Limit Theorems
[61/84%]Suppose the CLT holds for a sequence , and as . Prove that the LLN then holds as well.
Give an example showing that the Lyapunov condition is not necessary for the CLT to hold.
Let be a uniformly bounded sequence of independent random variables, i.e., there exists a constant such that for all . Let . Prove that the sequence satisfies the CLT if .
Let be a sequence of independent identically distributed random variables with finite, nonzero variance. Prove that for any and
Let be a sequence of independent identically distributed random variables with finite variance. Prove that for any the limit
equals either 0, 1, or 1/2. Find the conditions under which each of these situations occurs.
Let be a sequence of independent identically distributed (nondegenerate) random variables with zero mean and finite variance. Prove that for any the limit
equals 0 for and 1 for .
Let be a sequence of independent identically distributed (nondegenerate) random variables with zero mean and finite variance. Find the limit
Let be a sequence of independent identically distributed random variables with zero mean and finite variance. Find if:
;
.
The random variable has a Poisson distribution with parameter . Does the limit as of the ratio exist?
Prove that as
The random variable has a binomial distribution with parameters and 1/2. Does the limit as of the ratio exist?
Let be a sequence of independent random variables. Let take the values and with equal probabilities. Does the distribution of the ratio converge to a normal law:
;
?
Let be a sequence of independent random variables. Let take the values , , and 0 with probabilities:
, , and ;
, , and ;
, , and ;
, , and .
Does the CLT hold for the sequence ?
Let be a sequence of independent random variables. Let take the values , , and 0 with probabilities , , and respectively. Does the CLT hold for the sequence ?
Let be a sequence of independent random variables. Let take the values and with probability each. Does the CLT hold for the sequence ?
Let be a sequence of independent random variables. Let take the values , , and 0 with probabilities , , and respectively. Does the CLT hold for the sequence ?
Let be a sequence of independent random variables. Let be uniformly distributed on the segment , where . Find
Let be a sequence of independent random variables. Let take the values 1 and with probability each, and the values and with probability each. Prove that the CLT holds for the sequence .
Let have a Poisson distribution with parameter . Does the weak limit as of the expression
exist?
Let and be independent identically distributed random variables with finite variance. Prove that if the variables and are independent, then and have a normal distribution, possibly degenerate.
Let and be independent identically distributed random variables with zero mean and finite variance. Using the CLT, prove that if and have the same nondegenerate distribution, then that distribution is normal.
Let be a sequence of independent random variables. Let take the values , , and 0 with probabilities , , and respectively. Find conditions on the constants and that ensure the CLT holds for the sequence .
Let be a sequence of independent random variables. When is a perfect square, takes the values and with probability each; for all other , takes the values and 1 with probability each. Does the CLT hold for the sequence ?
Let be independent identically distributed random variables with and . Find the limiting distribution of the random variables
Let be a sequence of independent identically distributed random variables with and . Do the quantities
converge in probability as ?
It is known that left-handed people make up 1 on average. Estimate the probability that at least four left-handed people will be found among:
200 people;
10,000 people.
The probability of hitting a target with a single shot is 0.001. Hitting the target requires at least two hits. 5,000 independent shots are fired. Find the probability of hitting the target.
In a certain group of people, colorblind individuals make up 1. Find the probability that among 100 people:
there are no colorblind individuals;
there are two or more colorblind individuals.
It is known that the probability of a boy being born is approximately 0.515. What is the probability that among 10 thousand newborns, the number of boys will be no greater than the number of girls?
A country has 10 million voters, of whom 5.5 million belong to party A and 4.5 million belong to party B. 20,000 electors are chosen by lottery. What is the probability that a majority of the electors will be supporters of party B?
Among wheat seeds, 0.6 are weed seeds. What is the probability that a random sample of 1,000 seeds will contain:
at least 3 weed seeds;
at most 16 weed seeds;
exactly 6 weed seeds?
A book of 500 pages contains 50 typos. Estimate the probability that a randomly chosen page contains at least 3 typos.
For a person who has reached age 20, the probability of death during the 21st year of life is 0.006. A group of 10,000 people of age 20 is insured, with each insured person paying 1 ruble 20 kopecks in premiums for the year. In the event of the death of an insured person, the insurance company pays their heirs 100 rubles. What is the probability that by the end of the year the insurance company:
will operate at a loss;
its income will exceed 6,000 rubles;
its income will exceed 4,000 rubles?
The probability that an individual drill bit comes out overly brittle (defective) is 0.02. Drill bits are packed into boxes of 100. What is the probability that:
a box contains no defective drill bits;
the number of defective drill bits is at most 2?
What is the smallest number of drill bits that must be placed in a box so that, with probability at least 0.9, it contains at least 100 non-defective ones?
How many raisins, on average, should high-calorie buns contain so that the probability of a bun having at least one raisin is at least 0.99?
A theater seating 1,000 people has two separate entrances. Each entrance has its own coat-check room. How many spots should each coat-check room have so that, on average in 99 cases out of 100, all spectators can check their coats at the coat-check of the entrance they came in through? Assume spectators arrive in pairs, and each pair independently of the others chooses either entrance with probability 1/2. By how much can the number of coat-check spots be reduced if spectators arrive one at a time, also independently of each other, choosing either entrance with equal probability?
