Section 1.8

Convergence in Probability and in Law

[27/0%]
Show
LaTeX
Problem 1.8.1

Lemma 9.3 states: a sufficient condition for YnY_{n} to converge in probability to cc is that E[(Yn−c)2]→0\mathbb {E}\left[(Y_{n}-c)^{2}\right] \rightarrow 0.

?
(a)

Prove Chebychev's Inequality: For any random variable XX and non-negative function g(⋅)g(\cdot ),

P(g(X)≥ε)≤1εE[g(X)] \mathbb {P}\left(g(X) \geq \varepsilon \right) \leq \frac{1}{\varepsilon } \mathbb {E}\left[g(X)\right]

for every ε>0\varepsilon >0. (In many statistical applications, it is useful to take g(x)=(x−a)2/b2g(x)= (x-a)^{2} / b^{2} for some constants aa and bb.)

(b)

Prove Lemma 9.3. [Hint: Apply Chebychev's Inequality.]

Problem 1.8.2

To see that the converse of Theorem 8.2 does not hold, let X1,…,XnX_{1}, \ldots , X_{n} be iid with E[Xi]=θ,var⁡(Xi)=σ2<∞\mathbb {E}\left[X_{i}\right]=\theta , \operatorname {var}\left(X_{i}\right)=\sigma^{2}<\infty, and let δn=Xˉ\delta_{n}=\bar{X} with probability 1−εn1-\varepsilon_{n} and δn=An\delta_{n}=A_{n} with probability εn\varepsilon_{n}. If εn\varepsilon_{n} and AnA_{n} are constants satisfying

εn→0 and εnAn→∞, \varepsilon _{n} \rightarrow 0 \quad \text{ and } \quad \varepsilon _{n} A_{n} \rightarrow \infty ,

then δn\delta_{n} is consistent for estimating θ\theta, but E[(δn−θ)2]\mathbb {E}\left[(\delta_{n}-\theta )^{2}\right] does not tend to zero.

?
Problem 1.8.3

Suppose ρ(x)\rho (x) is an even function, nondecreasing and non-negative for x≥0x \geq 0 and positive for x>0x>0. Then, E[ρ[δn−g(θ)]]→0\mathbb {E}\left[\rho \left[\delta_{n}-g(\theta )\right]\right] \rightarrow 0 for all θ\theta implies that δn\delta_{n} is consistent for estimating g(θ)g(\theta ).

?
Problem 1.8.4
?
(a)

If An,BnA_{n}, B_{n}, and YnY_{n} tend in probability to a,ba, b, and yy, respectively, then An+BnYnA_{n}+B_{n} Y_{n} tends in probability to a+bya+b y.

(b)

If AnA_{n} takes on the constant value ana_{n} with probability 1 and an→aa_{n} \rightarrow a, then An→aA_{n} \rightarrow a in probability.

Problem 1.8.5

Referring to Example 8.4, show that cnSn2→Pσ2c_{n} S_{n}^{2} \xrightarrow {P} \sigma^{2} for any sequence of constants cn→1c_{n} \rightarrow 1. In particular, the MLE σ^2=n−1nSn2\hat{\sigma }^{2}=\frac{n-1}{n} S_{n}^{2} is a consistent estimator of σ2\sigma^{2}.

?
Problem 1.8.6

Verify Equation (8.9).

?
Problem 1.8.7

If {an}\left\{ a_{n}\right\} is a sequence of real numbers tending to aa, and if bn=(a1+…+an)/nb_{n}=\left(a_{1}+\ldots +a_{n}\right) / n, then bn→ab_{n} \rightarrow a.

?
Problem 1.8.8
?
(a)

If δn\delta_{n} is consistent for θ\theta, and gg is continuous, then g(δn)g\left(\delta_{n}\right) is consistent for g(θ)g(\theta ).

(b)

Let X1,…,XnX_{1}, \ldots , X_{n} be iid as N(θ,1)N(\theta , 1), and let g(θ)=0g(\theta )=0 if θ≠0\theta \neq 0 and g(0)=1g(0)=1. Find a consistent estimator of g(θ)g(\theta ).

Problem 1.8.9
?
(a)

In Example 8.5, find cov⁡(Xi,Xj)\operatorname {cov}\left(X_{i}, X_{j}\right) for any i≠ji \neq j.

(b)

Verify (8.10).

Problem 1.8.10
?
(a)

In Example 8.5, find the value of p1p_{1} for which pkp_{k} becomes independent of kk.

