Chapter V

Weak Convergence of Measures. The Invariance Principle

[25/0%]
Show
LaTeX
Problem V.1

Prove that the measures δxn\delta_{x_{n}} defined on the Borel σ\sigma-algebra of a metric space (S,ρ)(\mathrm{S}, \rho ) have a weak limit if and only if there exists an element x∈Sx \in \mathrm{S} such that xn⟶ρxx_{n} \stackrel{\rho }{\longrightarrow } x as n→∞n \rightarrow \infty (then δxn⇒δx\delta_{x_{n}} \Rightarrow \delta_{x} as n→∞)n \rightarrow \infty ).

?
Problem V.2

Prove that Qn⇒Q\mathbb {Q}_{n} \Rightarrow \mathbb {Q} as n→∞n \rightarrow \infty (the measures are defined on B(S)\mathscr {B}(\mathrm{S}), where (S,ρ)(\mathrm{S}, \rho ) is a metric space) if and only if property (1) holds for all real bounded Lipschitz functions, i.e., for functions f:S→Rf: S \rightarrow \mathbb {R} such that

∥f∥∞=sup⁡x∣f(x)∣<∞ and L(f)=sup⁡x≠y{∣f(x)−f(y)∣/ρ(x,y)}<∞. (41) \left\| f\right\| _{\infty } = \sup _{x}\left|f(x)\right| < \infty \text{ and } L(f) = \sup _{x \neq y}\left\{ \left|f(x)-f(y)\right| / \rho (x, y)\right\} < \infty \text{. } \tag {41}

Definition 1. Let (S,ρ)(\mathrm{S}, \rho ) be a metric space with Borel σ\sigma-algebra B(S)\mathscr {B}(\mathrm{S}), and let Q,Qn\mathbb {Q}, \mathbb {Q}_{n} (n⩾1n \geqslant 1) be measures on (S,B(S))(\mathrm{S}, \mathscr {B}(\mathrm{S})). The measures Qn\mathbb {Q}_{n} are said to converge weakly to the measure Q\mathbb {Q} (notation: Qn⇒Q\mathbb {Q}_{n} \Rightarrow \mathbb {Q}) if for every function f∈Cb(S,R)f \in C_{b}(\mathrm{S}, \mathbb {R}), i.e., every continuous bounded function f:S→Rf: \mathrm{S} \rightarrow \mathbb {R},

∫Sf(x)Qn(dx)→∫Sf(x)Q(dx),n→∞.(1) \int _{\mathrm{S}} f(x) \mathbb {Q}_{n}(dx) \rightarrow \int _{\mathrm{S}} f(x) \mathbb {Q}(dx), \quad n \rightarrow \infty . \tag {1}
?
Problem V.3

Let f:S→Vf: \mathrm{S} \rightarrow \mathrm{V} be a function, where S,V\mathrm{S}, \mathrm{V} are metric spaces (measurability of ff is not assumed). Show that the set Df={x:the function f is discontinuous at the point x}∈B(S)D_{f} = \left\{ x : \text{the function } f \text{ is discontinuous at the point } x\right\} \in \mathscr {B}(\mathrm{S}). Prove that Qn⇒Q\mathbb {Q}_{n} \Rightarrow \mathbb {Q} if and only if property (1) holds for every bounded function f∈B(S)∣B(R)f \in \mathscr {B}(\mathrm{S}) \mid \mathscr {B}(\mathbb {R}) such that Q(Df)=0\mathbb {Q}\left(D_{f}\right) = 0.

Definition 1. Let (S,ρ)(\mathrm{S}, \rho ) be a metric space with Borel σ\sigma-algebra B(S)\mathscr {B}(\mathrm{S}), and let Q,Qn\mathbb {Q}, \mathbb {Q}_{n} (n⩾1n \geqslant 1) be measures on (S,B(S))(\mathrm{S}, \mathscr {B}(\mathrm{S})). The measures Qn\mathbb {Q}_{n} are said to converge weakly to the measure Q\mathbb {Q} (notation: Qn⇒Q\mathbb {Q}_{n} \Rightarrow \mathbb {Q}) if for every function f∈Cb(S,R)f \in C_{b}(\mathrm{S}, \mathbb {R}), i.e., every continuous bounded function f:S→Rf: \mathrm{S} \rightarrow \mathbb {R},

∫Sf(x)Qn(dx)→∫Sf(x)Q(dx),n→∞.(1) \int _{\mathrm{S}} f(x) \mathbb {Q}_{n}(dx) \rightarrow \int _{\mathrm{S}} f(x) \mathbb {Q}(dx), \quad n \rightarrow \infty . \tag {1}
?
Problem V.4

Let SS be the space Rm\mathbb {R}^{m} with the Euclidean metric. Is it true that Qn⇒Q\mathbb {Q}_{n} \Rightarrow \mathbb {Q} if property (1) holds for the functions f∈C0∞(Rm)f \in C_{0}^{\infty }\left(\mathbb {R}^{m}\right), i.e., for all infinitely differentiable functions with compact support?

Definition 1. Let (S,ρ)(\mathrm{S}, \rho ) be a metric space with Borel σ\sigma-algebra B(S)\mathscr {B}(\mathrm{S}), and let Q,Qn\mathbb {Q}, \mathbb {Q}_{n} (n⩾1n \geqslant 1) be measures on (S,B(S))(\mathrm{S}, \mathscr {B}(\mathrm{S})). The measures Qn\mathbb {Q}_{n} are said to converge weakly to the measure Q\mathbb {Q} (notation: Qn⇒Q\mathbb {Q}_{n} \Rightarrow \mathbb {Q}) if for every function f∈Cb(S,R)f \in C_{b}(\mathrm{S}, \mathbb {R}), i.e., every continuous bounded function f:S→Rf: \mathrm{S} \rightarrow \mathbb {R},

∫Sf(x)Qn(dx)→∫Sf(x)Q(dx),n→∞.(1) \int _{\mathrm{S}} f(x) \mathbb {Q}_{n}(dx) \rightarrow \int _{\mathrm{S}} f(x) \mathbb {Q}(dx), \quad n \rightarrow \infty . \tag {1}
?
Problem V.5

The definition of weak convergence (1) applies to arbitrary finite (not necessarily probability) measures as well.

