Chapter 10

Random Processes

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Problem 10.1

Let a random process ξt(ω)\xi_{t}(\omega ) be given on the probability space (Ω,A,P)(\Omega , \mathscr {A}, P), where Ω={1,2},A\Omega = \left\{ 1,2\right\} , \mathscr {A} is the set of all subsets of Ω\Omega, and PP assigns probability 1/21/2 to each of the sets {1}\left\{ 1\right\} and {2}\left\{ 2\right\}. Let the set of values of the parameter tt be the segment [0,1][0,1], and ξt(ω)=ωt\xi_{t}(\omega ) = \omega t. Find:

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(a)

all realizations of the process ξt(ω)\xi_{t}(\omega );

(b)

all two-dimensional, three-dimensional, and nn-dimensional distributions of the process ξt(ω)\xi_{t}(\omega ).

Problem 10.2

Let a random process ξt(ω)\xi_{t}(\omega ) be defined on the probability space (Ω,A,P),Ω=[0,1],A(\Omega , \mathscr {A}, P), \Omega = [0,1], \mathscr {A} the σ\sigma-algebra of Borel subsets, PP the Lebesgue measure, t∈[0,1]t \in [0,1], and

ξt(ω)={1, for t⩽ω,0, for t>ω. \xi _{t}(\omega ) = \begin{cases} 1, & \text{ for } t \leqslant \omega , \\ 0, & \text{ for } t > \omega . \end{cases}

Find:

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(a)

all realizations of the process ξt(ω)\xi_{t}(\omega );

(b)

the two-dimensional distributions of the process ξt(ω)\xi_{t}(\omega ).

Problem 10.3

Let η\eta be a random variable with distribution function F(x)F(x), t∈Rt \in R. Find all finite-dimensional distributions of the random process ξt=η+t\xi_{t} = \eta +t.

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Problem 10.4

Let η\eta and ζ\zeta be independent random variables having the same normal distribution with mean zero and variance 1/21/2, t>0t > 0. Find all finite-dimensional distributions of the random process ξt=(η+ζ)/t\xi_{t} = (\eta +\zeta )/t.

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Problem 10.5

Let ξ\xi and η\eta be random variables, where η\eta has a distribution symmetric about zero and P(η=0)=0\mathbb {P}\left(\eta = 0\right) = 0. Find the probability that the realizations of the random process

ζt=ξ+t(η+t),t⩾0, \zeta _{t} = \xi +t(\eta +t), \quad t \geqslant 0,

are increasing.

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Problem 10.6

Let η1\eta_{1} and η2\eta_{2} be independent random variables having the same uniform distribution on the segment [−1,1][-1,1], t=(t1,t2)∈R2t = \left(t_{1}, t_{2}\right) \in R^{2}. Find the values of aa for which almost all realizations of the random function t1(η1+t2(η2+2a))t_{1}\left(\eta_{1}+t_{2}\left(\eta_{2}+2 a\right)\right) are monotonically increasing in t1t_{1} for t2=at_{2} = a.

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Problem 10.7

Give an example of a random process ξt\xi_{t} such that the set of elementary events to which continuous realizations of the process ξt\xi_{t} correspond is not itself an event.

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Problem 10.8

Prove that if a random process ξt,t∈R\xi_{t}, t \in R, is stochastically continuous on a compact set A⊂RA \subset R, then it is uniformly stochastically continuous on this set.

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Problem 10.9

Prove that if a random process is stochastically continuous on a compact set A⊂RA \subset R, then it is stochastically bounded on this set.

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Problem 10.10

Let ξt\xi_{t} be a stochastically continuous process, and g(x)g(x) a continuous function. Prove that the process g(ξt)g\left(\xi_{t}\right) is also stochastically continuous.

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Problem 10.11

Give an example of a random process, stochastically continuous on a segment, all of whose trajectories are discontinuous.

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Problem 10.12

Let ξt,t∈[0,1]\xi_{t}, t \in [0,1], be a random process such that all ξt\xi_{t} are mutually independent and have the same nondegenerate distribution. Prove that this process is not stochastically continuous at any point.

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Problem 10.13

Let a random process ξt\xi_{t} be continuous in the mean of order p>0p > 0 on a compact set AA. Prove that ξt\xi_{t} is uniformly continuous in the mean of order pp on the set AA.

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Problem 10.14

Let a random process ξt\xi_{t} be continuous in the mean of order p>0p > 0 on a compact set AA. Prove that there exists a positive number C<∞C < \infty such that

E[∣ξt∣p]⩽C for t∈A. \mathbb {E}\left[\left|\xi _{t}\right|^{p}\right] \leqslant C \quad \text{ for } \quad t \in A .
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Problem 10.15

Prove that for a random process ξt\xi_{t} to be stochastically continuous on a set TT, it is necessary and sufficient that for any t0,s0∈Tt_{0}, s_{0} \in T

lim⁡t→t0,s→s0P(ξt<x1,ξs<x2)=P(ξt0<x1,ξs0<x2), \lim _{t \rightarrow t_{0}, s \rightarrow s_{0}} \mathbb {P}\left(\xi _{t} < x_{1}, \xi _{s} < x_{2}\right) = \mathbb {P}\left(\xi _{t_{0}} < x_{1}, \xi _{s_{0}} < x_{2}\right),

for all x1,x2x_{1}, x_{2} at which P(ξt0<x1,ξs0<x2)\mathbb {P}\left(\xi_{t_{0}} < x_{1}, \xi_{s_{0}} < x_{2}\right) is continuous.

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Problem 10.16

Let ξt,a⩽t⩽b\xi_{t}, a \leqslant t \leqslant b, be a stochastically continuous process, f(t)f(t) a nonrandom function defined on [a,b][a, b]. Prove that the random process ηt=ξt+f(t)\eta_{t} = \xi_{t}+f(t) is stochastically continuous at exactly those points of the segment [a,b][a, b] at which the function f(t)f(t) is continuous.

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Problem 10.17

Let ξt(ω),0⩽t⩽1\xi_{t}(\omega ), 0 \leqslant t \leqslant 1, be a measurable random process defined on the probability space (Ω,A,P)(\Omega , \mathscr {A}, P), and let τ(ω)\tau (\omega ) be a random variable defined on the same probability space, with P(0⩽τ⩽1)=1\mathbb {P}\left(0 \leqslant \tau \leqslant 1\right) = 1. Prove that ξτ=ξτ(ω)(ω)\xi_{\tau } = \xi_{\tau (\omega )}(\omega ) is a random variable.

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Problem 10.18

A random process ξt,−∞<t<∞\xi_{t},-\infty < t < \infty, and a random variable τ\tau are defined on the same probability space. Is the function ξτ\xi_{\tau } always a random variable if:

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(a)

τ\tau takes finitely many values;

(b)

τ\tau takes countably many values;

(c)

τ\tau is an arbitrary random variable?

Problem 10.19

Let ξt\xi_{t} be a stochastically continuous random process. Prove that for every continuous bounded function φ(x)\varphi (x) the function E[φ](ξt)\mathbb {E}\left[\varphi \right]\left(\xi_{t}\right) is continuous in tt.

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Problem 10.20

Give an example of a random process ξt,t∈[a,b]\xi_{t}, t \in [a, b], such that for every continuous bounded function g(x)g(x) the function E[g](ξt)\mathbb {E}\left[g\right]\left(\xi_{t}\right) is continuous on [a,b][a, b], but ξt\xi_{t} is not stochastically continuous.

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Problem 10.21

Let ξt\xi_{t} be a stochastically continuous random process, and g(x)g(x) a continuous function. Prove that if for some α>1\alpha > 1

sup⁡tE[∣g(ξt)∣α]<∞, \sup _{t} \mathbb {E}\left[\left|g\left(\xi _{t}\right)\right|^{\alpha }\right] < \infty ,

then the function E[g](ξt)\mathbb {E}\left[g\right]\left(\xi_{t}\right) is continuous in tt.

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Problem 10.22

Show that stochastically equivalent processes have identical finite-dimensional distributions.

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Problem 10.23

Prove that a process stochastically equivalent to a stochastically continuous process is stochastically continuous.

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Problem 10.24

Consider, on the probability space (Ω,A,P)(\Omega , \mathscr {A}, P) consisting of the segment [0,1][0,1] with the σ\sigma-algebra of Borel subsets and the Lebesgue measure, the random process ξt(ω)\xi_{t}(\omega ) defined as follows:

ξt(ω)={1, if the line through the point (t,ω) parallel to the line t=ω crosses the t-axis at a rational point,0, otherwise.  \xi _{t}(\omega ) = \begin{cases} 1, & \text{ if the line through the point }(t, \omega ) \text{ parallel to the line } t = \omega \text{ crosses the } t\text{-axis at a rational point}, \\ 0, & \text{ otherwise. } \end{cases}

Show that ξt(ω)\xi_{t}(\omega ) is stochastically continuous, but all of its trajectories are discontinuous at every point.

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Problem 10.25

Let ξt\xi_{t} be a random process defined on the probability space (Ω,A,P)(\Omega , \mathscr {A}, \mathbb {P}). Prove that if Ω\Omega is countable and all singletons have positive probability, then the stochastic continuity of the process ξt\xi_{t} is equivalent to the continuity of all of its trajectories.

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Problem 10.26

Prove that if the set of values of the parameter tt of a random process ξt\xi_{t} is countable, then the process is measurable.

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Problem 10.27

Let ξt\xi_{t} be a random process, all of whose trajectories are continuous, and let the set of values of the parameter tt be a line segment. Prove that ξt\xi_{t} is measurable.

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Problem 10.28

Prove that all trajectories of a measurable random process are measurable. Must a random process be measurable if all of its trajectories are measurable?

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Problem 10.29

Let ξt\xi_{t}, a⩽t⩽ba \leqslant t \leqslant b, be a random process. Prove that for its measurability it suffices that all of its trajectories be right-continuous (or left-continuous).

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Problem 10.30

Let ξt,a⩽t⩽b\xi_{t}, a \leqslant t \leqslant b, be a stochastically continuous process. Prove that on [a,b][a, b] there exists a measurable process ξt∗\xi_{t}^{*}, stochastically equivalent to ξt\xi_{t}.

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Problem 10.31

Let ξt\xi_{t} be a random process stochastically continuous on [a,b][a, b] (except at no more than countably many points of [a,b][a, b]). Prove that on [a,b][a, b] there exists a measurable process ξt∗\xi_{t}^{*}, stochastically equivalent to ξt\xi_{t}.

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Problem 10.32

Let ξt,t∈T\xi_{t}, t \in T, be a random process, and let N={t1,…,tn,…}N = \left\{ t_{1}, \ldots , t_{n}, \ldots \right\} be a countable set, dense in TT. The process is called NN-separable if for every t∈Tt \in T

lim⁡δ→0sup⁡∣t−tn∣<δξtn⩾ξt⩾lim⁡δ→0inf⁡∣tn−t∣<δξtn \lim _{\delta \rightarrow 0} \sup _{\left|t-t_{n}\right| < \delta } \xi _{t_{n}} \geqslant \xi _{t} \geqslant \lim _{\delta \rightarrow 0} \inf _{\left|t_{n}-t\right| < \delta } \xi _{t_{n}}

Let T=[a,b]T = [a, b]. Prove that if ξt\xi_{t} is stochastically continuous on [a,b][a, b], then for every countable set NN, dense in [a,b][a, b], there exists a process ξt′\xi_{t}^{\prime }, stochastically equivalent to ξt\xi_{t}, that is NN-separable.

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Problem 10.33

Suppose all trajectories of a Poisson process are right-continuous. Prove that then almost all trajectories are nondecreasing integer-valued functions, increasing only by jumps of size 1.

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Problem 10.34

Prove that for a random process ξt\xi_{t} to be continuous in the mean square on a set TT, it is necessary and sufficient that the function L(t,s)=E[ξtξˉs]L(t, s) = \mathbb {E}\left[\xi_{t} \bar{\xi }_{s}\right] be jointly continuous in its arguments on the set T×TT \times T.

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Problem 10.35

Prove that for a random process ξt\xi_{t} to be continuously differentiable in the mean square on the interval (a,b)(a, b), it is necessary and sufficient that the function L(t,s)=E[ξtξˉs]L(t, s) = \mathbb {E}\left[\xi_{t} \bar{\xi }_{s}\right] have a continuous mixed second-order partial derivative in tt and ss on the set (a,b)×(a,b)(a, b) \times (a, b).

