these steps to show that there exist a partition of XX into finitely many PP-continuity sets C0,C1,…,CmC_{0}, C_{1}, \ldots , C_{m} such that PC0<ϵP C_{0} < \epsilon and diameter (Ci)<ϵ\left(C_{i}\right) < \epsilon for i≥1i \geq 1.

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(i)

For each xx in XX, show that there are at most countably many closed balls BB centered at xx with P(∂B)>0P(\partial B) > 0.

(ii)

For each xix_{i} in SS, find a ball BiB_{i} centered at xix_{i} with radius between ϵ/4\epsilon / 4 and ϵ/2\epsilon / 2 and P(∂Bi)=0P\left(\partial B_{i}\right) = 0.

(iii)

Show that ∪i∈NBi\cup_{i \in \mathbb {N}} B_{i} contains the closure of SS. Hint: Each point of the closure lies within ϵ/4\epsilon / 4 of at least one xix_{i}.

(iv)

Show that P(∪i≤mBi)>1−ϵP\left(\cup_{i \leq m} B_{i}\right) > 1-\epsilon when mm is large enough.

(v)

Show that the sets Ci:=Bi\∪1≤j<iBjC_{i}: = B_{i} \backslash \cup_{1 \leq j < i} B_{j} and C0:=(∪i≤mBi)cC_{0}: = \left(\cup_{i \leq m} B_{i}\right)^{c} have the desired properties.

Problem 10.5

(Ye Olde Marriage Lemma) Suppose SS is a finite set of princesses. Suppose each princess, σ\sigma, has a list, K(σ)K(\sigma ), of frogs desirable for marriage. For each collection A⊆SA \subseteq S, the combined list of frogs equals K(A)=⋃{K(σ):σ∈A}K(A) = \bigcup \left\{ K(\sigma ): \sigma \in A\right\}. If each princess is to find a frog on her list to marry, then clearly the "Desirable Frog Condition" (DFC), K (A)≥#A(A) \geq \# A, for each A⊆SA \subseteq S, must be satisfied. Show that DFC is also sufficient for happy princesses: under the DFC there exists a one-to-one map π\pi from SS into K(S)K(S) such that π(σ)∈K(σ)\pi (\sigma ) \in K(\sigma ) for every σ\sigma in SS.

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(i)
(ii)
(iii)
(iv)
Problem 10.6

Prove Lemma ⟨9⟩\langle 9 \rangle by carrying out on the following steps. Write RAR_{A} for ∪α∈ARα\cup_{\alpha \in A} R_{\alpha }. Argue by induction on the size of SS.

Lemma 9: Let ν\nu be a finite measure on a finite set SS and μ\mu be a finite measure on a sigma-field B\mathcal{B} on a set TT. Suppose {Rα:α∈S}\left\{ R_{\alpha }: \alpha \in S\right\} is a collection of measurable sets with the domination property that ν(A)≤μ(∪α∈ARα)\nu (A) \leq \mu \left(\cup_{\alpha \in A} R_{\alpha }\right) for all A⊆SA \subseteq S. Then there exists a probability kernel KK from SS to TT with KαK_{\alpha } concentrated on RαR_{\alpha } for each α\alpha and ∑α∈Sν{α}Kα≤μ\sum_{\alpha \in S} \nu \left\{ \alpha \right\} K_{\alpha } \leq \mu. With no loss of generality, suppose S={1,2,…,m}S = \left\{ 1,2, \ldots , m\right\}. Check the case m=1m = 1. Work from the inductive hypothesis that the result is true for S <m< m.

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(i)

Suppose there exists a proper subset A0A_{0} of SS for which νA0=μRA0\nu A_{0} = \mu R_{A_{0}}. Define Rα′=Rα\RA0R_{\alpha }^{\prime } = R_{\alpha } \backslash R_{A_{0}} for α∉A0\alpha \notin A_{0}. Show that νA≤μRA′\nu A \leq \mu R_{A}^{\prime } for all A⊆S\A0A \subseteq S \backslash A_{0}. Construct KK by invoking the inductive hypothesis separately for A0A_{0} and S\A0S \backslash A_{0}. (Compare with part (iv) of Problem [5].) Now suppose νA<μRA\nu A < \mu R_{A} for all proper subsets AA of SS. Write LαL_{\alpha } for the probability distribution μ(⋅∣Rα)\mu \left(\cdot \mid R_{\alpha }\right), which concentrates on RαR_{\alpha }.