Definition 1. Let (S,ρ)(\mathrm{S}, \rho ) be a metric space with Borel σ\sigma-algebra B(S)\mathscr {B}(\mathrm{S}), and let Q,Qn\mathbb {Q}, \mathbb {Q}_{n} (n⩾1n \geqslant 1) be measures on (S,B(S))(\mathrm{S}, \mathscr {B}(\mathrm{S})). The measures Qn\mathbb {Q}_{n} are said to converge weakly to the measure Q\mathbb {Q} (notation: Qn⇒Q\mathbb {Q}_{n} \Rightarrow \mathbb {Q}) if for every function f∈Cb(S,R)f \in C_{b}(\mathrm{S}, \mathbb {R}), i.e., every continuous bounded function f:S→Rf: \mathrm{S} \rightarrow \mathbb {R},

∫Sf(x)Qn(dx)→∫Sf(x)Q(dx),n→∞.(1) \int _{\mathrm{S}} f(x) \mathbb {Q}_{n}(dx) \rightarrow \int _{\mathrm{S}} f(x) \mathbb {Q}(dx), \quad n \rightarrow \infty . \tag {1}

Let Q,Qn\mathbb {Q}, \mathbb {Q}_{n} (n⩾1n \geqslant 1) be finite measures on (S,B(S))(\mathrm{S}, \mathscr {B}(\mathrm{S})). Prove that Theorem 1 remains valid if the requirement Qn(S)→Q(S)\mathbb {Q}_{n}\left(\mathrm{S}\right) \rightarrow \mathbb {Q}\left(\mathrm{S}\right) as n→∞n \rightarrow \infty is added to its hypotheses.

Theorem 1 (A. D. Aleksandrov). Let Q,Qn\mathbb {Q}, \mathbb {Q}_{n} (n⩾1n \geqslant 1) be measures on a metric space (S,ρ)(\mathrm{S}, \rho ). Then the weak convergence Qn⇒Q\mathbb {Q}_{n} \Rightarrow \mathbb {Q} (n→∞n \rightarrow \infty) is equivalent to each of the following statements:

  1. lim sup⁡n→∞Qn(F)⩽Q(F)\limsup_{n \rightarrow \infty } \mathbb {Q}_{n}\left(F\right) \leqslant \mathbb {Q}\left(F\right) for every closed set F∈B(S)F \in \mathscr {B}(\mathrm{S});

  2. lim inf⁡n→∞Qn(G)⩾Q(G)\liminf_{n \rightarrow \infty } \mathbb {Q}_{n}\left(G\right) \geqslant \mathbb {Q}\left(G\right) for every open set G∈B(S)G \in \mathscr {B}(\mathrm{S});

  3. lim⁡n→∞Qn(B)=Q(B)\lim_{n \rightarrow \infty } \mathbb {Q}_{n}\left(B\right) = \mathbb {Q}\left(B\right) for every set B∈B(S)B \in \mathscr {B}(\mathrm{S}) such that Q(∂B)=0\mathbb {Q}\left(\partial B\right) = 0.

?
Problem V.6

Definition 8. In a measurable space (S,A)(\mathrm{S}, \mathscr {A}), a class of sets G⊂A\mathscr {G} \subset \mathscr {A} is called a measure-determining class if the equality of any two measures on G\mathscr {G} implies their equality on A\mathscr {A}. Let S\mathrm{S} be a metric space. A class of sets M⊂B(S)\mathscr {M} \subset \mathscr {B}(\mathrm{S}) is called a class determining (weak) convergence if for every sequence of measures Q,Q1,Q2,…\mathbb {Q}, \mathbb {Q}_{1}, \mathbb {Q}_{2}, \ldots such that Qn(B)→Q(B)\mathbb {Q}_{n}\left(B\right) \rightarrow \mathbb {Q}\left(B\right) for all B∈MB \in \mathscr {M} with Q(∂B)=0\mathbb {Q}\left(\partial B\right) = 0, we have Qn⇒Q\mathbb {Q}_{n} \Rightarrow \mathbb {Q}.

Show that a class of sets determining (weak) convergence is a measure-determining class. Explain why the converse statement need not hold.

?
Problem V.7

(compare with Exercise 6 and Example 1) Prove that in the Polish space R∞\mathbb {R}^{\infty } endowed with a metric of the form

ρ((x1,x2,…),(y1,y2,…))=∑k=1∞2−k∣xk−yk∣1+∣xk−yk∣ \rho \left(\left(x_{1}, x_{2}, \ldots \right),\left(y_{1}, y_{2}, \ldots \right)\right) = \sum _{k = 1}^{\infty } 2^{-k} \frac{\left|x_{k}-y_{k}\right|}{1+\left|x_{k}-y_{k}\right|}

the Borel σ\sigma-algebra coincides with the cylindrical one, and the convergence Qn⇒Q\mathbb {Q}_{n} \Rightarrow \mathbb {Q} as n→∞n \rightarrow \infty holds if and only if all finite-dimensional distributions converge weakly. In other words, the class of cylinders in R∞\mathbb {R}^{\infty } is simultaneously both a measure-determining class and a convergence-determining class.

?
Problem V.8

(the Cramér-Wold method). Prove that ξn→Dξ\xi_{n} \stackrel{\mathscr {D}}{\rightarrow } \xi in (Rm,B(Rm))\left(\mathbb {R}^{m}, \mathscr {B}\left(\mathbb {R}^{m}\right)\right) if and only if (a,ξn)→D(a,ξ)\left(a, \xi_{n}\right) \stackrel{\mathscr {D}}{\rightarrow }(a, \xi ) as n→∞n \rightarrow \infty for every nonrandom vector a∈Rma \in \mathbb {R}^{m}, where (⋅,⋅)(\cdot , \cdot ) is the inner product in Rm\mathbb {R}^{m}.

?
Problem V.9

Let S\mathrm{S} be a real separable Banach space, S∗\mathrm{S}^{*} the dual space (i.e., the space of continuous linear functionals on S\mathrm{S}) and P(S)\mathscr {P}(\mathrm{S}) the space of probability measures on B(S)\mathscr {B}(\mathrm{S}).