(b)

If p1p_{1} has the value given in (a), then for any integers i1<⋯<iri_{1}<\cdots <i_{r} and kk, the joint distribution of Xi1,…,XirX_{i_{1}}, \ldots , X_{i_{r}} is the same as that of Xi1+k,…,Xir+kX_{i_{1}+k}, \ldots , X_{i_{r}+k}.

Problem 1.8.11

Suppose X1,…,XnX_{1}, \ldots , X_{n} have a common mean ξ\xi and variance σ2\sigma^{2}, and that cov⁡(Xi,Xj)=ρj−i\operatorname {cov}\left(X_{i}, X_{j}\right)= \rho_{j-i}. For estimating ξ\xi, show that:

?
(a)

Xˉ\bar{X} is not consistent if ρj−i=ρ≠0\rho_{j-i}=\rho \neq 0 for all i≠ji \neq j;

(b)

Xˉ\bar{X} is consistent if ∣ρj−i∣≤Mγj−i\left|\rho_{j-i}\right| \leq M \gamma^{j-i} with ∣γ∣<1\left|\gamma \right|<1.

Problem 1.8.12

Suppose that kn[δn−g(θ)]k_{n}\left[\delta_{n}-g(\theta )\right] tends in law to a continuous limit distribution HH. Prove that:

?
(a)

If kn′/kn→d≠0k_{n}^{\prime } / k_{n} \rightarrow d \neq 0 or ∞\infty, then kn′[δn−g(θ)]k_{n}^{\prime }\left[\delta_{n}-g(\theta )\right] also tends to a continuous limit distribution.

(b)

If kn′/kn→0k_{n}^{\prime } / k_{n} \rightarrow 0 or ∞\infty, then kn′[δn−g(θ)]k_{n}^{\prime }\left[\delta_{n}-g(\theta )\right] tends in probability to zero or infinity, respectively.

(c)

If kn→∞k_{n} \rightarrow \infty, then δn→g(θ)\delta_{n} \rightarrow g(\theta ) in probability.

Problem 1.8.13

Show that if Yn→cY_{n} \rightarrow c in probability, then it tends in law to a random variable YY which is equal to cc with probability 1.

?
Problem 1.8.14
?
(a)

In Example 8.7(i) and (ii), Yn→0Y_{n} \rightarrow 0 in probability. Show that:

(b)

If HnH_{n} denotes the distribution function of YnY_{n} in Example 8.7(i) and (ii), then Hn(a)→0H_{n}(a) \rightarrow 0 for all a<0a<0 and Hn(a)→1H_{n}(a) \rightarrow 1 for all a>0a>0.

(c)

Determine lim⁡Hn(0)\lim H_{n}(0) for Example 8.7(i) and (ii).

Problem 1.8.15

If Tn>0T_{n}>0 satisfies n[Tn−θ]→LN(0,τ2)\sqrt{n}\left[T_{n}-\theta \right] \xrightarrow {\mathcal{L}} N\left(0, \tau^{2}\right), find the limiting distribution of (suitably normalized)

?
(a)

Tn\sqrt{T_{n}} and

(b)

log⁡Tn\log T_{n}.

Problem 1.8.16

If TnT_{n} satisfies n[Tn−θ]→LN(0,τ2)\sqrt{n}\left[T_{n}-\theta \right] \xrightarrow {\mathcal{L}} N\left(0, \tau^{2}\right), find the limiting distribution of (suitably normalized)

?
(a)

Tn2T_{n}^{2},

(b)

log⁡∣Tn∣\log \left|T_{n}\right|,

(c)

1/Tn1 / T_{n}, and

(d)

eTne^{T_{n}}.

Problem 1.8.17

Variance stabilizing transformations are transformations for which the resulting statistic has an asymptotic variance that is independent of the parameters of interest. For each of the following cases, find the asymptotic distribution of the transformed statistic and show that it is variance stabilizing.

?
(a)

Tn=1n∑i=1nXi,Xi∼Poisson⁡(λ),h(Tn)=TnT_{n}=\frac{1}{n} \sum_{i=1}^{n} X_{i}, X_{i} \sim \operatorname {Poisson}(\lambda ), h\left(T_{n}\right)=\sqrt{T_{n}}.

(b)

Tn=1n∑i=1nXi,Xi∼Bernoulli⁡(p),h(Tn)=arcsin⁡TnT_{n}=\frac{1}{n} \sum_{i=1}^{n} X_{i}, X_{i} \sim \operatorname {Bernoulli}(p), h\left(T_{n}\right)=\arcsin \sqrt{T_{n}}.