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Problem 10.36

Prove that a Poisson process is differentiable in probability, but not differentiable in the sense of convergence in the mean of any order p⩾1p \geqslant 1.

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Problem 10.37

Find the correlation function of the random process ξt=γ1f1(t)+…+γnfn(t)\xi_{t} = \gamma_{1} f_{1}(t)+\ldots +\gamma_{n} f_{n}(t), where f1(t),…,fn(t)f_{1}(t), \ldots , f_{n}(t) are nonrandom functions, and γ1,…,γn\gamma_{1}, \ldots , \gamma_{n} are uncorrelated random variables with variances d1,…,dnd_{1}, \ldots , d_{n}, respectively.

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Problem 10.38

Let ξt,t∈T\xi_{t}, t \in T, be a random process with correlation function K(t,s)K(t, s). Prove that K(t,s)K(t, s) is nonnegative definite.

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Problem 10.39

Let ξt(1),…,ξt(n)\xi_{t}^{(1)}, \ldots , \xi_{t}^{(n)} be independent random processes such that E[ξt(i)]=0,i=1,…,n\mathbb {E}\left[\xi_{t}^{(i)}\right] = 0, i = 1, \ldots , n; let K1(t,s),…,Kn(t,s)K_{1}(t, s), \ldots , K_{n}(t, s) be the corresponding correlation functions. Find the correlation function of the process ξt(1)+…+ξt(n)\xi_{t}^{(1)}+\ldots +\xi_{t}^{(n)}.

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Problem 10.40

Prove the positive definiteness of the following functions:

K1(t,s)=min⁡[t,s],t,s⩾0K2(t,s)={1−∣t−s∣,∣t−s∣<10,∣t−s∣⩾1,t,s∈RK3(t,s)=min⁡[t,s]−ts,t,s∈[0,1]K4(t,s)=e−∣t−s∣,t,s∈R \begin{aligned} & K_{1}(t, s) = \min [t, s], \quad t, s \geqslant 0 \\ & K_{2}(t, s) = \begin{cases} 1-\left|t-s\right|, & \left|t-s\right| < 1 \\ 0, & \left|t-s\right| \geqslant 1, \quad t, s \in R \end{cases} \\ & K_{3}(t, s) = \min [t, s]-t s, \quad t, s \in [0,1] \\ & K_{4}(t, s) = e^{-\left|t-s\right|}, \quad t, s \in R \end{aligned}
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Problem 10.41

Let K(t,s),t,s∈TK(t, s), t, s \in T, be the correlation function of some random process, and Q(z)Q(z) a polynomial with positive coefficients. Prove that the function K1(t,s)=Q(K(t,s))K_{1}(t, s) = Q(K(t, s)) is also the correlation function of some random process.

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(a)
(b)
Problem 10.42

Find the spectral density of the random process ξt\xi_{t} whose correlation function equals K(t)=ce−α∣t∣,c,α>0K(t) = c e^{-\alpha \left|t\right|}, c, \alpha > 0, t∈Rt \in R.

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Problem 10.43

Let ξt,t∈R\xi_{t}, t \in R, be a random process with mean zero and correlation function K(t,s)=estK(t, s) = e^{s t}. Prove that it is infinitely differentiable in the mean square.

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Problem 10.44

Let ξ\xi be a random variable having a normal distribution with mean mm and variance σ2\sigma^{2}, bb a real number. Find the correlation function of the process

ξt=ξt+b,t⩾0 \xi _{t} = \xi t+b, t \geqslant 0
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Problem 10.45

Let A,ηA, \eta and φ\varphi be random variables, with φ\varphi independent of AA and η\eta, A⩾0,η⩾0A \geqslant 0, \eta \geqslant 0, and φ\varphi uniformly distributed on the segment [0,2π][0,2 \pi ]. Find the mean and correlation function of the process

ξt=Acos⁡(ηt+φ),t∈R. \xi _{t} = A \cos (\eta t+\varphi ), \quad t \in R .
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Problem 10.46

Let φ1(t),…,φn(t)\varphi_{1}(t), \ldots , \varphi_{n}(t) be arbitrary real functions, c1,…,cnc_{1}, \ldots , c_{n} nonnegative numbers. Prove that the function

K(t1,t2)=∑i=1nciφi(t1)φi(t2) K\left(t_{1}, t_{2}\right) = \sum _{i = 1}^{n} c_{i} \varphi _{i}\left(t_{1}\right) \varphi _{i}\left(t_{2}\right)

is the correlation function of some random process.

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Problem 10.47

Let ξt(1)\xi_{t}^{(1)} and ξt(2)\xi_{t}^{(2)} be two independent random processes with correlation functions K1(t,s)K_{1}(t, s) and K2(t,s)K_{2}(t, s) respectively. Find the correlation function of the process

ηt=ξt(1)ξt(2). \eta _{t} = \xi _{t}^{(1)} \xi _{t}^{(2)} .
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Problem 10.48

Find the generating function of the number of particles in the nn-th generation, if the generating function of the immediate descendants of a single particle equals:

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(a)

pz+1−pp z+1-p;

(b)

(1−p)/(1−pz)(1-p) /(1-p z);

(c)

1−p(1−z)α,0<p<11-p(1-z)^{\alpha }, \quad 0 < p < 1, 0<α<10 < \alpha < 1.

Problem 10.49

Find the extinction probabilities for branching processes with generating function of the number of descendants of a single particle:

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(a)

(1−p)/(1−pz)(1-p) /(1-p z);

(b)

1−p(1−z)α,0<α<11-p(1-z)^{\alpha }, 0 < \alpha < 1;

(c)

(1+z+z2+z3)/4\left(1+z+z^{2} + z^{3}\right) / 4.

Problem 10.50

Find the distribution of the extinction time TT for branching processes with generating function of the number of descendants of a single particle:

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(a)

pz+1−pp z+1-p;

(b)

1−p(1−z)α,0<α<11-p(1-z)^{\alpha }, 0 < \alpha < 1.

Problem 10.51

Let X0,X1,…X_{0}, X_{1}, \ldots be a branching process, X0=1X_{0} = 1. Prove that

P(Xn>N for some 1⩽n⩽m−1∣Xm=0)⩽[P(Xm=0)]N. \mathbb {P}\left( X_{n} > N \text{ for some } 1 \leqslant n \leqslant m-1 \mid X_{m} = 0 \right) \leqslant \left[\mathbb {P}\left(X_{m} = 0\right)\right]^{N} .
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Problem 10.52

Find the generating function of the total number of particles in the first nn generations, if the generating function of the number of descendants of a single particle equals pz+1−pp z+1-p.

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Problem 10.53

Consider the branching process X0,X1,…X_{0}, X_{1}, \ldots with generating function

φ(z)=1−(b+c)1−c+bz1−cz0<c<b+c<1,(1−b−c)/[c(1−c)]>1. \begin{gathered} \varphi (z) = \frac{1-(b+c)}{1-c}+\frac{b z}{1-c z} \\ 0 < c < b+c < 1, \quad (1-b-c) /[c(1-c)] > 1. \end{gathered}

Find lim⁡n→∞P(Xn=k∣Xn>0)\lim_{n \rightarrow \infty } \mathbb {P}\left( X_{n} = k \mid X_{n} > 0 \right).

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Problem 10.54

Let, in the branching process X0,X1,…X_{0}, X_{1}, \ldots of problem 10.53, 1−b−c=c(1−c)1-b-c = c(1-c). Find lim⁡n→∞P(Xn⩽nx∣Xn>0)\lim_{n \rightarrow \infty } \mathbb {P}\left( X_{n} \leqslant n x \mid X_{n} > 0 \right).

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Problem 10.55

Let X0,X1,…X_{0}, X_{1}, \ldots be a branching process, X0=1,E[X1]=mX_{0} = 1, \mathbb {E}\left[X_{1}\right] = m. Prove that

E[Xn+k∣Xn]=mkXn. \mathbb {E}\left[ X_{n+k} \mid X_{n} \right] = m^{k} X_{n} .
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Problem 10.56

Let X0,X1,…X_{0}, X_{1}, \ldots be a branching process, X0=1,φ(z)=E[zX1],φn(z)=E[zXn],φ′(1)>1X_{0} = 1, \varphi (z) = \mathbb {E}\left[z^{X_{1}}\right], \quad \varphi_{n}(z) = \mathbb {E}\left[z^{X_{n}}\right], \quad \varphi^{\prime }(1) > 1. Denote by YnY_{n} the number of all particles in the nn-th generation that have infinitely many generations of descendants. Prove that

∑k=0∞zkP(Yn=k∣Y0=X0=1)=φn(z(1−q)+q)−q1−q. \sum _{k = 0}^{\infty } z^{k} \mathbb {P}\left( Y_{n} = k \mid Y_{0} = X_{0} = 1 \right) = \frac{\varphi _{n}(z(1-q)+q)-q}{1-q} .

where qq is the extinction probability.

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Problem 10.57

Find the generating function of the number of particles at time tt for a branching process with continuous time and generating function of infinitesimal parameters:

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(a)

f(z)=a2z2+a1z−(a1+a2),a2>0f(z) = a_{2} z^{2}+a_{1} z-\left(a_{1}+a_{2}\right), a_{2} > 0;

(b)

f(z)=zk−z,k⩾2f(z) = z^{k}-z, k \geqslant 2;

(c)

f(z)=1−z−1−zf(z) = 1-z-\sqrt{1-z};

(d)

f(z)=λ(1−z)[1+ln⁡(1−z)],λ>0f(z) = \lambda (1-z)[1+\ln (1-z)], \lambda > 0.

Problem 10.58

Find the extinction probabilities of the branching processes from problem 10.57.

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(a)
(b)
(c)
(d)
Problem 10.59

Let XtX_{t} be a branching process with generating function of infinitesimal parameters f(z)=a2z2+a1z−(a1+a2)f(z) = a_{2} z^{2}+a_{1} z-\left(a_{1}+a_{2}\right), where a2>0,a1+2a2<0a_{2} > 0, a_{1}+2 a_{2} < 0. Prove that

lim⁡t→∞e−(a1+2a2)tP(Xt>0)=1+a2a1+a2. \lim _{t \rightarrow \infty } e^{-\left(a_{1}+2 a_{2}\right) t} \mathbb {P}\left(X_{t} > 0\right) = 1+\frac{a_{2}}{a_{1}+a_{2}} .
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Problem 10.60

Prove that for the branching process XtX_{t} with generating function f(z)=3−5z+z2+z3f(z) = 3-5 z+z^{2}+z^{3}

lim⁡t→∞t−1P(Xt>0)=14. \lim _{t \rightarrow \infty } t^{-1} \mathbb {P}\left(X_{t} > 0\right) = \frac{1}{4} .
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Problem 10.61

Let XtX_{t} be a branching process with generating function f(z)=z2−zf(z) = z^{2}-z. Prove that Xte−tX_{t} e^{-t} converges as t→∞t \rightarrow \infty in the mean square to a random variable ξ\xi having an exponential distribution with parameter 1.