Definition 9. The characteristic functional of a measure Q∈P(S)\mathbb {Q} \in \mathscr {P}(\mathrm{S}) (or of a random element X:Ω→S,X∈F∣B(S)X: \Omega \rightarrow \mathrm{S}, X \in \mathscr {F} \mid \mathscr {B}(\mathrm{S}), such that Law⁡(X)=Q\operatorname {Law}(X) = \mathbb {Q} ) is the mapping φQ:S∗→C\varphi_{\mathbb {Q}}: \mathrm{S}^{*} \rightarrow \mathbb {C} given by the formula

φQ(x∗)=E[exp(i⟨X,x∗⟩)],x∗∈S∗ \varphi _{\mathbb {Q}}\left(x^{*}\right) = \mathbb {E}\left[\mathrm{exp}\left(i \left\langle X, x^{*} \right\rangle \right)\right], \quad x^{*} \in \mathrm{S}^{*}

where ⟨y,x∗⟩\left\langle y, x^{*} \right\rangle denotes the action of the linear functional x∗x^{*} on the element y∈Sy \in \mathrm{S}.

Let C\mathscr {C} be the collection of cylinder sets in S\mathrm{S}, i.e., sets of the form

{x∈S:(⟨x,z1∗⟩,…,⟨x,zn∗⟩)∈B} \left\{ x \in \mathrm{S}:\left( \left\langle x, z_{1}^{*} \right\rangle , \ldots , \left\langle x, z_{n}^{*} \right\rangle \right) \in B\right\}

where B∈B(Rn),z1∗,…,zn∗∈S∗B \in \mathscr {B}\left(\mathbb {R}^{n}\right), z_{1}^{*}, \ldots , z_{n}^{*} \in \mathrm{S}^{*}.

(compare with Theorem 13). Show that C\mathscr {C} generates B(S)\mathscr {B}(\mathrm{S}). Prove that if Qn⇒Q\mathbb {Q}_{n} \Rightarrow \mathbb {Q} in P(S)\mathscr {P}(\mathrm{S}), then φQn→φQ\varphi_{\mathbb {Q}_{n}} \rightarrow \varphi_{\mathbb {Q}} pointwise. Conversely, let φQn→φ\varphi_{\mathbb {Q}_{n}} \rightarrow \varphi pointwise, where φ:S∗→C\varphi : \mathrm{S}^{*} \rightarrow \mathbb {C} and the family {Qn,n⩾1}\left\{ \mathbb {Q}_{n}, n \geqslant 1\right\} is tight. Then φ=φQ\varphi = \varphi_{\mathbb {Q}} for some Q∈P(S)\mathbb {Q} \in \mathscr {P}(\mathrm{S}) and Qn⇒Q\mathbb {Q}_{n} \Rightarrow \mathbb {Q}.

For a random vector ξ\xi in Rm\mathbb {R}^{m}, let FξF_{\xi } and φξ\varphi_{\xi } denote its distribution function and characteristic function, respectively (see § 14 of Chapter I).

Theorem 13. The relation ξn→Dξ\xi_{n} \stackrel{\mathscr {D}}{\rightarrow } \xi for random vectors in Rm\mathbb {R}^{m} is equivalent to each of the following two conditions:

  1. Fξn(x)→Fξ(x)F_{\xi_{n}}(x) \rightarrow F_{\xi }(x) as n→∞n \rightarrow \infty at every point x∈Rmx \in \mathbb {R}^{m} at which the function FξF_{\xi } is continuous;

  2. φξn(λ)→φξ(λ)\varphi_{\xi_{n}}(\lambda ) \rightarrow \varphi_{\xi }(\lambda ) as n→∞n \rightarrow \infty for every λ∈Rm\lambda \in \mathbb {R}^{m}. Moreover, if for random vectors ξn\xi_{n} in Rm\mathbb {R}^{m} the convergence φξn(λ)→φ(λ)\varphi_{\xi_{n}}(\lambda ) \rightarrow \varphi (\lambda ) holds for all λ∈Rm\lambda \in \mathbb {R}^{m}, where the function φ\varphi is continuous at the point 0∈Rm0 \in \mathbb {R}^{m}, then φ(⋅)=φξ(⋅)\varphi (\cdot ) = \varphi_{\xi }(\cdot ) for some random vector ξ\xi and ξn→Dξ\xi_{n} \xrightarrow {\mathscr {D}} \xi as n→∞n \rightarrow \infty.

?
Problem V.10

Using Theorem 13 of Chapter III, prove the invariance principle (Theorem 8) for the triangular array generated by a sequence of independent identically distributed random variables with zero mean and unit variance.

Theorem 13 of Chapter III (Skorokhod). Let X1,X2,…X_{1}, X_{2}, \ldots be a sequence of centered independent random variables defined on some probability space. Then there exists a probability space on which one can find a sequence of random variables {Tk}k⩾1\left\{ T_{k}\right\}_{k \geqslant 1} and a Brownian motion W={W(t),t⩾0}W = \left\{ W(t), t \geqslant 0\right\} such that

{Xk,k∈N}=D{W(Tk)−W(Tk−1),k∈N}(III.78) \left\{ X_{k}, k \in \mathbb {N}\right\} \stackrel{\mathscr {D}}{ = }\left\{ W\left(T_{k}\right)-W\left(T_{k-1}\right), k \in \mathbb {N}\right\} \tag {III.78}

where the nonnegative variables Tk−Tk−1,k∈N(T0≡0)T_{k}-T_{k-1}, k \in \mathbb {N}\left(T_{0} \equiv 0\right), are independent. If E[Xk2]<∞\mathbb {E}\left[X_{k}^{2}\right] < \infty, then in addition to the indicated properties of the sequence {Tk}k⩾1\left\{ T_{k}\right\}_{k \geqslant 1} one can ensure the relation E[Tk−Tk−1]=E[Xk2],k∈N\mathbb {E}\left[T_{k}-T_{k-1}\right] = \mathbb {E}\left[X_{k}^{2}\right], k \in \mathbb {N}.

