Stochastic Processes. Distributions of Stochastic Processes
[28/0%]Using the Kolmogorov theorem (Theorem 4), obtain a special case of the Lomnicki-Ulam theorem (Theorem 2) for a family of Borel spaces.
Theorem 4 (Kolmogorov). Let be a family of Borel spaces (i.e., measurable spaces isomorphic to a Borel subset of the interval with its Borel -algebra). Suppose that on the spaces , where and the points are pairwise distinct, measures are given that satisfy, for every permutation of the tuple , the symmetry condition and the consistency condition . Then there exist a probability space and a random function defined on it such that the finite-dimensional distributions of are the measures .
Theorem 2 (Lomnicki-Ulam). Let be an arbitrary family of measurable spaces, and suppose that for every a measure is given on . Then there exist a probability space and a family of independent random elements , such that on for each .
Verify that the variables , introduced in (50), form a sequence of independent random variables on the indicated probability space , and moreover one such that
Let and mes (Lebesgue measure). Consider the binary expansion of the number :
where the coefficients are equal to 0 or 1. Representation (50) is not unique. It is assumed that in the non-unique cases only the representations with infinitely many zeros among the coefficients are considered.
Prove that if on some probability space there is a sequence of independent random variables satisfying condition (51), then the random variable has the uniform distribution on the interval .
Prove that if is some distribution function and is a random variable uniformly distributed on the interval (defined on some probability space), then is a random variable with distribution function (the generalized inverse function ; if for all , then ; if for all , then ).
(compare with Theorem 6). Give an example of a family of -algebras , consisting of some subsets of , such that is not a -algebra.
Theorem 6. Let be an infinite set and the collection of countable subsets of . Then for the -algebra the representations and hold, where is the algebra of cylinder sets (the union of over all finite ), and is the -algebra of sets of the space that depend only on the coordinates from (the preimage of under the coordinate projection ). In other words, whether a function belongs to any set from is determined only by its values on some countable subset of .
Obtain a generalization of Lemma 7 to random elements with values in a Borel space.
Lemma 7. Let the probability space be complete, and let -algebra . A real random variable is -measurable (here , where is the class of -null sets) if and only if there exists an -measurable real random variable such that (-a.e.), i.e., .
Let be a family of measurable spaces, and let be their Cartesian product, consisting of the functions defined on and such that for .
Definition 6. The -algebra in the space generated by the collection of elementary cylinders, i.e., sets of the form , where , , is called the cylindrical -algebra.
Every random function , regarded as a random element with values in , induces a probability distribution on .
Let the set consist of the functions that are nondecreasing in each argument. Show that . Nevertheless, find , where is a function nonincreasing in each variable, and and are independent variables uniformly distributed on the interval .
(compare with Exercise 2). Prove that on , where is Lebesgue measure, it is impossible to construct a (continuum) family of independent Bernoulli variables, i.e., random variables , such that
Prove that on no probability space is it possible to define a family of independent identically distributed real nondegenerate random variables , in such a way that with probability 1 the sample paths are continuous on .
(compare with Theorem 4). Let be the space of real functions continuous on . On the cylinder sets of the form , where and ( is the collection of finite subsets of ), define the functions
here is some measure on . Is it possible to introduce a measure on the -algebra of cylinder sets of the space such that for all and all cylinders introduced above?
Theorem 4 (Kolmogorov). Let be a family of Borel spaces (i.e., measurable spaces isomorphic to a Borel subset of the interval with its Borel -algebra). Suppose that on the spaces , where and the points are pairwise distinct, measures are given that satisfy, for every permutation of the tuple , the symmetry condition and the consistency condition . Then there exist a probability space and a random function defined on it such that the finite-dimensional distributions of are the measures .
What do the sample paths of process (11) look like?
Example 3. On some probability space consider two sequences of nonnegative random variables and such that are jointly independent and , , . For positive constants and define the process
where is given by formula (10).
Example 2. For a sequence of independent identically distributed nondegenerate nonnegative random variables, the renewal process is defined by the formula
Throughout, the sum over the empty set is taken to be zero, so if .
Let in definition (13), i.e., are independent identically distributed scalar random variables, and let .
Example 5. Let be a random field formed by independent identically distributed vectors with values in . Let be a -finite measure on , . Define the partial-sum process
where is the unit cube with upper vertex at the point , .
Set
Sketch the graph of a sample path of this process in the following cases:
is Lebesgue measure on ;
is the counting measure, i.e.,
Let in definition (12).
Example 4. Let be independent identically distributed random vectors defined on a probability space and taking values in (). Introduce the empirical measures
Set
Sketch the graph of a sample path of the process , which is customarily called the empirical distribution function. What is the difference between the case when the are uniformly distributed on and the case when the are Bernoulli variables with
Example 4. Let be independent identically distributed random vectors defined on a probability space and taking values in (). Introduce the empirical measures
Definition 15. A class of sets is called finitely approximable with respect to a measure defined on if for every one can find sets , where , such that for each there exist and with the properties and .
Prove that the class , i.e., the collection of sets of the form , is finitely approximable with respect to any (probability) measure . Thus the multidimensional version of the Glivenko-Cantelli theorem holds, on the a.s. uniform convergence as of the empirical distribution functions to the distribution function :
Prove that if the measure is absolutely continuous with respect to Lebesgue measure in , then statement (52) also holds for the class that is the class of convex sets. (This statement, which follows from Exercise 13 when , becomes nontrivial and no longer follows from it if .)