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Problem 10.62

Let XtX_{t} be a branching process with generating function f(z)=z2−2z+1f(z) = z^{2}-2 z+1. Prove that

lim⁡t→∞P(XtE[Xt∣Xt>0]<x∣Xt>0)=1−e−x. \lim _{t \rightarrow \infty } \mathbb {P}\left( \frac{X_{t}}{\mathbb {E}\left[X_{t} \mid X_{t} > 0\right]} < x \mid X_{t} > 0 \right) = 1-e^{-x} .
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Problem 10.63

Prove that the following definitions of a Markov process ξt\xi_{t} are equivalent:

  1. for every tt and any A∈F⩽t,B∈F⩾tA \in \mathscr {F}_{ \leqslant t}, B \in \mathscr {F}_{ \geqslant t}

    P(AB∣F=t)=P(A∣F=t)P(B∣F=t) a.s.;  \mathbb {P}\left( A B \mid \mathscr {F}_{ = t} \right) = \mathbb {P}\left( A \mid \mathscr {F}_{ = t} \right) \mathbb {P}\left( B \mid \mathscr {F}_{ = t} \right) \text{ a.s.; }
  2. for every tt and any B∈F⩾tB \in \mathscr {F}_{\geqslant t}:

    P(B∣F⩽t)=P(B∣F=t) a.s.;  \mathbb {P}\left( B \mid \mathscr {F}_{ \leqslant t} \right) = \mathbb {P}\left( B \mid \mathscr {F}_{ = t} \right) \text{ a.s.; }
  3. for every tt and any A∈F⩽tA \in \mathscr {F}_{\leqslant t}

    P(A∣F>t)=P(A∣F=t) a.s.  \mathbb {P}\left( A \mid \mathscr {F}_{ > t} \right) = \mathbb {P}\left( A \mid \mathscr {F}_{ = t} \right) \text{ a.s. }
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Problem 10.64

Prove that a random process ξt,t∈T\xi_{t}, t \in T, with values in the phase space (X,B)(X, \mathscr {B}) is Markov if and only if for any s1⩽s2⩽…⩽sm⩽t⩽t1⩽…⩽tns_{1} \leqslant s_{2} \leqslant \ldots \leqslant s_{m} \leqslant t \leqslant t_{1} \leqslant \ldots \leqslant t_{n}, si,t,tj∈Ts_{i}, t, t_{j} \in T, and any A1,…,Am,B1,…,Bn∈BA_{1}, \ldots , A_{m}, B_{1}, \ldots , B_{n} \in \mathscr {B}

P(⋂i=1m{ξsi∈Ai}∩⋂j=1n{ξtj∈Bj}∣ξt)==P(⋂i=1m{ξsi∈Ai}∣ξt)P(⋂j=1n{ξtj∈Bj}∣ξt). \begin{aligned} \mathbb {P}\left( \bigcap _{ i = 1 } ^{ m } \left\{ \xi _{ s _{ i } } \in A _{ i } \right\} \cap \bigcap _{ j = 1 } ^{ n } \left\{ \xi _{t_{j}} \in B_{j}\right\} \mid \xi _{t} \right) = \\ & = \mathbb {P}\left( \bigcap _{i = 1}^{m}\left\{ \xi _{s_{i}} \in A_{i}\right\} \mid \xi _{t} \right) \mathbb {P}\left( \bigcap _{j = 1}^{n}\left\{ \xi _{t_{j}} \in B_{j}\right\} \mid \xi _{t} \right) . \end{aligned}
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Problem 10.65

For a random process ξt,t∈T\xi_{t}, t \in T, with values in the phase space (X,B)(X, \mathscr {B}) to be Markov, it is necessary and sufficient that for any s1⩽s2⩽…⩽sm⩽t⩽t1⩽…⩽tns_{1} \leqslant s_{2} \leqslant \ldots \leqslant s_{m} \leqslant t \leqslant t_{1} \leqslant \ldots \leqslant t_{n}, si,t,tj∈Ts_{i}, t, t_{j} \in T, and any bounded B\mathscr {B}-measurable functions f1,…,fm,g1,…,gnf_{1}, \ldots , f_{m}, g_{1}, \ldots , g_{n}, E[∏i=1mfi(ξsi)∏j=1ngj(ξtj)∣ξt]=E[∏i=1mfi(ξsi)∣ξt]E[∏j=1ngj(ξtj)∣ξt]\mathbb {E}\left[ \prod_{i = 1}^{m} f_{i}\left(\xi_{s_{i}}\right) \prod_{j = 1}^{n} g_{j}\left(\xi_{t_{j}}\right) \mid \xi_{t} \right] =\mathbb {E}\left[ \prod_{i = 1}^{m} f_{i}\left(\xi_{s_{i}}\right) \mid \xi_{t} \right] \mathbb {E}\left[ \prod_{j = 1}^{n} g_{j}\left(\xi_{t_{j}}\right) \mid \xi_{t} \right] a.s.

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Problem 10.66

Let ξt,t⩾0\xi_{t}, t \geqslant 0, be a Markov process. Prove that ξn\xi_{n}, n=0,1,…n = 0,1, \ldots, is a Markov process with discrete time.

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Problem 10.67

Let ξt,t⩾0\xi_{t}, t \geqslant 0, be a Markov process. Is the sequence

ηn=[ξn], \eta _{n} = \left[\xi _{n}\right],

where [x][x] is the integer part of xx, a Markov chain?

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Problem 10.68

Let {ξn}\left\{ \xi_{n}\right\} be a sequence of independent random variables having the same density p(x)p(x), p(x)>0,−∞<x<∞p(x) > 0,-\infty < x < \infty. Is the sequence {ηn}\left\{ \eta_{n}\right\} Markov if:

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(a)

ηn=ξn,n=0,1,…\eta_{n} = \xi_{n}, n = 0,1, \ldots;

(b)

ηn=ξ0+…+ξn,n=0,1,…\eta_{n} = \xi_{0}+\ldots +\xi_{n}, n = 0,1, \ldots;

(c)

ηn=max⁡{0,ξ0,…,ξn}\eta_{n} = \max \left\{ 0, \xi_{0}, \ldots , \xi_{n}\right\}.

For the Markov chains, find the one-step transition probabilities.

Problem 10.69

Let {ξn}\left\{ \xi_{n}\right\} be a sequence of independent random variables having the same density p(x)p(x), p(x)>0,−∞<x<∞p(x) > 0,-\infty < x < \infty. Set

St=Sk(t−k)+Sk+1(k+1−t),k⩽t⩽k+1,Sn=ξ1+…+ξn. \begin{aligned} & S_{t} = S_{k}(t-k)+S_{k+1}(k+1-t), \quad k \leqslant t \leqslant k+1, \\ & S_{n} = \xi _{1}+\ldots +\xi _{n} . \end{aligned}

Is the process StS_{t} Markov?

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Problem 10.70

Let ξt,t⩾0\xi_{t}, t \geqslant 0, be a homogeneous Markov process with countably many states (0,1,…)(0,1, \ldots ). Prove that if the transition functions Pij(t)P_{ij}(t) are continuous at t=0t = 0, then they are uniformly continuous for t⩾0t \geqslant 0.

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Problem 10.71

Let ξt\xi_{t} and ηt,t⩾0\eta_{t}, t \geqslant 0, be two homogeneous Markov processes with countably many states, Pij(t)P_{ij}(t) and Qij(t)Q_{ij}(t) the corresponding transition functions. Prove that if for some t0>0t_{0} > 0 and all ii and jj, Pij(t)=Qij(t)P_{ij}(t) = Q_{ij}(t) for 0⩽t⩽t00 \leqslant t \leqslant t_{0}, then Pij(t)=Qij(t)P_{ij}(t) = Q_{ij}(t) for all t⩾0t \geqslant 0.

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Problem 10.72

Let ξt,t⩾0\xi_{t}, t \geqslant 0, be a homogeneous Markov process with finitely many states {0,1,…,N}\left\{ 0,1, \ldots , N\right\} and transition functions Pij(t)P_{ij}(t). Prove that the determinant of the matrix P(t)P(t) with entries Pij(t),0⩽i,j⩽NP_{ij}(t), 0 \leqslant i, j \leqslant N, is positive for all t>0t > 0.

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Problem 10.73

Let ξt,t⩾0\xi_{t}, t \geqslant 0, be a homogeneous Markov process with finitely many states {0,1,…,N}\left\{ 0,1, \ldots , N\right\} and transition functions Pij(t)P_{ij}(t). Suppose that Pij(t)P_{ij}(t) is continuous for all t⩾0t \geqslant 0. Prove that the finite limits

aij=lim⁡h→0Pij(h)−δijh,δij={1,i≠j,0,i≠j, a_{i j} = \lim _{h \rightarrow 0} \frac{P_{ij}(h)-\delta _{ij}}{h}, \quad \delta _{ij} = \begin{cases} 1, & i \neq j, \\ 0, & i \neq j, \end{cases}

exist, and ∑j≠iaij=−aii\sum_{j \neq i} a_{ij} = -a_{ii}.

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Problem 10.74

Give an example of a homogeneous Markov process with countably many states for which the finite limits

lim⁡t→0Pii(t)−1t=aii,lim⁡t→0Pij(t)t=aij,i≠j \lim _{t \rightarrow 0} \frac{P_{ii}(t)-1}{t} = a_{ii}, \quad \lim _{t \rightarrow 0} \frac{P_{ij}(t)}{t} = a_{ij}, \quad i \neq j

exist, but ∑j≠iaij≠−aii\sum_{j \neq i} a_{ij} \neq -a_{ii}.

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Problem 10.75

Prove that any homogeneous Markov chain is strongly Markov with respect to the family of σ\sigma-algebras F⩽n\mathscr {F}_{\leqslant n}, n=0,1,…n = 0,1, \ldots.

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Problem 10.76

Give an example of a Markov, but not strongly Markov, family.

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Problem 10.77

Let ξt,t⩾0\xi_{t}, t \geqslant 0, be a Markov random process with countable state space {0,1,…}\left\{ 0,1, \ldots \right\}. Suppose that at time t=0t = 0 the process is in state ii. Find the distribution function of the time until the first change of state of the process.

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Problem 10.78

Find all invariant measures corresponding to the transition probability matrix

P(t)=(Pij(t))=[(2+e−3t)/3(1−e−3t)/3(2−2e−3t)/3(1+2e−3t)/3] P(t) = \left(P_{ij}(t)\right) =\left[\begin{smallmatrix} \left(2+e^{-3 t}\right) / 3 & \left(1-e^{-3 t}\right) / 3 \\ \left(2-2 e^{-3 t}\right) / 3 & \left(1+2 e^{-3 t}\right) / 3 \end{smallmatrix}\right]
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Problem 10.79

Give an example of a Markov family with two finite invariant measures that are not proportional to one another.

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Problem 10.80

Show that there is no Markov process ξt\xi_{t}, t⩾0,ξ0=0t \geqslant 0, \xi_{0} = 0, with two states {0,1}\left\{ 0,1\right\} and trajectories almost surely continuous, whose transition probabilities equal P00(t)=e−t,P01(t)=1−e−t,P11(t)=1P_{00}(t) = e^{-t}, P_{01}(t) = 1-e^{-t}, P_{11}(t) = 1.

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Problem 10.81

Let ξ\xi and η\eta be independent nonnegative random variables with

P(ξ<x)=1−e−ax,P(η<x)=G(x). \mathbb {P}\left(\xi < x\right) = 1-e^{-a x}, \quad \mathbb {P}\left(\eta < x\right) = G(x) .

Prove that

P(ξ<u+η∣ξ⩾η)=1−e−au,u⩾0, \mathbb {P}\left( \xi < u+\eta \mid \xi \geqslant \eta \right) = 1-e^{-a u}, u \geqslant 0,

in particular, for every t⩾0t \geqslant 0,

P(ξ<u+t∣ξ⩾t)=1−e−au,u⩾0. \mathbb {P}\left( \xi < u+t \mid \xi \geqslant t \right) = 1-e^{-a u}, u \geqslant 0.

(The memoryless property of the exponential distribution.)

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Problem 10.82

Prove that a random flow is Poisson with intensity λ\lambda if and only if it is a recurrent flow with A(t)=1−e−λt,t⩾0A(t) = 1-e^{-\lambda t}, t \geqslant 0.

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Problem 10.83

Prove that the random flow vtv_{t}, obtained by superposition of kk independent Poisson flows vt(1),…,vt(k)v_{t}^{(1)}, \ldots , v_{t}^{(k)} with intensities λ1,…,λk\lambda_{1}, \ldots , \lambda_{k}, is Poisson with intensity λ=λ1+…+λk\lambda = \lambda_{1}+\ldots +\lambda_{k}.

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Problem 10.84

Let a Poisson flow with intensity λ\lambda be given. Assign each request of this flow, with probability pi,i=1,…,kp_{i}, i = 1, \ldots , k, ∑i=1kpi=1\sum_{i = 1}^{k} p_{i} = 1, to the ii-th subflow, independently of the other requests. Prove that the ii-th subflow is Poisson with intensity λpi\lambda p_{i}.

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Problem 10.85

Let a Poisson flow with intensity λ\lambda be subjected to the following thinning operation: the first kk requests are lost, the (k+1)(k+1)-th is kept, then again kk are lost, the next is kept, and so on. Prove that the thinned flow (called an Erlang flow of order kk) is a recurrent flow determined by the distribution function

A(t)=∫0λtxkk!e−xdx A(t) = \int _{0}^{\lambda t} \frac{x^{k}}{k!} e^{-x} d x
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Problem 10.86

Denote by vtv_{t} the random number of requests of a Poisson flow that arrive in the interval [0,t)[0, t). Prove that for t⩽T,k⩽nt \leqslant T, k \leqslant n,

P(vt=k∣vT=n)=Cnk(tT)k(1−tT)n−k. \mathbb {P}\left( v_{t} = k \mid v_{T} = n \right) = C_{n}^{k}\left(\frac{t}{T}\right)^{k}\left(1-\frac{t}{T}\right)^{n-k} .
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Problem 10.87

Prove that if it is known that NN requests of a Poisson flow arrived on the segment [0,T],T>0[0, T], T > 0, then the flow of requests on this segment is a Bernoulli flow.