Let (Ω,F,P)(\Omega , \mathscr {F}, \mathbb {P}) be a probability space and let Xn,i,i=1,…,mn,n⩾1X_{n, i}, i = 1, \ldots , m_{n}, n \geqslant 1, be series of (for each nn) independent real random variables defined on this space such that E[Xn,i]=0\mathbb {E}\left[X_{n, i}\right] = 0, i=1,…,mni = 1, \ldots , m_{n}, and ∑i=1mnσn,i2=1\sum_{i = 1}^{m_{n}} \sigma_{n, i}^{2} = 1, where σn,i2=E[Xn,i2]\sigma_{n, i}^{2} = \mathbb {E}\left[X_{n, i}^{2}\right]. Denote tn,0=0,tn,j=∑i=1jσn,i2t_{n, 0} = 0, t_{n, j} = \sum_{i = 1}^{j} \sigma_{n, i}^{2} (then tn,mn=1t_{n, m_{n}} = 1), Sn,0=0,Sn,j=∑i=1jXn,iS_{n, 0} = 0, S_{n, j} = \sum_{i = 1}^{j} X_{n, i}, j=1,…,mnj = 1, \ldots , m_{n}. Now, for each ω∈Ω\omega \in \Omega, define the function Sn(t,ω),t∈[0,1]S_{n}(t, \omega ), t \in [0,1], as the continuous polygonal line with vertices (tn,j,Sn,j),j=0,…,mn\left(t_{n, j}, S_{n, j}\right), j = 0, \ldots , m_{n}, i.e., let

Sn(t,ω)=Sn,i−1+(t−tn,i−1)tn,i−tn,i−1Xn,ifort∈[tn,i−1,tn,i](15) S_{n}(t, \omega ) = S_{n, i-1}+\frac{(t-t_{n, i-1})}{t_{n, i}-t_{n, i-1}} X_{n, i} \quad \text{for} \quad t \in \left[t_{n, i-1}, t_{n, i}\right] \tag {15}

Here and below we assume that all σn,i>0\sigma_{n, i} > 0; in other words, we exclude from consideration the variables Xn,i=0X_{n, i} = 0 a.s. Let Pn\mathbb {P}_{n} be the probability distribution of SnS_{n} on B(C[0,1])\mathscr {B}(C[0,1]).

Theorem 8 (Prokhorov). Suppose that for the variables Xn,iX_{n, i} described above, where n⩾1n \geqslant 1 and i=1,…,mni = 1, \ldots , m_{n}, the Lindeberg condition holds:

∑i=1mnE[Xn,i21{∣Xn,i∣>ε}]→0for everyε>0asn→∞.(16) \sum _{i = 1}^{m_{n}} \mathbb {E}\left[X_{n, i}^{2} \mathbf{1}_{\left\{ \left|X_{n, i}\right| > \varepsilon \right\} }\right] \rightarrow 0 \quad \text{for every} \quad \varepsilon > 0 \quad \text{as} \quad n \rightarrow \infty . \tag {16}

Then Pn⇒W\mathbb {P}_{n} \Rightarrow \mathbb {W} (n→∞n \rightarrow \infty), where W\mathbb {W} is the Wiener measure. In other words, Sn→DWS_{n} \stackrel{\mathscr {D}}{\rightarrow } W as n→∞n \rightarrow \infty, where W={W(t),t∈[0,1]}W = \left\{ W(t), t \in [0,1]\right\} is the Wiener process on the interval [0,1][0,1].

?
Problem V.11

Let X1,X2,…X_{1}, X_{2}, \ldots be independent identically distributed random variables, P(X1=−1)=P(X1=1)=1/2\mathbb {P}\left(X_{1} = -1\right) = \mathbb {P}\left(X_{1} = 1\right) = 1 / 2.

(compare with Corollary 1 of Chapter III). Prove that for every nonnegative integer jj

P(max⁡0⩽k⩽nSk⩾j)=2P(Sn>j)+P(Sn=j) \mathbb {P}\left(\max _{0 \leqslant k \leqslant n} S_{k} \geqslant j\right) = 2 \mathbb {P}\left(S_{n} > j\right)+\mathbb {P}\left(S_{n} = j\right)

where S0=0,Sk=X1+⋯+Xk,k⩾1S_{0} = 0, S_{k} = X_{1}+\cdots +X_{k}, k \geqslant 1, and X1,X2,…X_{1}, X_{2}, \ldots are the random variables introduced above.

Corollary 1 of Chapter III (Bachelier). For all t,y⩾0t, y \geqslant 0

P(M(t)⩾y)=2P(W(t)⩾y)=P(∣W(t)∣⩾y),(III.34) \mathbb {P}\left(M(t) \geqslant y\right) = 2 \mathbb {P}\left(W(t) \geqslant y\right) = \mathbb {P}\left(\left|W(t)\right| \geqslant y\right), \tag {III.34}

i.e., Law⁡(M(t))=Law⁡(∣W(t)∣)\operatorname {Law}(M(t)) = \operatorname {Law}(\left|W(t)\right|) for every t⩾0t \geqslant 0. Here W={W(t),t⩾0}W = \left\{ W(t), t \geqslant 0\right\} is a Brownian motion and M(t,ω)=sup⁡s∈[0,t]W(s,ω)M(t, \omega ) = \sup_{s \in [0, t]} W(s, \omega ), t⩾0t \geqslant 0.

?
Problem V.12

Let ξn→Dξ\xi_{n} \xrightarrow {\mathscr {D}} \xi, where ξ,ξn,n⩾1\xi , \xi_{n}, n \geqslant 1, are real random variables, and the function Fξ(x)F_{\xi }(x) is continuous on R\mathbb {R}. Then

sup⁡x∈R∣Fξn(x)−Fξ(x)∣→0,n→∞ \sup _{x \in \mathbb {R}}\left|F_{\xi _{n}}(x)-F_{\xi }(x)\right| \rightarrow 0, \quad n \rightarrow \infty
?
Problem V.13

Let X1,X2,…X_{1}, X_{2}, \ldots be independent identically distributed random variables, P(X1=−1)=P(X1=1)=1/2\mathbb {P}\left(X_{1} = -1\right) = \mathbb {P}\left(X_{1} = 1\right) = 1 / 2.

