Section 9.3

Autocovariances and spectra

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Problem 9.3.1

Let Xn=Acos⁡(nλ)+Bsin⁡(nλ)X_{n} = A \cos (n \lambda )+B \sin (n \lambda ) where AA and BB are uncorrelated random variables with zero means and unit variances. Show that XX is stationary with a spectrum containing exactly one point.

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Problem 9.3.2

Let UU be uniformly distributed on (−π,π)(-\pi , \pi ), and let VV be independent of UU with distribution function FF. Show that Xn=ei(U−Vn)X_{n} = e^{i(U-V n)} defines a stationary (complex) sequence with spectral distribution function FF.

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Problem 9.3.3

Find the autocorrelation function of the stationary process {X(t):−∞<t<∞}\left\{ X(t):-\infty < t < \infty \right\} whose spectral density function is:

(i) N(0,1)N(0,1),

(ii) f(x)=12e−∣x∣,−∞<x<∞f(x) = \frac{1}{2} e^{-\left|x\right|},-\infty < x < \infty.

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Problem 9.3.4

Let X1,X2,…X_{1}, X_{2}, \ldots be a real-valued stationary sequence with zero means and autocovariance function c(m)c(m). Show that

Var⁡[1n∑j=1nXj]=c(0)∫(−π,π](sin⁡(nλ/2)nsin⁡(λ/2))2dF(λ) \operatorname {Var}\left[\frac{1}{n} \sum _{j = 1}^{n} X_{j}\right] = c(0) \int _{(-\pi , \pi ]}\left(\frac{\sin (n \lambda / 2)}{n \sin (\lambda / 2)}\right)^{2} d F(\lambda )

where FF is the spectral distribution function. Deduce that n−1∑j=1nXj→ m.s. 0n^{-1} \sum_{j = 1}^{n} X_{j} \xrightarrow {\text{ m.s. }} 0 if and only if F(0)−F(0−)=0F(0)-F(0-) = 0, and show that

c(0){F(0)−F(0−)}=lim⁡n→∞1n∑j=0n−1c(j) c(0)\left\{ F(0)-F(0-)\right\} = \lim _{n \rightarrow \infty } \frac{1}{n} \sum _{j = 0}^{n-1} c(j)
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Problem 9.3.5

Let Z={Zn:n∈Z}Z = \left\{ Z_{n}: n \in \mathbb {Z}\right\} be a sequence of uncorrelated random variables with means 0 and variances 1, and suppose the sequence X={Xn:n∈Z}X = \left\{ X_{n}: n \in \mathbb {Z}\right\} satisfies Xn=ϕXn−1+Zn+θZn−1X_{n} = \phi X_{n-1}+Z_{n}+\theta Z_{n-1}.

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(a)

For what values of ϕ,θ\phi , \theta is XX stationary?

(b)

For what values of ϕ,θ\phi , \theta does ZnZ_{n} have a series representation in terms of the XmX_{m}?

(c)

Show that the autocorrelation function ρ\rho of XX satisfies

ρ(1)=(ϕ+θ)(1+ϕθ)1+2ϕθ+θ2 \rho (1) = \frac{(\phi +\theta )(1+\phi \theta )}{1+2 \phi \theta +\theta ^{2}}

and find ρ(k)\rho (k) for k>1k > 1. Hence evaluate the spectral density in a finite form.

Problem 9.3.6

Let Z={Zn:n∈Z}Z = \left\{ Z_{n}: n \in \mathbb {Z}\right\} be a sequence of uncorrelated random variables with means 0 and variances 11, and suppose Xn=ϕXn−1+θXn−2+ZnX_{n} = \phi X_{n-1}+\theta X_{n-2}+Z_{n} for n∈Zn \in \mathbb {Z}, where ϕ2+4θ>0\phi^{2}+4 \theta > 0. Suppose dkd_{k} is a real sequence such that

Xn=∑k=0∞dkZn−k X_{n} = \sum _{k = 0}^{\infty } d_{k} Z_{n-k}

Show that dk=a1r1k+a2r2kd_{k} = a_{1} r_{1}^{k}+a_{2} r_{2}^{k}, where a1+a2=1a_{1}+a_{2} = 1 and a1r1+a2r2=ϕa_{1} r_{1}+a_{2} r_{2} = \phi. Show further that

a1=r1r1−r2,a2=−r2r1−r2,r1r2=−θ,r12+r22=ϕ2+2θ a_{1} = \frac{r_{1}}{r_{1}-r_{2}}, \quad a_{2} = \frac{-r_{2}}{r_{1}-r_{2}}, \quad r_{1} r_{2} = -\theta , \quad r_{1}^{2}+r_{2}^{2} = \phi ^{2}+2 \theta

Hence find E[Xn2]\mathbb {E}\left[X_{n}^{2}\right] in terms of ϕ\phi and θ\theta when ∣r1∣,∣r2∣<1\left|r_{1}\right|,\left|r_{2}\right| < 1.

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Problem 9.3.7

Let X={Xn:n∈Z}X = \left\{ X_{n}: n \in \mathbb {Z}\right\} be a stationary process with zero means and variances σ2\sigma^{2}, and let X^n+1\widehat{X}_{n+1} be the best linear predictor of Xn+1X_{n+1} given {Xr:r≤n}\left\{ X_{r}: r \leq n\right\}. (See Section 9.2.) The Kolmogorov-Szegő formula states that

Var⁡[Xn+1−X^n+1]=exp⁡{12π∫−ππlog⁡(2πσ2f(λ))dλ} \operatorname {Var}\left[X_{n+1}-\widehat{X}_{n+1}\right] = \exp \left\{ \frac{1}{2 \pi } \int _{-\pi }^{\pi } \log \left(2 \pi \sigma ^{2} f(\lambda )\right) d \lambda \right\}

where ff is the spectral density of XX. Verify this for the autoregressive scheme of Example (9.3.23).

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