A village has 2,500 residents. Each of them travels to the city by train about 6 times a month, choosing the days of travel at random and independently of the others. What is the smallest capacity the train should have so that it becomes overcrowded on average no more than once every 100 days (the train runs once a day)?
A certain machine consists of 10 thousand parts. Each part, independently of the others, may turn out to be defective with probability , where for parts , for parts , and for parts . The machine fails to work if at least two parts are defective. Find the probability that the machine will not work.
To test the effect of a new drug on blood pressure, the blood pressure of 100 patients was measured before and after taking the drug. It turned out that in 32 cases the pressure increased after taking the drug, and in 68 cases it decreased. Can it be considered established that this drug affects blood pressure? What is the probability that purely random fluctuations in pressure would produce a deviation from 50 at least as large?
A die is thrown 1,000 times. Find the limits within which, with probability at least 0.99, the total number of points lies.
A die is thrown repeatedly until the running total of points exceeds 700. Estimate the probability that this will require:
more than 210 throws;
fewer than 180 throws;
between 180 and 210 throws?
Estimate the probability that the number of times a one comes up in 12,000 throws of a die lies between 1,900 and 2,150.
When shooting at a target, a marksman hits the ten-ring with probability 0.5; the nine-ring — with probability 0.3; the eight-ring — with probability 0.1; the seven-ring — with probability 0.05; the six-ring — with probability 0.05. The marksman fires 100 shots. What is the probability that he scores:
more than 980 points;
more than 920 points?
When compiling a statistical report, numbers must be added, each of which has been rounded to a precision of . Suppose the errors arising from rounding the numbers are mutually independent and uniformly distributed on the interval . Find the limits within which, with probability at least 0.997, the total error will lie.
The yield of a potato bush is 0 kg with probability 0.1; 1 kg with probability 0.2; 1.5 kg with probability 0.2; 2 kg with probability 0.3; 2.5 kg with probability 0.2. A plot has 900 bushes planted. Within what limits will the yield lie with probability 0.95? What is the smallest number of bushes that should be planted so that, with probability at least 0.975, the yield is at least one ton?
The unit of length "foot," as the name suggests, is the length of a foot. But, as is well known, foot sizes vary. In 16th-century Germany, people would resolve this in the following manner. On a Sunday, the first 16 men to come out of church would be lined up side by side. The sum of the lengths of their left feet was divided by 16. The average length was then the "true and lawful" foot. It is known that the foot size of an adult man is a random variable with a normal distribution with mean 262.5 mm and standard deviation mm. Find the probability that two "true and lawful" foot values, determined from two different groups of men, differ by more than 5 mm. How many men would need to be taken so that, with probability at least 0.99, the average foot size of the group differs from 262.5 mm by less than 0.5 mm?
On an exam, a student receives a grade of 5 with probability 0.2; 4 with probability 0.4; 3 with probability 0.3; and 2 with probability 0.1. Over the course of their studies they take 40 exams. Find the limits within which, with probability 0.95, the student's average grade lies.
There are 1,000 rectangular parallelepipeds, each of whose sides independently takes the value 1/2 or 1 with probabilities 0.3 and 0.7 respectively. Let be the total volume of these parallelepipeds. Estimate the probability that .
An angler cast his fishing rod 80 times. What is the probability that he caught at least one fish, if on average one fish is caught per 200 casts?
Suppose that when a book is typeset, there is a constant probability that any given letter will be typeset incorrectly. After typesetting, the galley proof is read by a proofreader, who catches each typo with probability . After the proofreader, the author reads it, catching each of the remaining typos with probability . Find the probability that a book with a million printed characters will have fewer than 10 unnoticed typos remaining after this process.
Find the probability that among 10,000 random digits, the digit 7 appears no more than 968 times.
How many random digits must be taken so that the probability of the digit 7 appearing among them is at least 9/10?
A coin is tossed 1,000 times. For what does the number of heads lie between 490 and with probability 1/2?
In coin tosses, heads came up 7,377 times. How probable is a deviation of the number of heads from this large or larger?
In a certain group of people, colorblind individuals make up 1. How large must a random sample be so that the probability of it containing at least one colorblind individual is at least 0.95?
In a jury consisting of an odd number of members, each independently of the others reaches the correct decision with probability . What is the minimum number of jury members for which the decision reached by majority vote will be fair with probability at least 0.99?
Two vessels and are taken, each with a volume of 1 dm and containing gas molecules. These vessels are brought into contact so that a free exchange of molecules occurs between them. What is the probability that after one day, one of the vessels will have at least one ten-billionth more molecules than the other?
How many times must a die be thrown so that, with probability 1/2, the sum of the points rolled exceeds 100?
A factory has 300 identical machines. On average, 70 of the machines are operating each day, while the rest are under repair. How much energy capacity should the factory be provided with so that, with probability 0.999, all the machines in working order can operate?
A hiking route consists of 10 separate stages. The length of each stage is measured on the map to the nearest whole kilometer. What is the probability that the error in determining the total length of the route due to this rounding will not exceed 1.5 km?
A person stands on the street selling newspapers. Suppose each passerby buys a newspaper with probability 1/3. Let denote the number of people who pass by the seller during the time it takes to sell the first 100 copies of the newspaper. Find the approximate distribution of .