Prove that for the two-valued random variables XiX_{i}, i∈Ni \in \mathbb {N}, introduced before Exercise 11, and their sums Sk=X1+⋯+Xk,k⩾1S_{k} = X_{1}+\cdots +X_{k}, k \geqslant 1, we have

max⁡jP(Sn=j)→0 as n→∞ \max _{j} \mathbb {P}\left(S_{n} = j\right) \rightarrow 0 \text{ as } n \rightarrow \infty
?
Problem V.14

Let us consider the space C(T,S)C(T, \mathrm{S}), where S\mathrm{S} is a metric space and TT is a locally compact Hausdorff space satisfying the second axiom of countability (the latter means that the space has a countable base). We endow C(T,S)C(T, \mathrm{S}) with the topology of uniform convergence on compact sets by introducing the metric

ρC(x,y)=∑n=1∞2−nsup⁡t∈Knρ(x(t),y(t))1+sup⁡t∈Knρ(x(t),y(t)) \rho _{C}(x, y) = \sum _{n = 1}^{\infty } 2^{-n} \frac{\sup _{t \in K_{n}} \rho (x(t), y(t))}{1+\sup _{t \in K_{n}} \rho (x(t), y(t))}

where x=(x(t),t∈T),y=(y(t),t∈T)∈C(T,S)x = (x(t), t \in T), y = (y(t), t \in T) \in C(T, \mathrm{S}), and TT can be represented as

T=⋃n=1∞Kn, where Kn are compact sets, Kn⊂Kn+1,n∈N. T = \bigcup _{n = 1}^{\infty } K_{n}, \quad \text{ where } \quad K_{n} \text{ are compact sets, } \quad K_{n} \subset K_{n+1}, \quad n \in \mathbb {N} .

Prove that X(n)→DXX^{(n)} \stackrel{\mathscr {D}}{\rightarrow } X in the space C(T,S)C(T, \mathrm{S}) introduced above if and only if X∣K(n)→DX∣KX_{\mid K}^{(n)} \stackrel{\mathscr {D}}{\rightarrow } X_{\mid K} in C(K,S)C(K, \mathrm{S}) for every compact set K⊂TK \subset T; here, as before, Y∣KY_{\mid K} denotes the passage from the function Y={Yt,t∈T}Y = \left\{ Y_{t}, t \in T\right\} to its restriction Y∣K={Yt,t∈K}Y_{\mid K} = \left\{ Y_{t}, t \in K\right\}.

?
Problem V.15

Let ξ1,ξ2,…\xi_{1}, \xi_{2}, \ldots be independent identically distributed random vectors in Rm\mathbb {R}^{m} such that E[ξ1]=0,E[∥ξ1∥2]<∞\mathbb {E}\left[\xi_{1}\right] = 0, \mathbb {E}\left[\left\| \xi_{1}\right\|^{2}\right] < \infty, where ∥⋅∥\left\| \cdot \right\| is the Euclidean norm. Then the processes

Xt(n)=n−1/2(∑k⩽ntξk+(nt−[nt])ξ[nt]+1),t⩾0,n∈N X_{t}^{(n)} = n^{-1 / 2}\left(\sum _{k \leqslant n t} \xi _{k}+\left(n t-\left[n t\right]\right) \xi _{\left[n t\right]+1}\right), \quad t \geqslant 0, \quad n \in \mathbb {N}

where [⋅]\left[\cdot \right] is the integer part of a number, converge in distribution as n→∞n \rightarrow \infty in the space C([0,∞),Rm)C\left([0, \infty ), \mathbb {R}^{m}\right) to a standard mm-dimensional Brownian motion multiplied by a constant.

?
Problem V.16

Let X(n),n⩾1,X^{(n)}, n \geqslant 1, be continuous processes on Rd\mathbb {R}^{d} taking values, for each t∈Rdt \in \mathbb {R}^{d}, in a metric space S\mathrm{S}. Prove that the distributions of these processes are tight in C(Rd,S)C\left(\mathbb {R}^{d}, \mathrm{S}\right) if, for some constants α,β>0\alpha , \beta > 0,

E[ρ(Xs(n),Xt(n))α]⩽∥t−s∥d+β,s,t∈Rd \mathbb {E}\left[\rho \left(X_{s}^{(n)}, X_{t}^{(n)}\right)^{\alpha }\right] \leqslant \left\| t-s\right\| ^{d+\beta }, \quad s, t \in \mathbb {R}^{d}

where ∥⋅∥\left\| \cdot \right\| is some norm on Rd\mathbb {R}^{d}.

?
Problem V.17

The Skorokhod spaces D([0,1]q)D\left([0,1]^{q}\right) and D([0,∞)q),q⩾1D\left([0, \infty )^{q}\right), q \geqslant 1, consist of real-valued functions defined on [0,1]q[0,1]^{q} and [0,∞)q[0, \infty )^{q}, respectively, that are continuous from above at every point and have a limit from below at every point t≠0t \neq 0 (the limit of a function ff from above at a qq-dimensional point t=(t1,…,tqt = \left(t_{1}, \ldots , t_{q}\right. ) means that one takes the limit of f(s)f(s) as s→ts \rightarrow t over s≠ts \neq t such that sk⩾tk,k=1,…,qs_{k} \geqslant t_{k}, k = 1, \ldots , q; the limit from below is defined similarly). By means of specially defined metrics, these spaces can be turned into Polish spaces; an analogue of the modulus of continuity is also introduced in them.

Consider the following model of a randomly walking particle. Let Y1(a),Y2(a),…Y_{1}^{(a)}, Y_{2}^{(a)}, \ldots be independent identically distributed random variables, and

P(Y1(a)=−a)=P(Y1(a)=a)=1/2,a>0. \mathbb {P}\left(Y_{1}^{(a)} = -a\right) = \mathbb {P}\left(Y_{1}^{(a)} = a\right) = 1 / 2, \quad a > 0.

Let ξ1(λ),ξ2(λ),…\xi_{1}^{(\lambda )}, \xi_{2}^{(\lambda )}, \ldots be independent random variables exponentially distributed with parameter λ>0\lambda > 0, where the sequences {Yn(a)}\left\{ Y_{n}^{(a)}\right\} and {ξm(λ)}\left\{ \xi_{m}^{(\lambda )}\right\} are independent for all aa and λ\lambda. Suppose that the state of the particle changes by aa or −a-a at the times τk(λ)=∑j=1kξj(λ),k=1,2,…\tau_{k}^{(\lambda )} = \sum_{j = 1}^{k} \xi_{j}^{(\lambda )}, k = 1,2, \ldots (at time t=0t = 0 the particle is at zero). More precisely, let the coordinate of the particle at time τk(λ)\tau_{k}^{(\lambda )} be equal to ∑j=1kYj(a)\sum_{j = 1}^{k} Y_{j}^{(a)}, and let this state persist on the interval [τk(λ),τk+1(λ))\left[\tau_{k}^{(\lambda )}, \tau_{k+1}^{(\lambda )}\right); thus, the position of the particle at time tt is described by the process Xt(a,λ)=∑j⩽Nλ(t)Yj(a),t⩾0X_{t}^{(a, \lambda )} = \sum_{j \leqslant N_{\lambda }(t)} Y_{j}^{(a)}, t \geqslant 0, where Nλ(t)=max⁡{k:τk(λ)⩽t}N_{\lambda }(t) = \max \left\{ k: \tau_{k}^{(\lambda )} \leqslant t\right\} (we set Nλ(0)=0,X0(a,λ)=0)\left.N_{\lambda }(0) = 0, X_{0}^{(a, \lambda )} = 0\right).

