Section 7.3

Some ancillary results

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Problem 7.3.1
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(a)

Suppose that Xn→ P XX_{n} \xrightarrow {\text{ P }} X. Show that {Xn}\left\{ X_{n}\right\} is Cauchy convergent in probability in that, for all ϵ>0,P(∣Xn−Xm∣>ϵ)→0\epsilon > 0, \mathbb {P}\left(\left|X_{n}-X_{m}\right| > \epsilon \right) \rightarrow 0 as n,m→∞n, m \rightarrow \infty. In what sense is the converse true?

(b)

Let {Xn}\left\{ X_{n}\right\} and {Yn}\left\{ Y_{n}\right\} be sequences of random variables such that the pairs (Xi,Xj)(X_{i}, X_{j}) and (Yi,Yj)\left(Y_{i}, Y_{j}\right) have the same distributions for all i,ji, j. If Xn→PXX_{n} \xrightarrow {\mathrm{P}} X, show that YnY_{n} converges in probability to some limit YY having the same distribution as XX.

Problem 7.3.2

Show that the probability that infinitely many of the events {An:n≥1}\left\{ A_{n}: n \geq 1\right\} occur satisfies P(An i.o.)≥lim⁡sup⁡n→∞P(An)\mathbb {P}\left(A_{n} \text{ i.o.}\right) \geq \lim \sup_{n \rightarrow \infty } \mathbb {P}\left(A_{n}\right).

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Problem 7.3.3

Let {Sn:n≥0}\left\{ S_{n}: n \geq 0\right\} be a simple random walk which moves to the right with probability pp at each step, and suppose that S0=0S_{0} = 0. Write Xn=Sn−Sn−1X_{n} = S_{n}-S_{n-1}.

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(a)

Show that {Sn=0 i.o.}\left\{ S_{n} = 0 \text{ i.o.}\right\} is not a tail event of the sequence {Xn}\left\{ X_{n}\right\}.

(b)

Show that P(Sn=0 i.o.)=0\mathbb {P}\left(S_{n} = 0 \text{ i.o.}\right) = 0 if p≠12p \neq \frac{1}{2}.

(c)

Let Tn=Sn/nT_{n} = S_{n} / \sqrt{n}, and show that

{lim inf⁡n→∞Tn≤−x}∩{lim sup⁡n→∞Tn≥x} \left\{ \liminf _{n \rightarrow \infty } T_{n} \leq -x\right\} \cap \left\{ \limsup _{n \rightarrow \infty } T_{n} \geq x\right\}

is a tail event of the sequence {Xn}\left\{ X_{n}\right\}, for all x>0x > 0, and deduce directly that P(Sn=0 i.o.)=1\mathbb {P}\left(S_{n} = 0 \text{ i.o.}\right) = 1 if p=12p = \frac{1}{2}.

Problem 7.3.4

Let X1,X2,…X_{1}, X_{2}, \ldots be independent identically distributed random variables. The event AA, defined in terms of the XnX_{n}, is called exchangeable if AA is invariant under finite permutations of the coordinates, which is to say that its indicator function IAI_{A} satisfies IA(X1,X2,…,Xn,…)=IA(Xi1,Xi2,…,Xin,Xn+1,…)I_{A}\left(X_{1}, X_{2}, \ldots , X_{n}, \ldots \right) = I_{A}\left(X_{i_{1}}, X_{i_{2}}, \ldots , X_{i_{n}}, X_{n+1}, \ldots \right) for all n≥1n \geq 1 and all permutations (i1,i2,…,in)\left(i_{1}, i_{2}, \ldots , i_{n}\right) of (1,2,…,n)(1,2, \ldots , n). Show that all exchangeable events AA are such that either P(A)=0\mathbb {P}\left(A\right) = 0 or P(A)=1\mathbb {P}\left(A\right) = 1.

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Problem 7.3.5

Returning to the simple random walk SS of Exercise (7.3.3), show that {Sn=0 i.o.}\left\{ S_{n} = 0 \text{ i.o.}\right\} is an exchangeable event with respect to the steps of the walk, and deduce from the Hewitt-Savage zero-one law that it has probability either 0 or 1.

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Problem 7.3.6

Let f:[0,1]→Rf:[0,1] \rightarrow \mathbb {R} be a continuous function, and let SnS_{n} be a random variable having the binomial distribution with parameters nn and xx. Using the formula E[Z]=E[ZIA]+E[ZIA∁]\mathbb {E}\left[Z\right] = \mathbb {E}\left[Z I_{A}\right]+\mathbb {E}\left[Z I_{A^{\complement }}\right] with Z=f(x)−f(n−1Sn)Z = f(x)-f\left(n^{-1} S_{n}\right) and A={∣n−1Sn−x∣>δ}A = \left\{ \left|n^{-1} S_{n}-x\right| > \delta \right\}, show that

lim⁡n→∞sup⁡0≤x≤1∣f(x)−∑k=0nf(k/n)(nk)xk(1−x)n−k∣=0 \lim _{n \rightarrow \infty } \sup _{0 \leq x \leq 1}\left|f(x)-\sum _{k = 0}^{n} f(k / n)\binom {n}{k} x^{k}(1-x)^{n-k}\right| = 0

You have proved Weierstrass's approximation theorem, which states that every continuous function on [0,1][0,1] may be approximated by a polynomial uniformly over the interval.

