Chapter 3.5

Markov Times

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Problem 3.5.1

Let a filtration F=(Fn,n∈N)\mathbb {F}=\left(\mathcal{F}_{n}, n \in \mathbb {N}\right) be given, and let τ1,τ2,…\tau_{1}, \tau_{2}, \ldots be Markov moments with respect to F\mathbb {F}. Prove that the random variables

∑k=1mτk,∏k=1mτk,sup⁡kτk,inf⁡kτk \sum _{k=1}^{m} \tau _{k}, \quad \prod _{k=1}^{m} \tau _{k}, \quad \sup _{k} \tau _{k}, \quad \inf _{k} \tau _{k}

are also Markov moments with respect to F\mathbb {F}.

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Problem 3.5.2

Let a filtration F=(Ft,t≥0)\mathbb {F}=\left(\mathcal{F}_{t}, t \geq 0\right) be given, and let τ1,τ2,…\tau_{1}, \tau_{2}, \ldots be Markov moments with respect to F\mathbb {F}. Prove that

∑k=1mτk,max⁡k=1,…,mτk,min⁡k=1,…,mτk \sum _{k=1}^{m} \tau _{k}, \quad \max _{k=1, \ldots , m} \tau _{k}, \min _{k=1, \ldots , m} \tau _{k}

are also Markov moments with respect to F\mathbb {F}.

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Problem 3.5.3
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(a)

Let τ\tau be a Markov moment with respect to a filtration F=(Ft,t∈T)\mathbb {F}=\left(\mathcal{F}_{t}, t \in T\right), where T⊂R+T \subset \mathbb {R}_+. Prove that τ\tau is an Fτ\mathcal{F}_{\tau }-measurable random variable.

(b)

Let τ\tau be a Markov moment with respect to a filtration F=(Fn,n∈N)\mathbb {F}=\left(\mathcal{F}_{n}, n \in \mathbb {N}\right), and let the random process (Xn,n∈N)\left(X_{n}, n \in \mathbb {N}\right) be consistent with F\mathbb {F}. Prove that XτX_{\tau } is Fτ\mathcal{F}_{\tau }-measurable (where we set Xτ=+∞X_{\tau } = +\infty if τ=+∞\tau = +\infty).

Problem 3.5.4

Let a filtration F=(Ft,t∈T)\mathbb {F}=\left(\mathcal{F}_{t}, t \in T\right), T⊂RT \subset \mathbb {R}, be given on (Ω,F,P)(\Omega , \mathcal{F}, \mathbb {P}). Prove that for Markov moments σ,τ\sigma , \tau with respect to F\mathbb {F} and for any A∈FτA \in \mathcal{F}_{\tau },

A∩{τ≤σ}∈Fτ∩Fσ. A \cap \left\{ \tau \leq \sigma \right\} \in \mathcal{F}_{\tau } \cap \mathcal{F}_{\sigma }.
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Remark.
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As a corollary, we obtain that if τ≤σ\tau \leq \sigma, then Fτ⊂Fσ\mathcal{F}_{\tau } \subset \mathcal{F}_{\sigma }.

Problem 3.5.5

Let (Wt,t≥0)\left(W_{t}, t \geq 0\right) be a Wiener process, and let τx=inf⁡{t≥0:Wt=x}\tau_{x}=\inf \left\{ t \geq 0: W_{t}=x\right\} be the first time the level xx is reached. Compute the density of τx\tau_{x} and find E[τx]\mathbb {E}\left[\tau_{x}\right].

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Problem 3.5.6

Let (Wt,t≥0)\left(W_t, t \geq 0\right) be a Wiener process. Find the density of the random variable

Ya=sup⁡t∈[τx,τx+a]Wt. Y_{a}=\sup _{t \in [\tau _x, \tau _x+a]} W_{t}.
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Problem 3.5.7

Let (Wt,t≥0)\left(W_{t}, t \geq 0\right) be a Wiener process. Prove that for any 0≤a<b≤c<d0 \leq a<b \leq c<d, with probability 1 we have

max⁡s∈[a,b]Ws≠max⁡s∈[c,d]Ws. \max _{s \in [a, b]} W_{s} \neq \max _{s \in [c, d]} W_{s}.
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Remark.
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Thus, the quantity T[a,b]=arg max⁡s∈[a,b]WsT_{[a,b]} = \operatorname *{arg\, max}_{s \in [a, b]} W_{s} is well defined.

Problem 3.5.8

Prove that the random variable T=T[0,1]arg max⁡s∈[0,1]WsT=T_{[0,1]}\operatorname *{arg\, max}_{s \in [0, 1]} W_{s} has the arcsine distribution. Namely, prove that for t∈(0,1)t \in (0,1) the distribution function of TT is:

FT(t)=P(T≤t)=2πarcsin⁡t F_T(t) = \mathbb {P}\left(T \leq t\right) = \frac{2}{\pi } \arcsin \sqrt{t}
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Problem 3.5.9

Let (Wt,t⩾0)\left(W_{t}, t \geqslant 0\right) be a Wiener process, and let s<u<0s < u < 0. Find

P(Wt has no zeros on the interval [s,u]). \mathbb {P}\left(W_t \text{ has no zeros on the interval }[s, u]\right).
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