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Problem 10.88

Let a recurrent flow of requests be given, determined by the distribution function A(t)A(t). Each request, independently of the others, is either discarded from the flow with probability pp, or kept with probability 1−p1-p. Show that the flow of kept requests is a recurrent flow determined by the distribution function B(t)B(t), where

B(t)=A(t)−p∫0tP(p,t−u)dA(u), B(t) = A(t)-p \int _{0}^{t} P(p, t-u) d A(u),

and the Laplace transform of the function P(z,t)P(z, t) equals

∫0∞e−stP(z,t)dt=1s1−α(s)1−zα(s)α(s)=∫0∞e−stdA(t) \int _{0}^{\infty } e^{-s t} P(z, t) d t = \frac{1}{s} \frac{1-\alpha (s)}{1-z \alpha (s)} \quad \alpha (s) = \int _{0}^{\infty } e^{-s t} d A(t)
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Problem 10.89

Prove that for any stationary flow there exists

lim⁡t→01−P0(t)t=μ, \lim _{t \rightarrow 0} \frac{1-P_{0}(t)}{t} = \mu ,

where P0(t)P_{0}(t) is the probability that no request arrives in time tt. The number μ\mu (finite or infinite) is called the parameter of the stationary flow.

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Problem 10.90

Let μ\mu be the parameter, and λ\lambda the intensity (i.e. the mean number of requests arriving per unit time) of a stationary flow. Prove that if the parameter is a finite positive number, then the flow is ordinary   ⟺  λ=μ\iff \lambda = \mu.

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Problem 10.91

For each n⩾1n \geqslant 1 consider the total flow ∑n\sum_{n}, obtained by superposition of nn independent flows, where the kk-th flow (k=1,…,nk = 1, \ldots , n) is a delayed recurrent flow determined by the distribution functions A1k(t)A_{1k}(t) and Ak(t)A_{k}(t):

A1k(t)=ak∫0t[1−Ak(u)]du,ak−1=∫0∞[1−Ak(u)]du. A_{1 k}(t) = a_{k} \int _{0}^{t}\left[1-A_{k}(u)\right] d u, \quad a_{k}^{-1} = \int _{0}^{\infty }\left[1-A_{k}(u)\right] d u .

Suppose that as n→∞n \rightarrow \infty: 1) a1+…+an=a=consta_{1}+\ldots +a_{n} = a = \text{const}; 2) max⁡1⩽k⩽n{ak}→0\max_{1 \leqslant k \leqslant n} \left\{ a_{k}\right\} \rightarrow 0; 3) for each fixed tt,

max⁡1⩽k⩽n{Ak(t)}→0. \max _{1 \leqslant k \leqslant n}\left\{ A_{k}(t)\right\} \rightarrow 0.

Prove that as n→∞n \rightarrow \infty the flow ∑n\sum_{n} converges uniformly to a Poisson flow with parameter aa.

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Problem 10.92

The flow of passengers to a bus stop is Poisson with intensity λ\lambda. At random time intervals ξ1,ξ2,…\xi_{1}, \xi_{2}, \ldots, buses arrive at the stop. The random variables ξ1,ξ2,…\xi_{1}, \xi_{2}, \ldots are mutually independent and identically distributed with a nonlattice distribution function G(x)G(x), μ−1=∫0∞xdG(x)<∞\quad \mu^{-1} = \int_{0}^{\infty } x d G(x) < \infty. A bus picks up all passengers present at the stop at the moment of its arrival. Let wtw_{t} be the waiting time until the next bus arrives, starting from time tt. Find lim⁡t→∞P(wt<y)\lim_{t \rightarrow \infty } \mathbb {P}\left(w_{t} < y\right).

Problems 10.93--10.95 consider the same service system as in problem 10.92.

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Problem 10.93

Let αt\alpha_{t} be the time elapsed since the most recent bus arrival up to time tt. Find lim⁡t→∞P(αt<y)\lim_{t \rightarrow \infty } \mathbb {P}\left(\alpha_{t} < y\right).

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Problem 10.94

Find lim⁡t→∞P(wt<u,αt<v)\lim_{t \rightarrow \infty } \mathbb {P}\left(w_{t} < u, \alpha_{t} < v\right).

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Problem 10.95

Let vtv_{t} be the number of passengers at the stop at time tt. Find lim⁡t→∞P(vt=k),k=0,1,2,…\lim_{t \rightarrow \infty } \mathbb {P}\left(v_{t} = k\right), \quad k = 0,1,2, \ldots

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Problem 10.96

Find the probability P0(t)P_{0}(t) that the system M∣M∣1∣0M \mid M \mid 1 \mid 0 is free at time tt, if the intensity of the input flow equals λ\lambda, the mean service time is μ−1\mu^{-1}, and:

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(a)

at time t=0t = 0 the system was free;

(b)

at time t=0t = 0 the system was busy.

Problem 10.97

Find the probability qnq_{n} that, in the stationary regime of the system M∣M∣n∣∞M \mid M \mid n \mid \infty, all servers are busy, if the intensity of the input flow equals λ\lambda, the mean service time is μ−1\mu^{-1}, with λ<nμ\lambda < n \mu.

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Problem 10.98

Consider the queueing system M∣M∣1∣∞M \mid M \mid 1 \mid \infty. Suppose in addition that the length of stay of the nn-th request (requests are numbered in order of their arrival in the system) in the queue is bounded by a random variable ξn\xi_{n}. The random variables ξ1,ξ2,…\xi_{1}, \xi_{2}, \ldots are mutually independent and identically distributed with distribution function 1−e−vx,x⩾01-e^{-v x}, x \geqslant 0. Let λ\lambda be the intensity of the input flow, μ−1\mu^{-1} the mean service time. Find the probability P0P_{0} that in the stationary regime the system is free.

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Problem 10.99

Consider the same queueing system as in the previous problem. Find the expectation nˉ\bar{n} of the number of requests in the system in the stationary regime.

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Problem 10.100

Find the stationary probability that in the system M∣M∣n∣mM \mid M \mid n \mid m:

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(a)

all servers are busy (PnP_{n});

(b)

all waiting places are occupied (Pn+mP_{n+m}).

Problem 10.101

Consider the same queueing system as in the previous problem. Find the expectation Nˉ\bar{N} of the number of servers busy with service in the stationary regime.

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Problem 10.102

Consider the same queueing system as in the previous problem. Find the expectation of the number of requests:

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(a)

in the queue qˉ\bar{q};

(b)

in the system nˉ\bar{n}, in the stationary regime.

Problem 10.103

Consider the system M∣GI∣1∣∞M \mid GI \mid 1 \mid \infty. Let λ\lambda be the intensity of the input flow, B(x)B(x) the distribution function of the service duration, πj\pi_{j} the probability of finding jj requests in the system in the stationary regime. Prove that for

B(x)={0,x⩽α,1,x>α,π0=1−λα,π1=(eλα−1)(1−λα),πj=(1−λα)∑k=1j−1(−1)j−kekλα[(kλα)j−k(j−k)!+(kλα)j−k−1(j−k−1)!]++(1−λα)ejλα,j⩾2. \begin{gathered} B(x) = \begin{cases} 0, & x \leqslant \alpha , \\ 1, & x > \alpha ,\end{cases} \\ \pi _{0} = 1-\lambda \alpha , \pi _{1} = \left(e^{\lambda \alpha }-1\right)(1-\lambda \alpha ), \\ \pi _{j} = (1-\lambda \alpha ) \sum _{k = 1}^{j-1}(-1)^{j-k} e^{k \lambda \alpha }\left[\frac{(k \lambda \alpha )^{j-k}}{(j-k)!}+\frac{(k \lambda \alpha )^{j-k-1}}{(j-k-1)!}\right]+ \\ \quad +(1-\lambda \alpha ) e^{j \lambda \alpha }, \quad j \geqslant 2. \end{gathered}
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Problem 10.104

Consider the same queueing system as in the previous problem. Let fjf_{j} be the probability that jj requests are served during a busy period. Prove that for

B(x)={0,x⩽α,1,x>α,fj=e−λαjj!(λαj)j−1. B(x) = \begin{cases} 0, & x \leqslant \alpha , \\ 1, & x > \alpha , \end{cases} \quad f_{j} = \frac{e^{-\lambda \alpha j}}{j!}(\lambda \alpha j)^{j-1} .
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Problem 10.105

Consider the system M∣GI∣1∣∞M \mid GI \mid 1 \mid \infty. Let W(x)W(x) be the distribution function of the waiting time in the stationary regime, λ\lambda the intensity of the input flow, B(x)B(x) the distribution function of the service time. Prove that W(x)W(x) is an infinitely divisible distribution function.

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Problem 10.106

Consider the same queueing system as in the previous problem. Find the distribution function of the time intervals between departures of requests from the system in the stationary regime.

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Problem 10.107

Consider the system M∣GI∣1∣∞M \mid GI \mid 1 \mid \infty. Suppose that after the service of each request finishes, with probability pp it leaves the system, and with probability 1−p1-p it returns to the queue for repeat service, independently of the other requests and of the number of previous services this request has received. Find the Laplace--Stieltjes transform π(s)\pi (s) of the distribution function of the duration of a busy period.

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Problem 10.108

Consider the same queueing system as in the previous problem. Find the generating function P(z)P(z) of the number of requests in the system in the stationary regime.

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Problem 10.109

Consider the same queueing system as in the previous problem. Find the distribution function F(x)F(x) of the time intervals between requests departing the system in the stationary regime.

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Problem 10.110

Find the Laplace transform of the probability that the system M∣GI∣1∣0M \mid GI \mid 1 \mid 0 is free at time tt, given that at time t=0t = 0 the system was free.

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Problem 10.111

Find π(s)\pi (s), the Laplace--Stieltjes transform of the distribution function of the duration of a busy period in the system M∣GI∣1∣1M \mid GI \mid 1 \mid 1.

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Problem 10.112

Consider the same queueing system as in the previous problem. Find the generating function f(z)f(z) of the number of requests served during a busy period.

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Problem 10.113

Consider the queueing system M∣GI∣∞M \mid GI \mid \infty. Let λ\lambda be the intensity of the input flow, B(x)B(x) the distribution function of the service time at any server, ntn_{t} the number of requests in the system at time tt. Find the joint distribution of (nt1,nt2)(n_{t_{1}}, n_{t_{2}}), t1<t2t_{1} < t_{2}.

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Problem 10.114

Consider the same queueing system as in the previous problem. Let μt\mu_{t} be the number of requests served up to time tt. Find the joint distribution of (μt1,μt2)(\mu_{t_{1}}, \mu_{t_{2}}), t1<t2t_{1} < t_{2}.

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Problem 10.115

Consider the same queueing system as in the previous problem. Find the joint distribution of (nt,μt)(n_{t}, \mu_{t}).

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Problem 10.116

Consider the queueing system M∣GI∣1∣∞M \mid GI \mid 1 \mid \infty. Suppose in addition that the service duration of a request arriving to a free system has distribution function B1(t)B_{1}(t), different from the distribution function B(t)B(t) of the service duration of requests arriving to a busy system. Find the Laplace--Stieltjes transform π(s)\pi (s) of the duration of a busy period.

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Problem 10.117

Consider the same queueing system as in the previous problem. Find the generating function f(z)f(z) of the number of requests served during a busy period.

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Problem 10.118

Consider the queueing system M∣GI∣1∣∞M \mid GI \mid 1 \mid \infty. Suppose that the server is unreliable while busy. The operating time of the server until breakdown has an exponential distribution 1−e−vx,x⩾01-e^{-v x}, x \geqslant 0. Immediately after a breakdown, repair of the server begins, lasting a random time with distribution function G(x)G(x). The request during whose service the server broke down is lost. Let λ\lambda be the intensity of the input flow, B(x)B(x) the distribution function of the service time. Find the Laplace--Stieltjes transform of the duration of a busy period.

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Problem 10.119

Consider the same queueing system as in the previous problem. Find the Laplace--Stieltjes transform of the distribution function of the waiting time in the stationary regime.