Problem 1.8.18
?
(a)

The function v(⋅)v(\cdot ) is a variance stabilizing transformation if the estimator v(Tn)v\left(T_{n}\right) has asymptotic variance τ2(θ)[v′(θ)]2=c\tau^{2}(\theta )\left[v^{\prime }(\theta )\right]^{2}=c, where cc is a constant independent of θ\theta.

(b)

For any positive integer nn, find the variance stabilizing transformation if τ2(θ)=θn\tau^{2}(\theta )=\theta^{n}. In particular, be careful of the important case n=2n=2.

[A variance stabilizing transformation (if it exists) is the solution of a differential equation resulting from the Delta Method approximation of the variance of an estimator (Theorem 8.12) and is not a function of the distribution of the statistic (other than the fact that the distribution will determine the form of the variance). The transformations of part (b) are known as the Box-Cox family of power transformations and play an important role in applied statistics. For more details and interesting discussions, see Bickel and Doksum 1981, Box and Cox 1982, and Hinkley and Runger 1984.]

Problem 1.8.19

Serfling (1980, Section 3.1) remarks that the following variations of Theorem 8.12 can be established. Show that:

?
(a)

If hh is differentiable in a neighborhood of θ\theta, and h′h^{\prime } is continuous at θ\theta, then h′(θ)h^{\prime }(\theta ) may be replace by h′(Tn)h^{\prime }\left(T_{n}\right) to obtain

n[h(Tn)−h(θ)]τh′(Tn)→LN(0,1). \sqrt{n} \frac{\left[h\left(T_{n}\right)-h(\theta )\right]}{\tau h^{\prime }\left(T_{n}\right)} \xrightarrow {\mathcal{L}} N(0,1).
(b)

Furthermore, if τ2\tau^{2} is a continuous function of θ\theta, say τ2(θ)\tau^{2}(\theta ), it can be replaced by τ2(Tn)\tau^{2}\left(T_{n}\right) to obtain

n[h(Tn)−h(θ)]τ(Tn)h′(Tn)→LN(0,1). \sqrt{n} \frac{\left[h\left(T_{n}\right)-h(\theta )\right]}{\tau \left(T_{n}\right) h^{\prime }\left(T_{n}\right)} \xrightarrow {\mathcal{L}} N(0,1).
Problem 1.8.20

Theorem 8.16 states (it starts in a multivariate setting, but its conclusion is univariate): let (X1ν,…,Xsν)(X_{1 \nu }, \ldots , X_{s \nu }), ν=1,…,n\nu =1, \ldots , n, be nn independent ss-tuples of random variables with E[Xiν]=ξi\mathbb {E}\left[X_{i \nu }\right]=\xi_{i} and cov⁡(Xiν,Xjν)=σij\operatorname {cov}(X_{i \nu }, X_{j \nu })=\sigma_{i j}. Let Xˉi=∑νXiν/n\bar{X}_{i}=\sum_{\nu } X_{i \nu } / n, and suppose that hh is a real-valued function of ss arguments with continuous first partial derivatives. Then,

n[h(Xˉ1,…,Xˉs)−h(ξ1,…,ξs)]→LN(0,v2), \sqrt{n}\left[h\left(\bar{X}_{1}, \ldots , \bar{X}_{s}\right)-h\left(\xi _{1}, \ldots , \xi _{s}\right)\right] \xrightarrow {\mathcal{L}} N\left(0, v^{2}\right),

where v2=∑i,jσij∂h∂ξi∂h∂ξjv^{2}=\sum_{i,j} \sigma_{i j} \dfrac {\partial h}{\partial \xi_{i}} \dfrac {\partial h}{\partial \xi_{j}}, provided v2>0v^{2}>0.

Prove Theorem 8.16.

?
Problem 1.8.21

A sequence of numbers RnR_{n} is said to be o(1/kn)o\left(1 / k_{n}\right) as n→∞n \rightarrow \infty if knRn→0k_{n} R_{n} \rightarrow 0 and to be O(1/kn)O\left(1 / k_{n}\right) if there exist MM and n0n_{0} such that ∣knRn∣<M\left|k_{n} R_{n}\right|<M for all n>n0n>n_{0} or, equivalently, if knRnk_{n} R_{n} is bounded.

?
(a)

If Rn=o(1/kn)R_{n}=o\left(1 / k_{n}\right), then Rn=0(1/kn)R_{n}=0\left(1 / k_{n}\right).

(b)

Rn=0(1)R_{n}=0(1) if and only if RnR_{n} is bounded.

(c)

Rn=o(1)R_{n}=o(1) if and only if Rn→0R_{n} \rightarrow 0.

