Section 3.5

Random and Mixed Effects Models

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Problem 3.5.1

In Example 5.1:

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(a)

Show that the joint density of the ZijZ_{i j} is given by (5.2).

(b)

Obtain the joint multivariate normal density of the XijX_{i j} directly by evaluating their covariance matrix and then inverting it.

Problem 3.5.2

Let A=(aij)A=\left(a_{i j}\right) be a nonsingular n×nn \times n matrix with aii=aa_{i i}=a and aij=ba_{i j}=b for all i≠ji \neq j. Determine the elements of A−1A^{-1}.

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Problem 3.5.3

Verify the UMVU estimator of σA2/σ2\sigma_{A}^{2} / \sigma^{2} given in Example 5.1.

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Problem 3.5.4

Obtain the joint density of the XijX_{i j} in Example 5.1 in the unbalanced case in which j=1,…,nij=1, \ldots , n_{i}, with the nin_{i} not all equal, and determine a minimal set of sufficient statistics (which depends on the number of distinct values of nin_{i} ).

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Problem 3.5.5

In the balanced one-way layout of Example 5.1, determine lim⁡P(σ^A2<0)\lim \mathbb {P}\left(\hat{\sigma }_{A}^{2}<0\right) as n→∞n \rightarrow \infty for σA2/σ2=0,0.2,0.5,1\sigma_{A}^{2} / \sigma^{2}=0,0.2,0.5,1, and s=3,4,5,6s=3,4,5,6.

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Problem 3.5.6

In the preceding problem, calculate values of P(σ^A2<0)\mathbb {P}\left(\hat{\sigma }_{A}^{2}<0\right) for finite nn. When would you expect negative estimates to be a problem?

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Remark.
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The probability P(σ^A2<0)\mathbb {P}\left(\hat{\sigma }_{A}^{2}<0\right), which involves an FF random variable, can also be expressed using the incomplete beta function, whose values are readily available through either extensive tables or computer packages. Searle et al. (1992, Section 3.5d) look at this problem in some detail.

Problem 3.5.7

The following problem shows that in Examples 5.1-5.3 every unbiased estimator of the variance components (except σ2\sigma^{2} ) takes on negative values. (For some related results, see Pukelsheim 1981.) Let XX have distribution P∈PP \in \mathcal{P} and suppose that TT is a complete sufficient statistic for P\mathcal{P}. If g(P)g(P) is any UU-estimable function defined over P\mathcal{P} and its UMVU estimator η(T)\eta (T) takes on negative values with probability >0>0, then show that this is true of every unbiased estimator of g(P)g(P).

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Problem 3.5.8

Modify the car illustration of Example 5.1 so that it illustrates (5.5).

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Problem 3.5.9

In Example 5.2, define a linear transformation of the XijkX_{i j k} leading to the joint distribution of the ZijkZ_{i j k} stated in connection with (5.6), and verify the complete sufficient statistics (5.7).

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Problem 3.5.10

In Example 5.2, obtain the UMVU estimators of the variance components σA2,σB2\sigma_{A}^{2}, \sigma_{B}^{2}, and σ2\sigma^{2} when σC2=0\sigma_{C}^{2}=0, and compare them to those obtained without this assumption.

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Problem 3.5.11

For the XijkX_{i j k} given in (5.8), determine a transformation taking them to variables ZijkZ_{i j k} with the distribution stated in Example 5.3.

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Problem 3.5.12

In Example 5.3, obtain the UMVU estimators of the variance components σA2,σB2\sigma_{A}^{2}, \sigma_{B}^{2}, and σ2\sigma^{2}.

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Problem 3.5.13

In Example 5.3, obtain the UMVU estimators of σA2\sigma_{A}^{2} and σ2\sigma^{2} when σB2=0\sigma_{B}^{2}=0 so that the BB terms in (5.8) drop out, and compare them with those of Problem 5.12.

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Problem 3.5.14

In Example 5.4:

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(a)

Give a transformation taking the variables XijkX_{i j k} into the WijkW_{i j k} with density (5.11).

(b)

Obtain the UMVU estimators of μ,αi,σB2\mu , \alpha_{i}, \sigma_{B}^{2}, and σ2\sigma^{2}.

Problem 3.5.15

A general class of models containing linear models of Types I and II, and mixed models as special cases assumes that the 1×n1 \times n observation vector X\mathbf{X} is normally distributed with mean θA\boldsymbol {\theta } A as in (4.13) and with covariance matrix Σi=1mγiVi\Sigma_{i=1}^{m} \gamma_{i} V_{i} where the γ\gamma 's are the components of variance and the ViV_{i} 's are known symmetric positive semidefinite n×nn \times n matrices. Show that the following models are of this type and in each case specify the γ\gamma 's and VV 's:

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(a)

(5.1 );

(b)

(5.5);

(c)

(5.5) without the terms CijC_{i j};

(d)

(5.8);

(e)

(5.10).

Problem 3.5.16

Consider a nested three-way layout with

Xijkl=μ+αi+bij+cijk+Uijkl X_{i j k l}=\mu +\alpha _{i}+b_{i j}+c_{i j k}+U_{i j k l}

(i=1,…,I;j=1,…,J;k=1,…,K;l=1,…,n)(i=1, \ldots , I ; j=1, \ldots , J ; k=1, \ldots , K ; l=1, \ldots , n) in the versions

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(a)

ai=αi,bij=βij,cijk=γijka_{i}=\alpha_{i}, b_{i j}=\beta_{i j}, c_{i j k}=\gamma_{i j k};

(b)

ai=αi,bij=βij,cijk=Cijka_{i}=\alpha_{i}, b_{i j}=\beta_{i j}, c_{i j k}=C_{i j k};

(c)

ai=αi,bij=Bij,cijk=Cijka_{i}=\alpha_{i}, b_{i j}=B_{i j}, c_{i j k}=C_{i j k};

(d)

ai=Ai,bij=Bij,cijk=Cijka_{i}=A_{i}, b_{i j}=B_{i j}, c_{i j k}=C_{i j k};

where the α\alpha 's, β\beta 's, and γ\gamma 's are unknown constants defined uniquely by the usual conventions, and the AA 's, BB 's, CC 's, and UU 's are unobservable random variables, independently normally distributed with means zero and with variances σA2,σB2,σC2\sigma_{A}^{2}, \sigma_{B}^{2}, \sigma_{C}^{2} and σ2\sigma^{2}. In each case, transform the XijklX_{i j k l} to independent variables ZijklZ_{i j k l} and obtain the UMVU estimators of the unknown parameters.

Problem 3.5.17

For the situation of Example 5.5, relax the assumption of normality to only assume that AiA_{i} and UijU_{i j} have zero means and finite second moments. Show that among all linear estimators (of the form ∑cijxij,cij\sum c_{i j} x_{i j}, c_{i j} known), the UMVU estimator of μ+αi\mu +\alpha_{i} (the best linear predictor) is given by (5.14).

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Remark.
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This is a Gauss-Markov theorem for prediction in mixed models. See Harville (1976) for generalizations.