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Problem 10.120

Consider the same queueing system as in the previous problem. Find the generating function P(z)P(z) of the number of requests in the system in the stationary regime.

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Problem 10.121

Find the correlation function of the Wiener process wtw_{t}.

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Problem 10.122

Let wtw_{t} be a Wiener process. Find the joint density of the values wuw_{u} and wvw_{v}, 0<u<v<10 < u < v < 1, given that w1=0w_{1} = 0.

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Problem 10.123

Let wtw_{t} be a Wiener process. Find the covariance of the values wsw_{s} and wt,s<t<1w_{t}, s < t < 1, given that w1=0w_{1} = 0.

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Problem 10.124

Let wtw_{t} be a Wiener process. Find the correlation function of the process wt(0)=wt−tw1w_{t}^{(0)} = w_{t}-t w_{1}, considered on the segment 0⩽t⩽10 \leqslant t \leqslant 1 (the conditional Wiener process).

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Problem 10.125

Let wt(0),0⩽t⩽1w_{t}^{(0)}, \quad 0 \leqslant t \leqslant 1, be the conditional Wiener process defined in the previous problem. Prove that the process wˉt=(1+t)w1/(1+t)(0),t⩾0,\bar{w}_{t} = (1 + t) w_{1 /(1+t)}^{(0)}, \quad t \geqslant 0, is a Wiener process.

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Problem 10.126

Let wtw_{t} be a Wiener process. Prove that the following processes are also Wiener processes:

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(a)

wt(1)={0,t=0,tw1/t,t>0;w_{t}^{(1)} = \begin{cases} 0, & t = 0, \\ t w_{1 / t}, & t > 0 ; \end{cases}

(b)

wt(2)=cwt/c,t⩾0,c=const>0.\begin{aligned} w_{t}^{(2)} & = \sqrt{c} w_{t / c}, \quad t \geqslant 0, \\ c & = \text{const} > 0.\end{aligned}

Problem 10.127

Let wt(1)w_{t}^{(1)} and wt(2)w_{t}^{(2)} be independent Wiener processes. Prove that the process 12(wt(1)+wt(2)),t⩾0\frac{1}{\sqrt{2}}\left(w_{t}^{(1)}+w_{t}^{(2)}\right), \quad t \geqslant 0, is also a Wiener process.

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Problem 10.128

Let wt,t⩾0w_{t}, t \geqslant 0, be a Wiener process. Set

wt(0)={wt,t⩽T,2wT−wt,t>T. w_{t}^{(0)} = \begin{cases} w_{t}, & t \leqslant T, \\ 2 w_{T}-w_{t}, & t > T . \end{cases}

Prove that wt(0)w_{t}^{(0)} is a Wiener process.

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Problem 10.129

Let ξ0,ξ1,ξ2,…\xi_{0}, \xi_{1}, \xi_{2}, \ldots be independent random variables having the same normal distribution with mean zero and unit variance. Prove that

wt=tπξ0+2π∑n=1∞∑k=22n−1sin⁡ktkξk,t∈[0,π], w_{t} = \frac{t}{\sqrt{\pi }} \xi _{0}+\sqrt{\frac{2}{\pi }} \sum _{n = 1}^{\infty } \sum _{k = 2}^{2^{n}-1} \frac{\sin k t}{k} \xi _{k}, \quad t \in [0, \pi ],

is a Wiener process.

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Problem 10.130

Prove that a Wiener process is not differentiable in probability.

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Problem 10.131

Let wtw_{t} be a Wiener process. Prove that

E[(wt−ws)2n+1]=0E[(wt−ws)2n]=(2n−1)!!(t−s)n \begin{aligned} \mathbb {E}\left[\left(w_{t}-w_{s}\right)^{2 n+1}\right] & = 0 \\ \mathbb {E}\left[\left(w_{t}-w_{s}\right)^{2 n}\right] & = (2 n-1)!!(t-s)^{n} \end{aligned}
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Problem 10.132

Prove that a Wiener process is Markov. Find its transition function.

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Problem 10.133

Find the finite-dimensional distributions of a Wiener process.

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Problem 10.134

Prove that almost all trajectories of a Wiener process are nowhere differentiable.

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Problem 10.135

Let wtw_{t} be a Wiener process. Find the conditional density of wt,t1<t<t2w_{t}, t_{1} < t < t_{2}, given that

wt1=A,wt2=B. w_{t_{1}} = A, \quad w_{t_{2}} = B .
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Problem 10.136

Let wtw_{t} be a Wiener process. Prove that for z⩾0z \geqslant 0

P(max⁡0⩽s⩽tws⩾z)=2P(wt⩾z). \mathbb {P}\left(\max _{0 \leqslant s \leqslant t} w_{s} \geqslant z\right) = 2 \mathbb {P}\left(w_{t} \geqslant z\right) .

Find the density of the random variable max⁡0⩽s⩽tws\max_{0 \leqslant s \leqslant t} w_{s}.

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Problem 10.137

Let τ(z),z>0\tau (z), z > 0, be the random time at which the Wiener process wtw_{t} first reaches the value zz. Find the density of τ(z)\tau (z). Show that the expectation of τ(z)\tau (z) is infinite.

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Problem 10.138

Let τ(z)\tau (z) be the random variable defined in the previous problem. Prove that the convolution of the distributions of the random variables τ(z1)\tau \left(z_{1}\right) and τ(z2)\tau \left(z_{2}\right) coincides with the distribution of the random variable τ(z1+z2)\tau \left(z_{1}+z_{2}\right).

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Problem 10.139

Show that the distribution of the random variable τ(z)\tau (z) defined in problem 10.137 coincides with the distribution of the random variable z2τ(1)z^{2} \tau (1).

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Problem 10.140

Find the characteristic function of the random variable τ(1)\tau (1) defined in problem 10.137.

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Problem 10.141

Find the probability that the Wiener process wtw_{t} does not vanish on the interval (t0,t1),0<t0<t1\left(t_{0}, t_{1}\right), 0 < t_{0} < t_{1}.

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Problem 10.142

Let wtw_{t} be a Wiener process. Find the probability of the event

{max⁡0⩽s⩽tws⩾z,wt<x}. \left\{ \max _{0 \leqslant s \leqslant t} w_{s} \geqslant z, w_{t} < x\right\} .
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Problem 10.143

Let wtw_{t} be a Wiener process. Find the distribution function and density of the random variable max⁡0⩽s⩽1ws\max_{0 \leqslant s \leqslant 1} w_{s}, given that w1=0w_{1} = 0.

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Problem 10.144

Find the probability that the Wiener process wtw_{t} reaches the sloped boundary given, in the coordinates (t,w)(t, w), by the equation w=a(t+1),t⩾0,a>0w = a(t+1), t \geqslant 0, a > 0.

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Problem 10.145

Let P(a,b)P(a, b) denote the probability that the Wiener process wtw_{t} reaches the sloped boundary given, in the coordinates (t,w)(t, w), by the equation w=at+b,t⩾0,a,b>0w = a t+b, t \geqslant 0, a, b > 0. Prove that:

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(a)

P(a,b)=P(b,a)P(a, b) = P(b, a);

(b)

P(a,b1+b2)=P(a,b1)P(a,b2)P\left(a, b_{1}+b_{2}\right) = P\left(a, b_{1}\right) P\left(a, b_{2}\right).

Problem 10.146

Let P(a,b)P(a, b) be the quantity defined in the previous problem. Prove that

P(a,b)=e−γab, P(a, b) = e^{-\gamma a b},

where γ\gamma is some nonnegative constant.

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Problem 10.147

Determine the value of the constant γ\gamma in the previous problem.

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Problem 10.148

Prove that every process with independent increments is Markov.

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Problem 10.149

Let ξt(1)\xi_{t}^{(1)} and ξt(2),t⩾0\xi_{t}^{(2)}, t \geqslant 0, be independent random processes, each of which is a process with independent increments. Prove that their sum

ξt=ξt(1)+ξt(2),t⩾0, \xi _{t} = \xi _{t}^{(1)}+\xi _{t}^{(2)}, \quad t \geqslant 0,

is also a process with independent increments.

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Problem 10.150

Let ξt\xi_{t} be a random process with independent increments, t∈Rt \in R. Prove that if, for some t1t_{1} and t2t_{2} and some constant aa,

P(ξt1−ξt2=a)=1, \mathbb {P}\left(\xi _{t_{1}}-\xi _{t_{2}} = a\right) = 1,

then for any pair u1u_{1} and u2u_{2} such that t1⩽u1⩽u2⩽t2t_{1} \leqslant u_{1} \leqslant u_{2} \leqslant t_{2}, there exists a constant bb such that

P(ξu1−ξu2=b)=1. \mathbb {P}\left(\xi _{u_{1}}-\xi _{u_{2}} = b\right) = 1.
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Problem 10.151

Prove that the distribution function of the increment of any homogeneous random process with independent increments is infinitely divisible.

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Problem 10.152

Let φ(t,z)\varphi (t, z) be the characteristic function of a homogeneous stochastically continuous process with independent increments ξt\xi_{t}. Prove that φ(t,z)\varphi (t, z) is continuous as a function of tt.

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Problem 10.153

Let ξt\xi_{t} be a process with independent increments, φ(t,z)\varphi (t, z) its characteristic function. Prove that if φ(t,z)\varphi (t, z) is continuous in tt at the point t0t_{0}, then ξt\xi_{t} is stochastically continuous at the point t0t_{0}.

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Problem 10.154

Let ξ1,…,ξn\xi_{1}, \ldots , \xi_{n} be independent random variables, t1<t2<…<tnt_{1} < t_{2} < \ldots < t_{n} points of the interval [a,b)[a, b). Set ξt=∑tk<tξk\xi_{t} = \sum_{t_{k} < t} \xi_{k}. Prove that ξt\xi_{t} is a process with independent increments.

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Problem 10.155

Let ξt\xi_{t} be a process with independent increments, φ(t,z)\varphi (t, z) its characteristic function. Prove that for each zz, ∣φ(t,z)∣\left|\varphi (t, z)\right| is nonincreasing as a function of tt.

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Problem 10.156

Let ξt\xi_{t} be a homogeneous random process with independent increments, ξ0=0\xi_{0} = 0, φ(t,z)\varphi (t, z) its characteristic function. Prove that for any tt and ss,

φ(t+s,z)=φ(t,z)φ(s,z). \varphi (t+s, z) = \varphi (t, z) \varphi (s, z) .
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Problem 10.157

Let ξt\xi_{t} be a process with independent increments. Prove that if ξt0\xi_{t_{0}} has an absolutely continuous distribution for some t0t_{0}, then ξt\xi_{t} has an absolutely continuous distribution for every t⩾t0t \geqslant t_{0}.

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Problem 10.158

Let ξt\xi_{t} be a process with independent increments. Prove that the function Var⁡[ξt]\operatorname {Var}\left[\xi_{t}\right] is nondecreasing in tt.

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Problem 10.159

Let ξt,a⩽t⩽b\xi_{t}, a \leqslant t \leqslant b, be a homogeneous process with independent increments. Prove that ξt\xi_{t} is stochastically continuous everywhere on [a,b][a, b].

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Problem 10.160

Let ξt,t⩾0\xi_{t}, t \geqslant 0, be a homogeneous random process with independent increments, φλ(u)\varphi_{\lambda }(u) the characteristic function of the random variable ξλ−ξ0\xi_{\lambda }-\xi_{0}. Prove that

φλ(u)={φ1(u)}λ. \varphi _{\lambda }(u) = \left\{ \varphi _{1}(u)\right\} ^{\lambda } .
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Problem 10.161

Let ξt\xi_{t} be a process with independent increments, η\eta some random variable defined on the same probability space as ξt\xi_{t}. Is the process ζt=ξt+η\zeta_{t} = \xi_{t}+\eta a process with independent increments?

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Problem 10.162

Let ξt,t⩾0\xi_{t}, t \geqslant 0, be a homogeneous process with independent increments, not almost surely equal to a constant. Prove that ξt\xi_{t} is not stochastically bounded.

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Problem 10.163

Let ξt,t⩾0\xi_{t}, t \geqslant 0, be a process with independent increments. Prove that if for some t0t_{0}, P(ξt0= const )=1\mathbb {P}\left(\xi_{t_{0}} = \text{ const }\right) = 1, then P(ξt= const )=1\mathbb {P}\left(\xi_{t} = \text{ const }\right) = 1 for all t⩽t0t \leqslant t_{0}.