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Problem 7.3.7

A sequence X1,X2,…X_{1}, X_{2}, \ldots of random variables is said to be completely convergent to XX if

∑nP(∣Xn−X∣>ϵ)<∞ for all ϵ>0 \sum _{n} \mathbb {P}\left(\left|X_{n}-X\right| > \epsilon \right) < \infty \quad \text{ for all } \epsilon > 0

Show that, for sequences of independent variables, complete convergence is equivalent to a.s. convergence. Find a sequence of (dependent) random variables which converges a.s. but not completely.

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Problem 7.3.8

Let X1,X2,…X_{1}, X_{2}, \ldots be independent identically distributed random variables with common mean μ\mu and finite variance. Show that

(n2)−1∑1≤i<j≤nXiXj→Pμ2 as n→∞ \binom {n}{2}^{-1} \sum _{1 \leq i < j \leq n} X_{i} X_{j} \xrightarrow {P} \mu ^{2} \quad \text{ as } n \rightarrow \infty
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Problem 7.3.9

Let {Xn:n≥1}\left\{ X_{n}: n \geq 1\right\} be independent and exponentially distributed with parameter 1. Show that

P(lim sup⁡n→∞Xnlog⁡n=1)=1 \mathbb {P}\left(\limsup _{n \rightarrow \infty } \frac{X_{n}}{\log n} = 1\right) = 1
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Problem 7.3.10

Let {Xn:n≥1}\left\{ X_{n}: n \geq 1\right\} be independent N(0,1)N(0,1) random variables. Show that:

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(a)

P(lim sup⁡n→∞∣Xn∣log⁡n=2)=1\mathbb {P}\left(\limsup_{n \rightarrow \infty } \frac{\left|X_{n}\right|}{\sqrt{\log n}} = \sqrt{2}\right) = 1,

(b)

P(Xn>an i.o.)={0 if ∑nP(X1>an)<∞1 if ∑nP(X1>an)=∞\mathbb {P}\left(X_{n} > a_{n} \text{ i.o.}\right) = \begin{cases} 0 & \text{ if } \sum_{n} \mathbb {P}\left(X_{1} > a_{n}\right) < \infty \\ 1 & \text{ if } \sum_{n} \mathbb {P}\left(X_{1} > a_{n}\right) = \infty \end{cases}

Problem 7.3.11

Construct an example to show that the convergence in distribution of XnX_{n} to XX does not imply the convergence of the unique medians of the sequence XnX_{n}.

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Problem 7.3.12

(i) Let {Xr:r≥1}\left\{ X_{r}: r \geq 1\right\} be independent, non-negative and identically distributed with infinite mean. Show that lim⁡sup⁡r→∞Xr/r=∞\lim_{\sup_{r \rightarrow \infty }} X_{r} / r = \infty almost surely.

(ii) Let {Xr}\left\{ X_{r}\right\} be a stationary Markov chain on the positive integers with transition probabilities

pjk={jj+2 if k=j+12j+2 if k=1 p_{j k} = \begin{cases} \frac{j}{j+2} & \text{ if } k = j+1 \\ \frac{2}{j+2} & \text{ if } k = 1\end{cases}
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(a)

Find the stationary distribution of the chain, and show that it has infinite mean.

(b)

Show that lim⁡sup⁡r→∞Xr/r≤1\lim \sup_{r \rightarrow \infty } X_{r} / r \leq 1 almost surely.

Problem 7.3.13

Let {Xr:1≤r≤n}\left\{ X_{r}: 1 \leq r \leq n\right\} be independent and identically distributed with mean μ\mu and finite variance σ2\sigma^{2}. Let X‾=n−1∑r=1nXr\overline{X} = n^{-1} \sum_{r = 1}^{n} X_{r}. Show that

∑r=1n(Xr−μ)/∑r=1n(Xr−X‾)2 \sum _{r = 1}^{n}\left(X_{r}-\mu \right) / \sqrt{\sum _{r = 1}^{n}\left(X_{r}-\overline{X}\right)^{2}}

converges in distribution to the N(0,1)N(0,1) distribution as n→∞n \rightarrow \infty.

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Problem 7.3.14

For a random variable XX with mean 00, variance σ2\sigma^{2}, and E[X4]<∞\mathbb {E}\left[X^{4}\right] < \infty, show that

P(∣X∣>t)≤E[X4]−σ4E[X4]−2σ2t2+t4,t>0 \mathbb {P}\left(\left|X\right| > t\right) \leq \frac{\mathbb {E}\left[X^{4}\right]-\sigma ^{4}}{\mathbb {E}\left[X^{4}\right]-2 \sigma ^{2} t^{2}+t^{4}}, \quad t > 0
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