Section 8.3

Renewal processes

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Problem 8.3.1

Let (fn:n≥1)\left(f_{n}: n \geq 1\right) be a probability distribution on the positive integers, and define a sequence (un:n≥0)(u_{n}: n \geq 0) by u0=1u_{0} = 1 and un=∑r=1nfrun−r,n≥1u_{n} = \sum_{r = 1}^{n} f_{r} u_{n-r}, n \geq 1. Explain why such a sequence is called a renewal sequence, and show that uu is a renewal sequence if and only if there exists a Markov chain UU and a state ss such that un=P(Un=s∣U0=s)u_{n} = \mathbb {P}\left(U_{n} = s \mid U_{0} = s\right).

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Problem 8.3.2

Let {Xi:i≥1}\left\{ X_{i}: i \geq 1\right\} be the inter-event times of a discrete renewal process on the integers. Show that the excess lifetime BnB_{n} constitutes a Markov chain. Write down the transition probabilities of the sequence {Bn}\left\{ B_{n}\right\} when reversed in equilibrium. Compare these with the transition probabilities of the chain UU of your solution to Exercise (8.3.1).

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Problem 8.3.3

Let (un:n≥1)(u_{n}: n \geq 1) satisfy u0=1u_{0} = 1 and un=∑r=1nfrun−ru_{n} = \sum_{r = 1}^{n} f_{r} u_{n-r} for n≥1n \geq 1, where (fr:r≥1)\left(f_{r}: r \geq 1\right) is a non-negative sequence. Show that:

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(a)

vn=ρnunv_{n} = \rho^{n} u_{n} is a renewal sequence if ρ>0\rho > 0 and ∑n=1∞ρnfn=1\sum_{n = 1}^{\infty } \rho^{n} f_{n} = 1,

(b)

as n→∞,ρnunn \rightarrow \infty , \rho^{n} u_{n} converges to some constant cc.

Problem 8.3.4

Events occur at the times of a discrete-time renewal process NN (see Example (5.2.15)). Let unu_{n} be the probability of an event at time nn, with generating function U(s)U(s), and let F(s)F(s) be the probability generating function of a typical inter-event time. Show that, if ∣s∣<1\left|s\right| < 1 :

∑r=0∞E[N(r)]sr=F(s)U(s)1−s and ∑t=0∞E[(N(t)+kk)]st=U(s)k1−s for k≥0 \sum _{r = 0}^{\infty } \mathbb {E}\left[N(r)\right] s^{r} = \frac{F(s) U(s)}{1-s} \quad \text{ and } \quad \sum _{t = 0}^{\infty } \mathbb {E}\left[\binom {N(t)+k}{k}\right] s^{t} = \frac{U(s)^{k}}{1-s} \quad \text{ for } k \geq 0
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Problem 8.3.5

Prove Theorem (8.3.5): Poisson processes are the only renewal processes that are Markov chains.

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