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Problem 10.164

Let ξt,a⩽t⩽b\xi_{t}, a \leqslant t \leqslant b, be a symmetric process with independent increments. Prove that if for some sequence t1,t2,…t_{1}, t_{2}, \ldots such that tn→bt_{n} \rightarrow b as n→∞n \rightarrow \infty and tn<bt_{n} < b, n=1,2,…n = 1,2, \ldots, ξtn→ξb\xi_{t_{n}} \rightarrow \xi_{b}, n→∞n \rightarrow \infty, then

ξt→Pξb,t→b. \xi _{t} \xrightarrow {\mathbb {P}} \xi _{b}, \quad t \rightarrow b .
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Problem 10.165

(Continuation) Can the symmetry condition be dropped?

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Problem 10.166

Let ξt,a⩽t⩽b\xi_{t}, a \leqslant t \leqslant b, be a process with independent increments. Is the process ηt=ξ−t,−b⩽t⩽−a\eta_{t} = \xi_{-t},-b \leqslant t \leqslant -a, a process with independent increments?

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Problem 10.167

Prove that if ξt\xi_{t} is a homogeneous process with independent increments, then there exists a positive constant cc (cc may equal +∞+\infty) such that Var⁡[ξt]=ct\operatorname {Var}\left[\xi_{t}\right] = c t.

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Problem 10.168

Let ξt,a⩽t<b,0⩽a<b\xi_{t}, a \leqslant t < b, 0 \leqslant a < b, be a process with independent increments. Can it be extended to the segments [0,a)[0, a) and [b,∞)[b, \infty ) so that the resulting process (on [0,∞)[0, \infty )) is also a process with independent increments?

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Problem 10.169

Let ξt\xi_{t} be a process with independent increments. Prove that if the function Var⁡[ξt]\operatorname {Var}\left[\xi_{t}\right] is continuous in tt, then ξt\xi_{t} is stochastically continuous.

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Problem 10.170

Let ξt,t⩾0\xi_{t}, t \geqslant 0, be a homogeneous nondegenerate process with independent increments. Prove that for every t>0t > 0 and every A>0A > 0, P(∣ξt∣>A)>0\mathbb {P}\left(\left|\xi_{t}\right| > A\right) > 0.

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Problem 10.171

Let ξt,t⩾0\xi_{t}, t \geqslant 0, be a random process such that ξ0\xi_{0} is uniformly distributed on the segment [0,1][0,1], and ξt0,t0>0\xi_{t_{0}}, t_{0} > 0, has an exponential distribution. Prove that ξt\xi_{t} cannot be a process with independent increments.

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Problem 10.172

Prove that a Gaussian random process with uncorrelated increments is a process with independent increments.

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Problem 10.173

Prove that any process with uncorrelated increments and mean zero has mean-square limits from the left and from the right at every point t∈Tt \in T.

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Problem 10.174

Let ξt\xi_{t} be a random process with uncorrelated increments, t∈Rt \in R. Prove that there exists a nondecreasing function F(t)F(t) such that for any tt and ss, the random variable ξt−ξs\xi_{t}-\xi_{s} has variance equal to F(t)−F(s)F(t)-F(s).

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Problem 10.175

Let A,ηA, \eta and φ\varphi be random variables, where A,ηA, \eta are nonnegative and have an arbitrary joint distribution, and φ\varphi is independent of them and has a uniform distribution on [0,2π)[0,2 \pi ). Prove that the random process

ξt=Acos⁡(ηt+φ),t∈R, \xi _{t} = A \cos (\eta t+\varphi ), t \in R,

is stationary.

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Problem 10.176

Let ξ1\xi_{1} and ξ2\xi_{2} be independent identically distributed random variables, taking the values +1+1 and −1-1 with probability 1/21/2 each. Prove that the random process

ηt=ξ1cos⁡λt+ξ2sin⁡λt,t∈R, \eta _{t} = \xi _{1} \cos \lambda t+\xi _{2} \sin \lambda t, \quad t \in R,

is not stationary, but is stationary in the wide sense.

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Problem 10.177

Let ξt\xi_{t} be a real Gaussian stationary process with mean zero and continuous correlation function K(t)K(t). Find the correlation function of the process ηs=ξt+sξs\eta_{s} = \xi_{t+s} \xi_{s}.

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Problem 10.178

Let πt,t⩾0\pi_{t}, t \geqslant 0, be a Poisson process with parameter λ\lambda. Prove that the process ξt=πt+1−πt,t⩾1\xi_{t} = \pi_{t+1}-\pi_{t}, t \geqslant 1, is stationary in the wide sense.

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Problem 10.179

Prove that if ξt\xi_{t} is a stationary process and there exists a limit of ξt\xi_{t} in probability as t→∞t \rightarrow \infty, then for any t1,t2t_{1}, t_{2}, P(ξt1=ξt2)=1\mathbb {P}\left(\xi_{t_{1}} = \xi_{t_{2}}\right) = 1.

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Problem 10.180

Let TT be a measure-preserving transformation and ξ=ξ(ω)\xi = \xi (\omega ) a random variable with finite expectation. Prove that

E[ξ(ω)]=E[ξ(Tω)]. \mathbb {E}\left[\xi (\omega )\right] = \mathbb {E}\left[\xi (T \omega )\right] .
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Problem 10.181

Let Ω=(ω1,…,ωn)\Omega = \left(\omega_{1}, \ldots , \omega_{n}\right) be a set consisting of finitely many points, n⩾2n \geqslant 2, A\mathscr {A} the set of all subsets, Tωi=ωi+1,1⩽i⩽n−1T \omega_{i} = \omega_{i+1}, 1 \leqslant i \leqslant n-1, and Tωn=ω1T \omega_{n} = \omega_{1}. Prove that if P(ωi)=1/n\mathbb {P}\left(\omega_{i}\right) = 1/n, then TT is a measure-preserving transformation.

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Problem 10.182

Let (Ω,B,P)(\Omega , \mathscr {B}, P) be the probability space where Ω=[0,1]\Omega = [0,1], B\mathscr {B} the σ\sigma-algebra of Borel sets, PP the Lebesgue measure. Let λ∈[0,1)\lambda \in [0,1) and

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(a)

T(x)=(x+λ) mod 1T(x) = (x+\lambda ) \bmod 1;

(b)

T(x)=2x mod 1T(x) = 2 x \bmod 1.

Prove that TT is a measure-preserving transformation.

Problem 10.183

Let Ω=[0,1),A\Omega = [0,1), \mathscr {A} the set of Borel subsets of [0,1)[0,1), PP some measure with a continuous distribution function. Show that the transformations Tx=λx,0<λ<1T x = \lambda x, 0 < \lambda < 1, and Tx=x2T x = x^{2} are not measure-preserving transformations.

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Problem 10.184

Prove that the class of sets invariant with respect to a measure-preserving transformation forms a σ\sigma-algebra.

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Problem 10.185

Consider the same probability space as in problem 10.182. Prove that the transformation Tω=(ω+λ) mod 1T \omega = (\omega +\lambda ) \bmod 1 is ergodic if and only if λ\lambda is irrational.

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Problem 10.186

Prove that a random variable is invariant with respect to some measure-preserving transformation if and only if it is measurable with respect to the σ\sigma-algebra of invariant events.

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Problem 10.187

Show that an event AA is invariant with respect to TT if and only if

P(T−1A\A)=0 or P(A\T−1A)=0. \mathbb {P}\left(T^{-1} A \backslash A\right) = 0 \text{ or } \mathbb {P}\left(A \backslash T^{-1} A\right) = 0.
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Problem 10.188

Does the transformation considered in problem 10.185 have the mixing property?

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Problem 10.189

Prove that a transformation TT is mixing if and only if for any two random variables ξ\xi and η\eta having finite variances,

E[ξ(Tnω)η(ω)]→E[ξ]E[η],n→∞ \mathbb {E}\left[\xi \left(T^{n} \omega \right) \eta (\omega )\right] \rightarrow \mathbb {E}\left[\xi \right] \mathbb {E}\left[\eta \right], \quad n \rightarrow \infty
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Problem 10.190

Is a sequence of pairwise independent identically distributed random variables stationary?

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Problem 10.191

Let ξ1,ξ2,…\xi_{1}, \xi_{2}, \ldots be a sequence of identically distributed random variables, where ξi\xi_{i} is independent of ξi−1\xi_{i-1} and ξi+1\xi_{i+1}. Is this sequence stationary?

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Problem 10.192

Let ξˉ=(ξ1,ξ2,…)\bar{\xi } = \left(\xi_{1}, \xi_{2}, \ldots \right) be a Gaussian stationary sequence with E[ξn]=0\mathbb {E}\left[\xi_{n}\right] = 0 and covariance function R(n)=E[ξk+nξk]R(n) = \mathbb {E}\left[\xi_{k+n} \xi_{k}\right]. Prove that the condition R(n)→0R(n) \rightarrow 0 is sufficient for the ergodicity of ξ\xi.

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Problem 10.193

Prove that every sequence consisting of independent identically distributed random variables is ergodic.

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Problem 10.194

Show that a stationary sequence ξ=(ξ1,ξ2,…)\xi = \left(\xi_{1}, \xi_{2}, \ldots \right) is ergodic if and only if for every B∈B(Rk),k=1,2,…B \in \mathscr {B}\left(R^{k}\right), k = 1,2, \ldots,

1n∑i=1nIB(ξi,…,ξi+k)→a.s.P((ξ1,…,ξk+1)∈B). \frac{1}{n} \sum _{i = 1}^{n} I_{B}\left(\xi _{i}, \ldots , \xi _{i+k}\right) \xrightarrow {\text{a.s.}} \mathbb {P}\left(\left(\xi _{1}, \ldots , \xi _{k+1}\right) \in B\right) .
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Problem 10.195

State conditions under which a homogeneous Markov chain is a stationary sequence.

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Problem 10.196

Let f(x0,…,xm)f\left(x_{0}, \ldots , x_{m}\right) be a measurable real function defined on Rm+1R^{m+1}, and {ξn}\left\{ \xi_{n}\right\} a stationary sequence of random variables. Prove that the sequence {ηn}\left\{ \eta_{n}\right\}, where ηn=f(ξn,…,ξn+m)\eta_{n} = f\left(\xi_{n}, \ldots , \xi_{n+m}\right), is also stationary.

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Problem 10.197

Prove that for a sequence of random variables (ξn)\left(\xi_{n}\right) to be stationary, it is necessary and sufficient that for every m⩾0m \geqslant 0 and every bounded measurable function f(x0,…,xm)f\left(x_{0}, \ldots , x_{m}\right), E[f(ξn,…,ξn+m)]\mathbb {E}\left[f\left(\xi_{n}, \ldots , \xi_{n+m}\right)\right] not depend on nn.

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Problem 10.198

Prove that the ergodicity of the sequence {ξk,k⩾0}\left\{ \xi_{k}, k \geqslant 0\right\} implies the ergodicity of the sequence {ηk,k⩾0}\left\{ \eta_{k}, k \geqslant 0\right\}, where ηk=f(ξk,…,ξk+m)\eta_{k} = f\left(\xi_{k}, \ldots , \xi_{k+m}\right), and f(x0,…,xm)f\left(x_{0}, \ldots , x_{m}\right) is an arbitrary measurable function.

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Problem 10.199

Let {ξk}\left\{ \xi_{k}\right\} be a stationary sequence, and fn(x0,…,xn)f_{n}\left(x_{0}, \ldots , x_{n}\right) a sequence of functions such that fn(ξ0,…,ξn)f_{n}\left(\xi_{0}, \ldots , \xi_{n}\right) converges in probability to some random variable η0\eta_{0}. Set ηk=lim⁡n→∞fn(ξk,…,ξk+n)\quad \eta_{k} = \lim_{n \rightarrow \infty } f_{n}\left(\xi_{k}, \ldots , \xi_{k+n}\right). Prove that {ηk}\left\{ \eta_{k}\right\} is a stationary sequence, and it is ergodic if {ξk}\left\{ \xi_{k}\right\} is ergodic.