Investigate the convergence of the finite-dimensional distributions of the processes X(a,λ)X^{(a, \lambda )} as a→0a \rightarrow 0 and λ→∞\lambda \rightarrow \infty in such a way that a2λ=σ2>0a^{2} \lambda = \sigma^{2} > 0 (i.e., the size of the displacement decreases and the collisions become more frequent). Do the processes X(a,λ)X^{(a, \lambda )} converge weakly in the space D[0,∞)D[0, \infty )?

?
Problem V.18

The integral of a function ff with respect to a measure Q\mathbb {Q} (when it is defined) will also be denoted by ⟨f,Q⟩\left\langle f, \mathbb {Q} \right\rangle.

Let S\mathrm{S} be a Polish space. Denote by B(S,R)\mathbf{B}(\mathrm{S}, \mathbb {R}) the space consisting of bounded A∣B(R)\mathscr {A} \mid \mathscr {B}(\mathbb {R}) — measurable functions f:S→Rf: \mathrm{S} \rightarrow \mathbb {R}, equipped with the norm ∥⋅∥∞\left\| \cdot \right\|_{\infty }. Let P=P(S)\mathscr {P} = \mathscr {P}(\mathrm{S}) be the space of probability measures on (S,A)(\mathrm{S}, \mathscr {A}). Define the variation distance ∥⋅∥\left\| \cdot \right\| between measures P,Q∈P\mathbb {P}, \mathbb {Q} \in \mathscr {P} by the formula

∥P−Q∥=sup⁡{∣⟨f,P⟩−⟨f,Q⟩∣:f∈B(S,R),∥f∥∞⩽1}. \left\| \mathbb {P}-\mathbb {Q}\right\| = \sup \left\{ \left| \left\langle f, \mathbb {P} \right\rangle - \left\langle f, \mathbb {Q} \right\rangle \right|: f \in \mathbf{B}(\mathrm{S}, \mathbb {R}),\left\| f\right\| _{\infty } \leqslant 1\right\} .

Verify that ν(P,Q)≡∥P−Q∥\nu (\mathbb {P}, \mathbb {Q}) \equiv \left\| \mathbb {P}-\mathbb {Q}\right\| is a distance on P\mathscr {P} that metrizes the topology of uniform convergence on P\mathscr {P} given by the system of neighborhoods U(Q,δ)={P∈P:ν(P,Q)<δ}U(\mathbb {Q}, \delta ) = \left\{ \mathbb {P} \in \mathscr {P}: \nu (\mathbb {P}, \mathbb {Q}) < \delta \right\}, where Q∈P,δ>0\mathbb {Q} \in \mathscr {P}, \delta > 0 (on topological spaces, see [35[35; Ch. 2,§5])2, \S 5]).

?
Problem V.19

The integral of a function ff with respect to a measure Q\mathbb {Q} (when it is defined) will also be denoted by ⟨f,Q⟩\left\langle f, \mathbb {Q} \right\rangle.

Let S\mathrm{S} be a Polish space. Denote by B(S,R)\mathbf{B}(\mathrm{S}, \mathbb {R}) the space consisting of bounded A∣B(R)\mathscr {A} \mid \mathscr {B}(\mathbb {R}) — measurable functions f:S→Rf: \mathrm{S} \rightarrow \mathbb {R}, equipped with the norm ∥⋅∥∞\left\| \cdot \right\|_{\infty }. Let P=P(S)\mathscr {P} = \mathscr {P}(\mathrm{S}) be the space of probability measures on (S,A)(\mathrm{S}, \mathscr {A}). Define the variation distance ∥⋅∥\left\| \cdot \right\| between measures P,Q∈P\mathbb {P}, \mathbb {Q} \in \mathscr {P} by the formula

∥P−Q∥=sup⁡{∣⟨f,P⟩−⟨f,Q⟩∣:f∈B(S,R),∥f∥∞⩽1}. \left\| \mathbb {P}-\mathbb {Q}\right\| = \sup \left\{ \left| \left\langle f, \mathbb {P} \right\rangle - \left\langle f, \mathbb {Q} \right\rangle \right|: f \in \mathbf{B}(\mathrm{S}, \mathbb {R}),\left\| f\right\| _{\infty } \leqslant 1\right\} .

Prove that the following formula holds for the variation distance: ∥P−Q∥=2sup⁡A∈A∣P(A)−Q(A)∣\left\| \mathbb {P}-\mathbb {Q}\right\| = 2 \sup_{A \in \mathscr {A}}\left|\mathbb {P}\left(A\right)-\mathbb {Q}\left(A\right)\right|.

?
Problem V.20

The integral of a function ff with respect to a measure Q\mathbb {Q} (when it is defined) will also be denoted by ⟨f,Q⟩\left\langle f, \mathbb {Q} \right\rangle.

Let S\mathrm{S} be a Polish space. Denote by B(S,R)\mathbf{B}(\mathrm{S}, \mathbb {R}) the space consisting of bounded A∣B(R)\mathscr {A} \mid \mathscr {B}(\mathbb {R}) — measurable functions f:S→Rf: \mathrm{S} \rightarrow \mathbb {R}, equipped with the norm ∥⋅∥∞\left\| \cdot \right\|_{\infty }. Let P=P(S)\mathscr {P} = \mathscr {P}(\mathrm{S}) be the space of probability measures on (S,A)(\mathrm{S}, \mathscr {A}). Define the variation distance ∥⋅∥\left\| \cdot \right\| between measures P,Q∈P\mathbb {P}, \mathbb {Q} \in \mathscr {P} by the formula

∥P−Q∥=sup⁡{∣⟨f,P⟩−⟨f,Q⟩∣:f∈B(S,R),∥f∥∞⩽1}. \left\| \mathbb {P}-\mathbb {Q}\right\| = \sup \left\{ \left| \left\langle f, \mathbb {P} \right\rangle - \left\langle f, \mathbb {Q} \right\rangle \right|: f \in \mathbf{B}(\mathrm{S}, \mathbb {R}),\left\| f\right\| _{\infty } \leqslant 1\right\} .