(ii)

Show that μ≥ν{1}L1\mu \geq \nu \left\{ 1\right\} L_{1}. Hint: Show μB≥ν{1}μ(BR1)/μR1\mu B \geq \nu \left\{ 1\right\} \mu \left(B R_{1}\right) / \mu R_{1} for all B⊆R1B \subseteq R_{1}.

Write ϵ1\epsilon_{1} for the unit mass at 1. Let θ0\theta_{0} be the largest value in [0,ν{1}][0, \nu \left\{ 1\right\} ] for which (μ−θ0L1)RA≥(ν−θ0ϵ1)A\left(\mu -\theta_{0} L_{1}\right) R_{A} \geq \left(\nu -\theta_{0} \epsilon_{1}\right) A for every A⊆SA \subseteq S.

(iii)

If θ0=ν{1}\theta_{0} = \nu \left\{ 1\right\}, use the inductive hypothesis to find a probability kernel from S\{1}S \backslash \left\{ 1\right\} into TT for which (μ−ν{1}L1)≥∑α≥2ν{α}Kα\left(\mu -\nu \left\{ 1\right\} L_{1}\right) \geq \sum_{\alpha \geq 2} \nu \left\{ \alpha \right\} K_{\alpha }. Define K1=L1K_{1} = L_{1}.

(iv)

If θ0<ν(1)\theta_{0} < \nu (1), show that there exists an A0⊆SA_{0} \subseteq S for which (μ−θL1)RA0<(ν−θϵ1)A0\left(\mu -\theta L_{1}\right) R_{A_{0}} < \left(\nu -\theta \epsilon_{1}\right) A_{0} when ν{1}≥θ>θ0\nu \left\{ 1\right\} \geq \theta > \theta_{0}. Deduce that A0A_{0} must be a proper subset of SS for which (μ−θ0L1)RA0=(ν−θ0ϵ1)A0\left(\mu -\theta_{0} L_{1}\right) R_{A_{0}} = \left(\nu -\theta_{0} \epsilon_{1}\right) A_{0}. Invoke part (i) to find a probability kernel MM for which μ−θ0L1≥(ν{1}−θ0)M1+∑α≥2ν{α}Mα\mu -\theta_{0} L_{1} \geq \left(\nu \left\{ 1\right\} -\theta_{0}\right) M_{1}+\sum_{\alpha \geq 2} \nu \left\{ \alpha \right\} M_{\alpha }. Define K1:=(θ0/v{1})L1+(1−θ0/v{1})M1K_{1}: = \left(\theta_{0} / v\left\{ 1\right\} \right) L_{1}+\left(1-\theta_{0} / v\left\{ 1\right\} \right) M_{1}.

Problem 10.7

Establish the bound P(∣N(0,Ik)∣>kx)≤(xe1−x)k/2\mathbb {P}\left(\left|N\left(0, I_{k}\right)\right| > \sqrt{k x}\right) \leq \left(x e^{1-x}\right)^{k / 2}, for x>1x > 1, as needed (with kx=δ/σ)\sqrt{k x} = \delta / \sigma ) for the proof of Lemma ⟨18⟩\langle 18 \rangle.

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Problem 10.8

Let FmF_{m} and GnG_{n} be empirical distribution functions, constructed from independent samples (of sizes mm and nn) from the same distribution function FF on the real line. Show that

mnm+nsup⁡t∣Fm(t)−Gn(t)∣⇝sup⁡t∣B∘(F(t))∣ as min⁡(m,n)→∞ \sqrt{\frac{m n}{m+n}} \sup _{t}\left|F_{m}(t)-G_{n}(t)\right| \rightsquigarrow \sup _{t}\left|B^{\circ }(F(t))\right| \quad \text{ as } \min (m, n) \rightarrow \infty
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