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Problem 10.200

Prove that the sequence {ξk}\left\{ \xi_{k}\right\} is ergodic if and only if for every bounded measurable function f(x0,…,xm)f\left(x_{0}, \ldots , x_{m}\right),

lim⁡n→∞1n∑k=0n−1f(ξk,…,ξk+m)=E[f(ξ0,…,ξm)]. \lim _{n \rightarrow \infty } \frac{1}{n} \sum _{k = 0}^{n-1} f\left(\xi _{k}, \ldots , \xi _{k+m}\right) = \mathbb {E}\left[f\left(\xi _{0}, \ldots , \xi _{m}\right)\right] .
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Problem 10.201

Let {ξk}\left\{ \xi_{k}\right\} be a stationary sequence, E[ξ0ξn]−(E[ξ0])2→0\mathbb {E}\left[\xi_{0} \xi_{n}\right]-\left(\mathbb {E}\left[\xi_{0}\right]\right)^{2} \rightarrow 0 as n→∞n \rightarrow \infty. Prove that

lim⁡n→∞1n∑k=0n−1ξk=E[ξ0]. \lim _{n \rightarrow \infty } \frac{1}{n} \sum _{k = 0}^{n-1} \xi _{k} = \mathbb {E}\left[\xi _{0}\right] .
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Problem 10.202

Let {ξk}k≥0\left\{ \xi_{k}\right\}_{k \geq 0} be a Gaussian sequence. Prove that for this sequence to be stationary, it is necessary and sufficient that the equalities

E[ξn]=E[ξ0],n>0,E[ξ0ξn]=E[ξkξk+n],k⩾0,n⩾0, \mathbb {E}\left[\xi _{n}\right] = \mathbb {E}\left[\xi _{0}\right], \quad n > 0, \quad \mathbb {E}\left[\xi _{0} \xi _{n}\right] = \mathbb {E}\left[\xi _{k} \xi _{k+n}\right], \quad k \geqslant 0, \quad n \geqslant 0,

hold.

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Problem 10.203

Let ξt\xi_{t} be a homogeneous process with independent increments. Prove that for h>0h > 0 the process ζt(h)=ξt+h−ξt\zeta_{t}^{(h)} = \xi_{t+h}-\xi_{t} is stationary.

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Problem 10.204

Let φ(t)\varphi (t) be a continuous periodic function with period TT, and ξ\xi a random variable uniformly distributed on the segment [0,T][0, T]. Show that the process ξt=φ(t+ξ)\xi_{t} = \varphi (t+\xi ) is stationary.

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Problem 10.205

Prove that the sum of independent stationary random processes is a stationary random process.

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Problem 10.206

Let ξ1,…,ξn,θ1,…,θn\xi_{1}, \ldots , \xi_{n}, \theta_{1}, \ldots , \theta_{n} be independent random variables, with θ1,…,θn\theta_{1}, \ldots , \theta_{n} uniformly distributed on the segment [0,2π][0,2 \pi ]. Prove that the process

ξt=∑k=1nξkcos⁡[k(θk+t)] \xi _{t} = \sum _{k = 1}^{n} \xi _{k} \cos \left[k\left(\theta _{k}+t\right)\right]

is stationary.

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Problem 10.207

Let ξt,t⩾0\xi_{t}, t \geqslant 0, be a Gaussian process. Prove that it is stationary if and only if E[ξt]=E[ξ0]\mathbb {E}\left[\xi_{t}\right] = \mathbb {E}\left[\xi_{0}\right], E[ξtξt+s]=E[ξ0ξs]\mathbb {E}\left[\xi_{t} \xi_{t+s}\right] = \mathbb {E}\left[\xi_{0} \xi_{s}\right] for all t⩾0,s⩾0t \geqslant 0, s \geqslant 0.

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Problem 10.208

Let the correlation function of a random process ξt\xi_{t} stationary in the wide sense tend to zero at infinity. Prove that 1t2−t1∫t1t2ξtdt\frac{1}{t_{2}-t_{1}} \int_{t_{1}}^{t_{2}} \xi_{t} d t converges to E[ξt]\mathbb {E}\left[\xi_{t}\right] in the mean square as t2−t1→∞t_{2}-t_{1} \rightarrow \infty.

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Problem 10.209

Prove that if ξt\xi_{t} is a mean-square continuous stationary process, E[ξt]≠0\mathbb {E}\left[\xi_{t}\right] \neq 0, then there is no random variable η\eta such that η+∫0tξsds\eta +\int_{0}^{t} \xi_{s} d s is a stationary process.

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Problem 10.210

Let ξt\xi_{t} be a stationary process, η\eta a random variable. Is the process ζt=ξt+η\zeta_{t} = \xi_{t}+\eta stationary?

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Problem 10.211

Find the spectral representation of the random process ξt\xi_{t} defined in problem 10.175.

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Problem 10.212

Let ξt\xi_{t} be a real stationary process with mean mm and spectral density f(λ)f(\lambda ). Set ηt=ξtcos⁡(Λt+φ)\eta_{t} = \xi_{t} \cos (\Lambda t+\varphi ), where Λ=const\Lambda = \text{const}, and φ\varphi is a random variable, independent of ξt\xi_{t}, uniformly distributed on [0,2π)[0,2 \pi ). Find the spectral representation for ηt\eta_{t}.

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Problem 10.213

Let ξ0,ξ1,…\xi_{0}, \xi_{1}, \ldots be a sequence of independent random variables with mean zero, Sn=ξ0+…+ξnS_{n} = \xi_{0}+\ldots +\xi_{n}. Prove that the sequence {Sn}\left\{ S_{n}\right\} forms a martingale.

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Problem 10.214

Let ξ0,ξ1,…\xi_{0}, \xi_{1}, \ldots be a sequence of independent random variables, E[ξn]=1,n=0,1,…,Xn=∏i=0nξi\mathbb {E}\left[\xi_{n}\right] = 1, n = 0,1, \ldots , \quad X_{n} = \prod_{i = 0}^{n} \xi_{i}. Prove that the sequence {Xn}\left\{ X_{n}\right\} forms a martingale.

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Problem 10.215

Let ξ\xi be a random variable with finite expectation, {Fn}n≥0\left\{ \mathscr {F}_{n}\right\}_{n \geq 0} a nondecreasing sequence of σ\sigma-algebras. Set ξn=E[ξ∣Fn]\xi_{n} = \mathbb {E}\left[ \xi \mid \mathscr {F}_{n} \right]. Prove that the sequence {ξn,Fn}\left\{ \xi_{n}, \mathscr {F}_{n}\right\} forms a martingale.

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Problem 10.216

Let {ξk}\left\{ \xi_{k}\right\} be a sequence of independent random variables, and {ηk}\left\{ \eta_{k}\right\} a sequence of random variables such that for each kk, {η1,…,ηk}\left\{ \eta_{1}, \ldots , \eta_{k}\right\} and {ξk,ξk+1,…}\left\{ \xi_{k}, \xi_{k+1}, \ldots \right\} are independent collections of random variables. Prove that if E[ξk]=0,E[∣ηkξk∣]<∞\mathbb {E}\left[\xi_{k}\right] = 0, \mathbb {E}\left[\left|\eta_{k} \xi_{k}\right|\right] < \infty, then the sequence

ζn=∑k=1nηkξk,n=1,2,… \zeta _{n} = \sum _{k = 1}^{n} \eta _{k} \xi _{k}, \quad n = 1,2, \ldots

is a martingale.

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Problem 10.217

Let {ξn}\left\{ \xi_{n}\right\} be a martingale, E[ξn2]<∞\mathbb {E}\left[\xi_{n}^{2}\right] < \infty. Prove that {ξn2}\left\{ \xi_{n}^{2}\right\} is a submartingale.

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Problem 10.218

Let {ξn}\left\{ \xi_{n}\right\} be a sequence of nonnegative random variables having finite expectations, Sn=ξ0+…+ξnS_{n} = \xi_{0}+\ldots +\xi_{n}. Prove that the sequence {Sn}\left\{ S_{n}\right\} forms a submartingale.

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Problem 10.219

Let {Xn,Fn}\left\{ X_{n}, \mathscr {F}_{n}\right\} be a martingale, and g(x)g(x) a convex function such that E[∣g(Xn)∣]<∞,n=0,1,…\mathbb {E}\left[\left|g\left(X_{n}\right)\right|\right] < \infty , n = 0,1, \ldots Prove that the sequence {g(Xn),Fn}\left\{ g\left(X_{n}\right), \mathscr {F}_{n}\right\} forms a submartingale.

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Problem 10.220

Let {ξn}\left\{ \xi_{n}\right\} and {ηn}\left\{ \eta_{n}\right\} be two sequences of random variables such that for each nn there exist a joint density of the random variables ξ1,…,ξn\xi_{1}, \ldots , \xi_{n}, fn(x1,…,xn)f_{n}\left(x_{1}, \ldots , x_{n}\right), and a joint density of the random variables η1,…,ηn\eta_{1}, \ldots , \eta_{n}, gn(x1,…,xn)g_{n}\left(x_{1}, \ldots , x_{n}\right). Prove that the sequence

ζn=gn(ξ1,…,ξn)fn(ξ1,…,ξn),n=1,2,… \zeta _{n} = \frac{g_{n}\left(\xi _{1}, \ldots , \xi _{n}\right)}{f_{n}\left(\xi _{1}, \ldots , \xi _{n}\right)}, \quad n = 1,2, \ldots

forms a martingale.

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Problem 10.221

Let {Xn,Fn}\left\{ X_{n}, \mathscr {F}_{n}\right\} be a submartingale, and g(x)g(x) a convex nondecreasing function such that E[∣g(Xn)∣]<∞,n=0,1,…\mathbb {E}\left[\left|g\left(X_{n}\right)\right|\right] < \infty , n = 0,1, \ldots Prove that the sequence {g(Xn),Fn}\left\{ g\left(X_{n}\right), \mathscr {F}_{n}\right\} also forms a submartingale.

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Problem 10.222

Let {Fn}\left\{ \mathscr {F}_{n}\right\} be a nondecreasing sequence of σ\sigma-algebras, {Xn}\left\{ X_{n}\right\} a sequence of random variables such that XnX_{n} is measurable with respect to Fn\mathscr {F}_{n}. Let BB be an arbitrary Borel set on the line. Prove that the first hitting time of the set BB: τB=inf⁡{n⩾0:Xn∈B}\tau_{B} = \inf \left\{ n \geqslant 0: X_{n} \in B\right\} is a Markov time.

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Problem 10.223

Let τ\tau and σ\sigma be Markov times. Prove that τ+σ\tau +\sigma, min⁡{τ,σ},max⁡{τ,σ}\min \left\{ \tau , \sigma \right\} , \max \left\{ \tau , \sigma \right\} are also Markov times with respect to the same sequence of σ\sigma-algebras as τ,σ\tau , \sigma.

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Problem 10.224

Let τ\tau and σ\sigma be Markov times. Is the random variable τ−σ\tau -\sigma a Markov time?

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Problem 10.225

Let {Xn,Fn}\left\{ X_{n}, \mathscr {F}_{n}\right\} be a martingale (submartingale), τ\tau a Markov time with respect to the sequence of σ\sigma-algebras {Fn}\left\{ \mathscr {F}_{n}\right\}. Set τn=min⁡{n,τ}\tau_{n} = \min \left\{ n, \tau \right\}. Prove that the sequence {Xτn,Fn}\left\{ X_{\tau_{n}}, \mathscr {F}_{n}\right\} is also a martingale (submartingale).

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Problem 10.226

Let {ξn}n>0\left\{ \xi_{n}\right\}_{n > 0} be a sequence of independent identically distributed random variables, P(ξi=0)=P(ξi=2)=1/2\mathbb {P}\left(\xi_{i} = 0\right) = \mathbb {P}\left(\xi_{i} = 2\right) = 1/2, Xn=∏i=1nξiX_{n} = \prod_{i = 1}^{n} \xi_{i}. Show that there is no integrable random variable ξ\xi and nondecreasing family of σ\sigma-algebras {Fn}\left\{ \mathscr {F}_{n}\right\} such that Xn=E[ξ∣Fn]X_{n} = \mathbb {E}\left[ \xi \mid \mathscr {F}_{n} \right].

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Problem 10.227

Let ξt\xi_{t} be a homogeneous Poisson process with parameter λ\lambda. Prove that ζt=exp⁡{ξt−at}\zeta_{t} = \exp \left\{ \xi_{t}-a t\right\} is a submartingale for a⩽λ(e−1)a \leqslant \lambda (e-1) and a supermartingale for a⩾λ(e−1)a \geqslant \lambda (e-1).