Set ν(P,Q)≡∥P−Q∥\nu (\mathbb {P}, \mathbb {Q}) \equiv \left\| \mathbb {P}-\mathbb {Q}\right\|, as in Exercise 18.

Let measures P,Q∈P\mathbb {P}, \mathbb {Q} \in \mathscr {P}, and let P\mathbb {P} and Q\mathbb {Q} be absolutely continuous with respect to some measure λ∈P\lambda \in \mathscr {P} (such a "dominating" measure exists; it suffices to take λ=(P+Q)/2)\lambda = (\mathbb {P}+\mathbb {Q}) / 2). Denote by p=dP/dλ,q=dQ/dλp = d \mathbb {P} / d \lambda , q = d \mathbb {Q} / d \lambda the Radon-Nikodym derivatives of the measures P\mathbb {P} and Q\mathbb {Q} with respect to the measure λ\lambda. Prove that ∥P−Q∥=∥p−q∥L1(λ)\left\| \mathbb {P}-\mathbb {Q}\right\| = \left\| p-q\right\|_{L^{1}(\lambda )}, where L1(λ)=L1(S,A,λ)L^{1}(\lambda ) = L^{1}(\mathrm{S}, \mathscr {A}, \lambda ). Show that ν(P,Q)⩽2\nu (\mathbb {P}, \mathbb {Q}) \leqslant 2, with equality attained only if P−Q\mathbb {P}-\mathbb {Q} (the measures are singular, i.e., there exists A∈AA \in \mathscr {A} such that P(A)=1\mathbb {P}\left(A\right) = 1 and Q(A)=0)\mathbb {Q}\left(A\right) = 0).

?
Problem V.21

The integral of a function ff with respect to a measure Q\mathbb {Q} (when it is defined) will also be denoted by ⟨f,Q⟩\left\langle f, \mathbb {Q} \right\rangle.

Let S\mathrm{S} be a Polish space. Denote by B(S,R)\mathbf{B}(\mathrm{S}, \mathbb {R}) the space consisting of bounded A∣B(R)\mathscr {A} \mid \mathscr {B}(\mathbb {R}) — measurable functions f:S→Rf: \mathrm{S} \rightarrow \mathbb {R}, equipped with the norm ∥⋅∥∞\left\| \cdot \right\|_{\infty }. Let P=P(S)\mathscr {P} = \mathscr {P}(\mathrm{S}) be the space of probability measures on (S,A)(\mathrm{S}, \mathscr {A}). Define the variation distance ∥⋅∥\left\| \cdot \right\| between measures P,Q∈P\mathbb {P}, \mathbb {Q} \in \mathscr {P} by the formula

∥P−Q∥=sup⁡{∣⟨f,P⟩−⟨f,Q⟩∣:f∈B(S,R),∥f∥∞⩽1}. \left\| \mathbb {P}-\mathbb {Q}\right\| = \sup \left\{ \left| \left\langle f, \mathbb {P} \right\rangle - \left\langle f, \mathbb {Q} \right\rangle \right|: f \in \mathbf{B}(\mathrm{S}, \mathbb {R}),\left\| f\right\| _{\infty } \leqslant 1\right\} .

Set ν(P,Q)≡∥P−Q∥\nu (\mathbb {P}, \mathbb {Q}) \equiv \left\| \mathbb {P}-\mathbb {Q}\right\|, as in Exercise 18.

Prove that ( P(S),ν)\mathscr {P}(\mathrm{S}), \nu ) is a complete metric space and that this space is nonseparable if S is uncountable. What can be said about the separability of (P(S),ν)(\mathscr {P}(\mathrm{S}), \nu ) if S\mathrm{S} is finite or countable?

?
Problem V.22

Let S\mathrm{S} be a Polish space. Let P=P(S)\mathscr {P} = \mathscr {P}(\mathrm{S}) be the space of probability measures on (S,A)(\mathrm{S}, \mathscr {A}).

Closely related to the variation distance is the Kakutani-Hellinger distance, defined, in the notation of Exercise 20, by the formula

d(P,Q)=(12∫S(p−q)2dλ)1/2 d(\mathbb {P}, \mathbb {Q}) = \left(\frac{1}{2} \int _{\mathrm{S}}(\sqrt{p}-\sqrt{q})^{2} d \lambda \right)^{1 / 2}

Verify that d(P,Q)d(\mathbb {P}, \mathbb {Q}) is a metric on P(S)\mathscr {P}(\mathrm{S}) whose values do not depend on the choice of the dominating measure λ\lambda.

?
Problem V.23

Denote by P(S)\mathscr {P}(\mathrm{S}) the space of probability measures on B(S)\mathscr {B}(\mathrm{S}), and set ⟨f,P⟩=∫SfdP\left\langle f, \mathbb {P} \right\rangle = \int_{\mathrm{S}} f d \mathbb {P} and Bε={x∈S:ρ(x,B)<ε}B^{\varepsilon } = \left\{ x \in \mathrm{S}: \rho (x, B) < \varepsilon \right\} for B⊂SB \subset \mathrm{S}, ε>0\varepsilon > 0.

Definition 7. The Lévy-Prokhorov metric is the quantity

π(P,Q)=inf⁡{ε>0:P(B)⩽Q(Bε)+ε,Q(B)⩽P(Bε)+ε for B∈B(S)}.(38) \pi (\mathbb {P}, \mathbb {Q}) = \inf \left\{ \varepsilon > 0: \mathbb {P}\left(B\right) \leqslant \mathbb {Q}\left(B^{\varepsilon }\right)+\varepsilon , \mathbb {Q}\left(B\right) \leqslant \mathbb {P}\left(B^{\varepsilon }\right)+\varepsilon \text{ for } B \in \mathscr {B}(\mathrm{S})\right\} . \tag {38}

Consider the Banach space BLB L of bounded real Lipschitz functions on a Polish space S\mathrm{S}, equipped with the norm ∥f∥BL=∥f∥∞+L(f)\left\| f\right\|_{B L} = \left\| f\right\|_{\infty }+L(f), see (41).