Theorem 8 (see [3; p. 421]). Let be a class of sets that is finitely approximable with respect to a measure . Let be the process defined by formula (12), and let the corresponding vectors have the distribution law . Then
for all , where and . In other words, if the probability space is complete, then the convergence in (52) holds almost surely.
Example 4. Let be independent identically distributed random vectors defined on a probability space and taking values in (). Introduce the empirical measures
Definition 15. A class of sets is called finitely approximable with respect to a measure defined on if for every one can find sets , where , such that for each there exist and with the properties and .
Show that the statement contained in Exercise 14 may become false if the condition that be absolutely continuous with respect to Lebesgue measure is dropped (for ).
Prove that property (53) holds if is the class of rectangles of the form .
Let . For a function denote
Set and , is the Euclidean metric and mes is Lebesgue measure in .
Property (53) of a class of sets is the relation
Example 2. For a sequence of independent identically distributed nondegenerate nonnegative random variables, the renewal process is defined by the formula
Throughout, the sum over the empty set is taken to be zero, so if .
Define the renewal function , as the mean number of renewals in the interval , i.e., .
Prove that for all .
Explain why the function defined according to (14) is, for each , a random variable with values in the space , where is the -algebra of all subsets of . (It follows that is a real-valued stochastic process indexed by the sets .)
Example 6. Let be a finite measure () defined on some measurable space . Let be independent random elements on a probability space such that is a real Poisson random variable with parameter , and are independent identically distributed -measurable variables for which for . Define on the function by setting
( when ). Formula (14) defines the so-called Poisson random measure with intensity measure (or leading measure) .
Example 6. Let be a finite measure () defined on some measurable space . Let be independent random elements on a probability space such that is a real Poisson random variable with parameter , and are independent identically distributed -measurable variables for which for . Define on the function by setting
( when ). Formula (14) defines the so-called Poisson random measure with intensity measure (or leading measure) .
Let be a -finite measure on some measurable space ( ) , where for and , ). In this case the construction of the Poisson random measure (14) is easily modified as follows.
On some probability space construct a countable collection of independent variables
such that has the Poisson distribution with parameter and on . Let for be defined according to (14) with replaced by and by . Set
Note that may also take infinite values.
Prove that if for some , then a.s., and if , then a.s.
Example 6. Let be a finite measure () defined on some measurable space . Let be independent random elements on a probability space such that is a real Poisson random variable with parameter , and are independent identically distributed -measurable variables for which for . Define on the function by setting
( when ). Formula (14) defines the so-called Poisson random measure with intensity measure (or leading measure) .
Let be a -finite measure on some measurable space ( ) , where for and , ). In this case the construction of the Poisson random measure (14) is easily modified as follows.
On some probability space construct a countable collection of independent variables
such that has the Poisson distribution with parameter and on . Let for be defined according to (14) with replaced by and by . Set
Note that may also take infinite values.
(see [32; p. 370]). Let be such that , where is a -finite measure on . Let , where for . Prove that for any and the following equality holds
Let be a family of measurable spaces, and let be their Cartesian product, consisting of the functions defined on and such that for .
Definition 6. The -algebra in the space generated by the collection of elementary cylinders, i.e., sets of the form , where , , is called the cylindrical -algebra.
Every random function , regarded as a random element with values in , induces a probability distribution on .
Give an example of real-valued processes and defined on the same probability space such that on , but and are not (stochastically) equivalent. Give an example where , but the distributions of and coincide for each .
Let be a family of measurable spaces, and let be their Cartesian product, consisting of the functions defined on and such that for .
Definition 6. The -algebra in the space generated by the collection of elementary cylinders, i.e., sets of the form , where , , is called the cylindrical -algebra.
Give an example of a (real-valued) process and sets such that and .
Let be a family of measurable spaces, and let be their Cartesian product, consisting of the functions defined on and such that for .
Definition 6. The -algebra in the space generated by the collection of elementary cylinders, i.e., sets of the form , where , , is called the cylindrical -algebra.
Give an example of equivalent processes and , and also of a set , such that and , but .
Give an example of (stochastically) equivalent processes that are not indistinguishable.
Prove that if is a separable metric space, then what stands under the probability sign in (56) is an event, i.e., a set belonging to .
Formula (56) is the condition of stochastic continuity on of a stochastic process defined on , where is a pseudometric space, and taking, for each , values in a metric space : for each and any
Prove that if a process is measurable (see Definition 14), then each of its sample paths is an -measurable function. Is the converse true? Give an example of a process that has no measurable modification.
Definition 14. Let be a measurable space. A stochastic process defined on and taking, for each , values in a measurable space is called measurable if the mapping , , is -measurable.
Definition 14. Let be a measurable space. A stochastic process defined on and taking, for each , values in a measurable space is called measurable if the mapping , , is -measurable.
Let be a measurable process and . Prove that then is an -measurable variable. Show that if the measurability condition on the process is dropped, then the stated assertion need not hold.
Let almost all sample paths of a process be right-continuous on . Prove that such a process has a measurable modification.