(d)

If RnR_{n} is O(1/kn)O\left(1 / k_{n}\right) and kn′/knk_{n}^{\prime } / k_{n} tends to a finite limit, then RnR_{n} is O(1/kn′)O\left(1 / k_{n}^{\prime }\right).

Problem 1.8.22
?
(a)

If RnR_{n} and Rn′R_{n}^{\prime } are both O(1/kn)O\left(1 / k_{n}\right), so is Rn+Rn′R_{n}+R_{n}^{\prime }.

(b)

If RnR_{n} and Rn′R_{n}^{\prime } are both o(1/kn)o\left(1 / k_{n}\right), so is Rn+Rn′R_{n}+R_{n}^{\prime }.

Problem 1.8.23

Suppose kn′/kn→∞k_{n}^{\prime } / k_{n} \rightarrow \infty.

?
(a)

If Rn=0(1/kn)R_{n}=0\left(1 / k_{n}\right) and Rn′=0(1/kn′)R_{n}^{\prime }=0\left(1 / k_{n}^{\prime }\right), then Rn+Rn′=0(1/kn)R_{n}+R_{n}^{\prime }=0\left(1 / k_{n}\right).

(b)

If Rn=o(1/kn)R_{n}=o\left(1 / k_{n}\right) and Rn′=o(1/kn′)R_{n}^{\prime }=o\left(1 / k_{n}^{\prime }\right), then Rn+Rn′=o(1/kn)R_{n}+R_{n}^{\prime }=o\left(1 / k_{n}\right).

Problem 1.8.24

A sequence of random variables YnY_{n} is bounded in probability if given any ε>0\varepsilon >0, there exist MM and n0n_{0} such that P(∣Yn∣>M)<ε\mathbb {P}\left(\left|Y_{n}\right|>M\right)<\varepsilon for all n>n0n>n_{0}. Show that if YnY_{n} converges in law, then YnY_{n} is bounded in probability.

?
Problem 1.8.25

In generalization of the notation oo and OO, let us say that Yn=op(1/kn)Y_{n}=o_{p}\left(1 / k_{n}\right) if knYn→0k_{n} Y_{n} \rightarrow 0 in probability and that Yn=Op(1/kn)Y_{n}=O_{p}\left(1 / k_{n}\right) if knYnk_{n} Y_{n} is bounded in probability. Show that the results of Problems 8.21-8.23 continue to hold if oo and OO are replaced by opo_{p} and OpO_{p}.

?
Problem 1.8.26

Let (Xn,Yn)(X_{n}, Y_{n}) have a bivariate normal distribution with means E[Xn]=E[Yn]=0\mathbb {E}\left[X_{n}\right]=\mathbb {E}\left[Y_{n}\right]=0, variances E[Xn2]=E[Yn2]=1\mathbb {E}\left[X_{n}^{2}\right]=\mathbb {E}\left[Y_{n}^{2}\right]=1, and with correlation coefficient ρn\rho_{n} tending to 1 as n→∞n \rightarrow \infty.

?
(a)

Show that (Xn,Yn)→L(X,Y)\left(X_{n}, Y_{n}\right) \xrightarrow {\mathcal{L}}(X, Y) where XX is N(0,1)N(0,1) and P(X=Y)=1\mathbb {P}\left(X=Y\right)=1.

(b)

If S={(x,y):x=y}S=\left\{ (x, y): x=y\right\}, show that (8.25) does not hold.

Problem 1.8.27

Theorem 8.22 states: suppose that [n(Y1n−θ1),…,n(Yrn−θr)][\sqrt{n}(Y_{1n}-\theta_{1}), \ldots , \sqrt{n}(Y_{rn}-\theta_{r})] tends in law to the multivariate normal distribution with mean vector 00 and covariance matrix Σ\Sigma, and suppose that h1,…,hrh_{1}, \ldots , h_{r} are rr real-valued functions of θ=(θ1,…,θr)\theta =(\theta_{1}, \ldots , \theta_{r}), defined and continuously differentiable in a neighborhood ω\omega of the parameter point θ\theta and such that the matrix B=∥∂hi/∂θj∥B=\left\| \partial h_{i} / \partial \theta_{j}\right\| of partial derivatives is nonsingular in ω\omega. Then, [n[h1(Yn)−h1(θ)],…,n[hr(Yn)−hr(θ)]][\sqrt{n}[h_{1}(Y_{n})-h_{1}(\theta )], \ldots , \sqrt{n}[h_{r}(Y_{n})-h_{r}(\theta )]] tends in law to the multivariate normal distribution with mean vector 00 and covariance matrix BΣB′B\Sigma B'.

Prove Theorem 8.22.

?