∥f∥∞=sup⁡x∣f(x)∣<∞ and L(f)=sup⁡x≠y{∣f(x)−f(y)∣/ρ(x,y)}<∞. (41) \left\| f\right\| _{\infty } = \sup _{x}\left|f(x)\right| < \infty \text{ and } L(f) = \sup _{x \neq y}\left\{ \left|f(x)-f(y)\right| / \rho (x, y)\right\} < \infty \text{. } \tag {41}

Prove that the function

∥P−Q∥BL∗=sup⁡{∣⟨f,P⟩−⟨f,Q⟩∣:f∈BL,∥f∥BL⩽1} \left\| \mathbb {P}-\mathbb {Q}\right\| _{B L}^{*} = \sup \left\{ \left| \left\langle f, \mathbb {P} \right\rangle - \left\langle f, \mathbb {Q} \right\rangle \right|: f \in B L,\left\| f\right\| _{B L} \leqslant 1\right\}

defines a metric on P(S)\mathscr {P}(\mathrm{S}), convergence in which is also equivalent to weak convergence. Moreover, for any P,Q∈P(S)\mathbb {P}, \mathbb {Q} \in \mathscr {P}(\mathrm{S}) the following inequalities hold

∥P−Q∥BL∗⩽2π(P,Q),h(π(P,Q))⩽∥P−Q∥BL∗ \left\| \mathbb {P}-\mathbb {Q}\right\| _{B L}^{*} \leqslant 2 \pi (\mathbb {P}, \mathbb {Q}), \quad h(\pi (\mathbb {P}, \mathbb {Q})) \leqslant \left\| \mathbb {P}-\mathbb {Q}\right\| _{B L}^{*}

where h(t)=2t2/(t+2),t⩾0h(t) = 2 t^{2} /(t+2), t \geqslant 0.

?
Problem V.24

Let S be a locally compact Hausdorff space satisfying the second axiom of countability and M(S)M(\mathrm{S}) the space of locally finite measures μ=μ(⋅)\mu = \mu (\cdot ) on the Borel σ\sigma-algebra B(S)\mathscr {B}(\mathrm{S}) (i.e., the space of measures that are finite on bounded sets of the space S), equipped with the topology in which the mappings

πf:μ↦⟨f,μ⟩=∫Sfdμ \pi _{f}: \mu \mapsto \left\langle f, \mu \right\rangle = \int _{\mathrm{S}} f d \mu

are continuous for functions ff from the class CK+C_{K}^{+} of continuous nonnegative functions with compact support.

Prove that M(S)M(\mathrm{S}) is a Polish space. To do this, note that if f1,f2,…f_{1}, f_{2}, \ldots is a set dense in CK+C_{K}^{+}, then the function

ρ(μ,ν)=∑k2−k(∣⟨fk,μ⟩−⟨fk,ν⟩∣∧1),μ,ν∈M(S) \rho (\mu , \nu ) = \sum _{k} 2^{-k}\left(\left| \left\langle f_{k}, \mu \right\rangle - \left\langle f_{k}, \nu \right\rangle \right| \wedge 1\right), \quad \mu , \nu \in M(\mathrm{S})

metrizes the topology introduced above. Moreover, B(M(S))\mathscr {B}(M(\mathrm{S})) is generated both by the mappings πf,f∈CK+\pi_{f}, f \in C_{K}^{+} (i.e., it is the smallest σ\sigma-algebra with respect to which all these mappings are measurable) and by the mappings πB:μ↦μ(B)\pi_{B}: \mu \mapsto \mu (B) for B∈SμB \in \mathrm{S}_{\mu }, where μ∈M(S),Sμ={B∈M:μ(∂B)=0}\mu \in M(\mathrm{S}), \mathrm{S}_{\mu } = \left\{ B \in \mathscr {M}: \mu (\partial B) = 0\right\}, and M\mathscr {M} is the collection of bounded subsets of the space SS.

?
Problem V.25

Let S be a locally compact Hausdorff space satisfying the second axiom of countability and M(S)M(\mathrm{S}) the space of locally finite measures μ=μ(⋅)\mu = \mu (\cdot ) on the Borel σ\sigma-algebra B(S)\mathscr {B}(\mathrm{S}) (i.e., the space of measures that are finite on bounded sets of the space S), equipped with the topology in which the mappings

πf:μ↦⟨f,μ⟩=∫Sfdμ \pi _{f}: \mu \mapsto \left\langle f, \mu \right\rangle = \int _{\mathrm{S}} f d \mu

are continuous for functions ff from the class CK+C_{K}^{+} of continuous nonnegative functions with compact support.

Definition 10. Let a probability space (Ω,F,P)(\Omega , \mathscr {F}, \mathbb {P}) and the space of locally finite measures M(S)M(\mathrm{S}) introduced above be given. A random measure is an F∣B(M(S))\mathscr {F} \mid \mathscr {B}(M(\mathrm{S}))-measurable mapping μ:Ω→M(S)\mu : \Omega \rightarrow M(\mathrm{S}).

The collection of bounded subsets of the space S\mathrm{S} is denoted by M\mathscr {M}.

Let μ,μ1,μ2,…\mu , \mu_{1}, \mu_{2}, \ldots be random measures on SS — a locally compact Hausdorff space satisfying the second axiom of countability. Prove that the following three conditions are equivalent:

  1. μn→Dμ\mu_{n} \stackrel{\mathscr {D}}{\rightarrow } \mu as n→∞n \rightarrow \infty,

  2. ⟨f,μn⟩→D⟨f,μ⟩\left\langle f, \mu_{n} \right\rangle \stackrel{\mathscr {D}}{\rightarrow } \left\langle f, \mu \right\rangle for f∈CK+(n→∞)f \in C_{K}^{+}(n \rightarrow \infty ),

  3. (μn(B1),…,μn(Bk))→D(μ(B1),…,μ(Bk))\left(\mu_{n}\left(B_{1}\right), \ldots , \mu_{n}\left(B_{k}\right)\right) \stackrel{\mathscr {D}}{\rightarrow }\left(\mu \left(B_{1}\right), \ldots , \mu \left(B_{k}\right)\right) for B1,…,Bk∈Sμ,k∈NB_{1}, \ldots , B_{k} \in \mathrm{S}_{\mu }, k \in \mathbb {N}, where Sμ={B∈M:μ(∂B)=0 a.s.}\mathrm{S}_{\mu } = \left\{ B \in \mathscr {M}: \mu (\partial B) = 0 \text{ a.s.}\right\}.

?