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Problem 10.228

Let {Fn}\left\{ \mathscr {F}_{n}\right\} be a nondecreasing sequence of σ\sigma-algebras, F\mathscr {F} the σ\sigma-algebra generated by ⋃Fn\bigcup \mathscr {F}_{n}. Let ξ\xi be a nonnegative random variable, measurable with respect to F\mathscr {F}, having finite expectation. Prove that lim⁡n→∞E[ξ∣Fn]=ξ\lim_{n \rightarrow \infty } \mathbb {E}\left[\xi \mid \mathscr {F}_{n}\right] = \xi.

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Problem 10.229

Let {ξn}\left\{ \xi_{n}\right\} be a uniformly integrable martingale, ξn⩾0,ξ=lim⁡ξn\xi_{n} \geqslant 0, \xi = \lim \xi_{n}. Prove that ξn=E[ξ∣Fn]\xi_{n} = \mathbb {E}\left[ \xi \mid \mathscr {F}_{n} \right], where Fn\mathscr {F}_{n} is the σ\sigma-algebra generated by the variables ξ1,…,ξn\xi_{1}, \ldots , \xi_{n}.

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Problem 10.230

Let {Xn},n⩾0\left\{ X_{n}\right\} , n \geqslant 0, be a martingale. Prove that E[Xn]=E[X0]\mathbb {E}\left[X_{n}\right] = \mathbb {E}\left[X_{0}\right] for every n=1,2,…n = 1,2, \ldots

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Problem 10.231

Prove that a Wiener process started from zero is a martingale.

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Problem 10.232

Prove that if ξt\xi_{t} (t⩾0t \geqslant 0) is a process with independent increments, ξ0=0\xi_{0} = 0, and E[ξt]=0\mathbb {E}\left[\xi_{t}\right] = 0 for every t⩾0t \geqslant 0, then ξt\xi_{t} forms a martingale.

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Problem 10.233

Let ξt,t∈T\xi_{t}, t \in T, be a martingale with respect to the family Ft\mathscr {F}_{t}, E[∣ξt∣2]<∞\mathbb {E}\left[\left|\xi_{t}\right|^{2}\right] < \infty. Prove that ξt\xi_{t} has uncorrelated increments.

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Problem 10.234

Let ξt,t⩾0\xi_{t}, t \geqslant 0, be a process with independent increments, ξ0=0,E[ξt]=0,E[(ξt−ξs)2]=F(t)−F(s),s⩽t\xi_{0} = 0, \mathbb {E}\left[\xi_{t}\right] = 0, \mathbb {E}\left[\left(\xi_{t}-\xi_{s}\right)^{2}\right] = F(t)-F(s), s \leqslant t. Prove that (ξt2−F(t),Ft)\left(\xi_{t}^{2}-F(t), \mathscr {F}_{t}\right) is a martingale, where Ft=σ(ξu,u⩽t)\mathscr {F}_{t} = \sigma \left(\xi_{u}, u \leqslant t\right).

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Problem 10.235

Let {ξn}\left\{ \xi_{n}\right\} be a martingale and E[ξn2]<∞,n=1,2,…\mathbb {E}\left[\xi_{n}^{2}\right] < \infty , n = 1,2, \ldots Prove that for every a>0a > 0,

P(sup⁡1⩽k⩽n∣ξk∣⩾a)⩽E[ξn2]a2. \mathbb {P}\left(\sup _{1 \leqslant k \leqslant n}\left|\xi _{k}\right| \geqslant a\right) \leqslant \frac{\mathbb {E}\left[\xi _{n}^{2}\right]}{a^{2}} .
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Problem 10.236

Let {ξn}\left\{ \xi_{n}\right\} be a submartingale. Prove that ξn=ηn+ζn\xi_{n} = \eta_{n}+\zeta_{n}, where {ηn}\left\{ \eta_{n}\right\} is a martingale, and ζn\zeta_{n} is measurable with respect to σ(ξ1,…,ξn−1)\sigma \left(\xi_{1}, \ldots , \xi_{n-1}\right) and P(0⩽ζ1⩽ζ2⩽…)=1\mathbb {P}\left(0 \leqslant \zeta_{1} \leqslant \zeta_{2} \leqslant \ldots \right) = 1.

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Problem 10.237

Let {ξn}\left\{ \xi_{n}\right\} be a submartingale. Prove that for every a>0a > 0,

P(sup⁡1⩽k⩽nξk⩾a)⩽E[max⁡{0,ξn}]a \mathbb {P}\left(\sup _{1 \leqslant k \leqslant n} \xi _{k} \geqslant a\right) \leqslant \frac{\mathbb {E}\left[\max \left\{ 0, \xi _{n}\right\} \right]}{a}
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Problem 10.238

Let {ξn}\left\{ \xi_{n}\right\} be a supermartingale. Prove that for every a⩾0a \geqslant 0,

P(sup⁡1⩽k⩽nξk⩾a)⩽1a(E[max⁡{0,ξn}]−E[ξn]+E[ξ1]). \mathbb {P}\left(\sup _{1 \leqslant k \leqslant n} \xi _{k} \geqslant a\right) \leqslant \frac{1}{a}\left(\mathbb {E}\left[\max \left\{ 0, \xi _{n}\right\} \right]-\mathbb {E}\left[\xi _{n}\right]+\mathbb {E}\left[\xi _{1}\right]\right) .
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Problem 10.239

Let {ξn}\left\{ \xi_{n}\right\} be a submartingale. Prove that for every a⩾0a \geqslant 0,

P(sup⁡1⩽k⩽n∣ξk∣⩾a)⩾1a(E[∣ξn∣]−E[ξ1]+E[ξn]). \mathbb {P}\left(\sup _{1 \leqslant k \leqslant n}\left|\xi _{k}\right| \geqslant a\right) \geqslant \frac{1}{a}\left(\mathbb {E}\left[\left|\xi _{n}\right|\right]-\mathbb {E}\left[\xi _{1}\right]+\mathbb {E}\left[\xi _{n}\right]\right) .
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Problem 10.240

Let {ξn}\left\{ \xi_{n}\right\} be a nonnegative submartingale, E[ξn2]⩽C\quad \mathbb {E}\left[\xi_{n}^{2}\right] \leqslant C, n=1,2,…n = 1,2, \ldots Prove that the limit lim⁡n→∞ξn\lim_{n \rightarrow \infty } \xi_{n} exists almost surely.

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Problem 10.241

Let {ξn}\left\{ \xi_{n}\right\} be an arbitrary submartingale, E[ξn2]⩽C\mathbb {E}\left[\xi_{n}^{2}\right] \leqslant C, n=1,2,…n = 1,2, \ldots Prove that the limit lim⁡n→∞ξn\lim_{n \rightarrow \infty } \xi_{n} exists almost surely.

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Problem 10.242

Let {ξn}\left\{ \xi_{n}\right\} be a nonnegative martingale. Prove that the limit lim⁡n→∞ξn\lim_{n \rightarrow \infty } \xi_{n} exists almost surely.

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Problem 10.243

Find the transition function of a Poisson process, regarding it as a Markov process.

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Problem 10.244

Let wt,t⩾0w_{t}, t \geqslant 0, be a Wiener process. Find the transition function of the process ξt=w−t,t⩽0\xi_{t} = w_{-t}, t \leqslant 0, regarding it as a Markov process.

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Problem 10.245

Let wt,t⩾0w_{t}, t \geqslant 0, be a Wiener process. Prove that ∣wt∣\left|w_{t}\right| is a Markov process. Find its transition function.

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Problem 10.246

Let πt\pi_{t} be a Poisson process. Find E[[πt−πs]n]\mathbb {E}\left[\left[\pi_{t}-\pi_{s}\right]^{n}\right], n=1,2,…n = 1,2, \ldots

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Problem 10.247

Let πt,t⩾0\pi_{t}, t \geqslant 0, be a Poisson process with parameter λ\lambda. Prove that the distribution of πt−λtλt\frac{\pi_{t}-\lambda t}{\sqrt{\lambda t}} converges weakly, as t→∞t \rightarrow \infty, to the normal distribution with parameters 00 and 11.

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Problem 10.248

Show that if a stationary process is Gaussian and Markov, then its covariance function has the form ce−α∣t∣,α⩾0,c>0c e^{-\alpha \left|t\right|}, \alpha \geqslant 0, c > 0, for some constant.

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Problem 10.249

Let wsw_{s} be a Wiener process, ξt=e−twe2t\xi_{t} = e^{-t} w_{e^{2t}}. Show that ξt\xi_{t} is a stationary Markov process. Find its covariance function and spectral density.

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Problem 10.250

Let τ(a)\tau (a) be the first time the Wiener process wtw_{t} reaches the level aa. Set

wta={wt,t⩽τ(a)a,t>τ(a) w_{t}^{a} = \begin{cases} w_{t}, & t \leqslant \tau (a) \\ a, & t > \tau (a) \end{cases}

Prove that wtaw_{t}^{a} is a Markov process. Find its transition function.

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Problem 10.251

Let wtw_{t} be a Wiener process. Find the probability of the event {sup⁡0⩽s⩽t∣ws∣⩾z,a⩽wt⩽b}\left\{ \sup_{0 \leqslant s \leqslant t}\left|w_{s}\right| \geqslant z, a \leqslant w_{t} \leqslant b\right\}, where z>0z > 0 and −z<a<b<z-z < a < b < z.

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Problem 10.252

Let wtw_{t} be a Wiener process. Find the distribution function of the random variable sup⁡0⩽t⩽1∣wt∣\sup_{0 \leqslant t \leqslant 1}\left|w_{t}\right|, given that w1=0w_{1} = 0.

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Problem 10.253

Let ws(1)w_{s}^{(1)} and ws(2)w_{s}^{(2)} be independent Wiener processes. For every real tt, set

wˉt={wt(1),t⩾0,w−t(2),t<0. \bar{w}_{t} = \begin{cases} w_{t}^{(1)}, & t \geqslant 0, \\ w_{-t}^{(2)}, & t < 0. \end{cases}

Further, let ξt=1h(wˉt−wˉt−h),h=const\xi_{t} = \frac{1}{h}\left(\bar{w}_{t}-\bar{w}_{t-h}\right), \quad h = \text{const}. Show that ξt\xi_{t} is a stationary process. Find its covariance function and spectral density.

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Problem 10.254

Let …,ξ−2,ξ−1,ξ0,ξ1,ξ2,…\ldots , \xi_{-2}, \xi_{-1}, \xi_{0}, \xi_{1}, \xi_{2}, \ldots be independent identically distributed random variables such that E[ξk]=0\mathbb {E}\left[\xi_{k}\right] = 0, E[ξk2]=σ2\mathbb {E}\left[\xi_{k}^{2}\right] = \sigma^{2}. Set ηn=ξn+ξn−1+…+ξn−m\eta_{n} = \xi_{n}+\xi_{n-1}+\ldots +\xi_{n-m} (n=0,±1,…n = 0, \pm 1, \ldots, m=constm = \text{const}). Show that the sequence {ηn}\left\{ \eta_{n}\right\} forms a stationary process. Find the covariance function of this process.

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Problem 10.255

Let …,ξ−2,ξ−1,ξ0,ξ1,ξ2,…\ldots , \xi_{-2}, \xi_{-1}, \xi_{0}, \xi_{1}, \xi_{2}, \ldots be independent identically distributed random variables such that E[ξh]=0\quad \mathbb {E}\left[\xi_{h}\right] = 0, E[ξh2]=σ2\mathbb {E}\left[\xi_{h}^{2}\right] = \sigma^{2}. Set ηn=c0ξn+…+cmξn−m,n=0,±1,…\eta_{n} = c_{0} \xi_{n}+\ldots +c_{m} \xi_{n-m}, n = 0, \pm 1, \ldots, where c0,…,cmc_{0}, \ldots , c_{m} are arbitrary real numbers, mm fixed. Show that the sequence {ηn}\left\{ \eta_{n}\right\} forms a stationary process, and find its covariance function.

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Problem 10.256

Show that the function R(t)=σ2e−α∣t∣cos⁡βtR(t) = \sigma^{2} e^{-\alpha \left|t\right|} \cos \beta t, where α,β\alpha , \beta, and σ\sigma are some positive constants, can be the covariance function of a continuous process, stationary in the wide sense. Determine the spectral density corresponding to such a covariance function.

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Problem 10.257

Let X0,X1,…X_{0}, X_{1}, \ldots be a branching process, X0=1,E[X1]=mX_{0} = 1, \mathbb {E}\left[X_{1}\right] = m, Zn=Xn/mnZ_{n} = X_{n} / m^{n}. Prove that {Zn}\left\{ Z_{n}\right\} forms a martingale.

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